現(xiàn)階段我國國債投資拉動國內(nèi)需求對策研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:現(xiàn)階段我國國債投資拉動國內(nèi)需求對策研究 出處:《遼寧大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 國債投資 拉動內(nèi)需 國債投資乘數(shù) IS-LM曲線
【摘要】:國債是國家為了實現(xiàn)其職能的需要,以債的原則發(fā)行債券以達(dá)到籌集資金的目的,但是與普通債的不同之處在于它的信用基礎(chǔ)是國家,是國家與購買者之間形成的債權(quán)與債務(wù)關(guān)系。國債本身具有兩重性質(zhì)即金融和財政性質(zhì)。一是在我國現(xiàn)階段市場經(jīng)濟(jì)的條件下國債的發(fā)行和流通都是在金融市場上完成的,,二是我國財政政策中包涵國債政策,國家的一些財政相關(guān)的方針政策的實現(xiàn)都需要國債政策的支持。因此國債的支出方向以及規(guī)模的大小都是財政政策的重要部分。國債發(fā)行的結(jié)果還會影響到市場上貨幣的供給情況,因此說國債是連接金融、財政和貨幣的重要樞紐。中外學(xué)者對發(fā)行國債給國家微觀和宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)帶來的影響是利大于弊還是弊大于利說法不一。中國人民大學(xué)財政金融學(xué)院的王傳綸教授認(rèn)為:“國債對我國整個宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生相應(yīng)的拉動作用,同樣對微觀主體也有一定積極的影響!痹诓煌慕(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境和背景下我國的國債政策也隨著改變。亞洲金融危機(jī)和美國次貸危機(jī)都給我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)帶來了不小的影響,這一段期間我國為了應(yīng)對危機(jī)帶來的影響及時的調(diào)整了財政政策,國債政策是財政政策的重要組成部分也隨之進(jìn)行了相應(yīng)的調(diào)整,那么這一段期間我國國債政策調(diào)整對我國內(nèi)需的拉動究竟是怎樣的,本文通過對這一時間段內(nèi)國債政策的分析看看國債到底對我國的內(nèi)需拉動是多大。并且針對現(xiàn)狀提出一些問題和建議。 本文是從理論到實證,根據(jù)實證的結(jié)果分析存在問題及原因,最后根據(jù)現(xiàn)狀給出建議一共分為五部分。 第一部分寫的是國債拉動內(nèi)需的相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論,這部分主要包括國債的觀念界定以及拉動內(nèi)需的相關(guān)理論。主要是從中西方兩個角度來描述包括公債的正、負(fù)、中效應(yīng)理論和我國國債效應(yīng)理論的發(fā)展,主要包括國債拉動社會主義基礎(chǔ)建設(shè)、調(diào)節(jié)物資供求、拉動內(nèi)需以及調(diào)節(jié)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)這四個方面的理論。 第二部分寫的是1998年以來我國國債的發(fā)行情況,衡量國債的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)很多本文主要是從微觀和宏觀這兩個標(biāo)準(zhǔn)進(jìn)行分析,結(jié)合數(shù)據(jù)和圖表將每個衡量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)都進(jìn)行分析,得出相應(yīng)的結(jié)論。 第三部分是我國國債投資拉動國內(nèi)需求效果分析,這一部分主要是由兩大塊構(gòu)成的。一塊是推導(dǎo)國債投資乘數(shù)一塊是IS—LM曲線模型。用推導(dǎo)出來的國債投資乘數(shù)計算出我國的國債投資乘數(shù)是多少并分析對內(nèi)需的拉動。再用IS—LM曲線模型分析我國國債投資是否存在擠出效應(yīng)。 第四部分寫的是我國國債投資拉動內(nèi)需存在的問題及原因分析,我國國債投資在對居民消費拉動、通貨膨脹、固定資產(chǎn)比重上都存在一定的問題,此外我國國債投資乘數(shù)越來越小也是一個很重要的問題。 第五部分寫的是我國國債投資拉動內(nèi)需的對策。針對本文第四部分國債投資拉動內(nèi)需存在的問題相應(yīng)的給出相關(guān)的對策。主要包括從整體上對國債投資的規(guī)模進(jìn)行控制,加強(qiáng)這方面的監(jiān)督和管理從而實現(xiàn)國債市場機(jī)制安全有效地運(yùn)行;對“三農(nóng)”的投入力度要增大,從根本上解決我國現(xiàn)階段存在的城鄉(xiāng)消費差異問題實現(xiàn)全社會生活和消費水平的提高;針對我國目前產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理這個問題國債投資應(yīng)將重點放在調(diào)整和提高產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)這方面上來;完善國債政策和其它政策相結(jié)合的鏈接機(jī)制即:央行要積極地參與國債的發(fā)行中來,市場體系也要及時的完善,另外還要加強(qiáng)商業(yè)銀行體系的改革以便更好的為提高國債投資拉動內(nèi)需服務(wù)。
[Abstract]:The State Treasury is needed in order to achieve its functions, to the principle of debt to issue bonds to raise funds to achieve the purpose, but different from the common debt credit is that it is based on the national debt and debt, is formed between the state and the buyer relationship. Bond itself has the dual nature of the financial and fiscal nature. One is the issue of and the bond market at the present stage of our country under the conditions of market economy are in the financial market, the two is the inclusion of national debt policy in China to realize the national fiscal policy, fiscal policy will need to be related to national debt policy support. So spending and the size of the bond direction are an important part of fiscal policy. The result of the issuance of treasury bonds will also affect the market on money supply, so that national debt is an important hub connecting the financial, fiscal and monetary. Chinese and foreign scholars on the hair The effect of national debt to the state of micro and macro economy is more advantages than disadvantages vary. Professor Wang Chuanguan of Renmin University of China School of finance, said: "the bond pull corresponding to our country entire macro economy, and also have certain positive influence on the micro subject." in different economic environment and under the background of national debt policy in China. With the change brought no small impact of the Asian financial crisis and the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis to China's economic impact, this period in order to deal with the crisis timely adjustment of fiscal policy, debt policy is an important part of fiscal policy has been made accordingly, so this period of our national debt policy adjustment what on domestic demand driven, based on the analysis of this period of time the national debt policy To see how big the national debt is to China's domestic demand and to put forward some questions and suggestions on the current situation.
This article is from the theory to the empirical, according to the results of the empirical analysis of the problems and reasons, and finally, according to the status quo, the proposal is divided into five parts.
The first part of the related theory of economics is written in treasury bonds to stimulate domestic demand, the related theory of this part mainly includes the concept and definition of treasury bonds to stimulate domestic demand is mainly western from two angles to describe including bonds is negative, in the development of China's national debt effect theory and effect theory, including the construction of socialist bond pull, adjust the supply and demand of goods, the four aspects of stimulating domestic demand and adjust the industrial structure theory.
The second part is about the issuance of China's national debt since 1998. It's a measure of the national debt standard. This paper mainly analyzes the two standards from the micro and macro level, and combines the data and charts to analyze each measurement standard and draw the corresponding conclusion.
The third part is the analysis of the effect of national debt investment to boost domestic demand in China, this part is mainly composed of two parts. One is the derivation of treasury bond investment multiplier is a IS - LM curve model. Using the derived bond investment multiplier calculated China's treasury bond investment multiplier is much and analysis of domestic demand. Then the IS - LM curve model to analyze whether the crowding out effect existing in our country's national debt investment.
The fourth part is the analysis on the existing problems and reasons of China's treasury bonds to stimulate domestic demand, China's investment in the residents consumption, inflation, there are some problems in the proportion of fixed assets, and treasury bond investment multiplier in China is also a very important problem.
The fifth part is the Countermeasures of China's investment in stimulating domestic demand. In the fourth part of this investment led domestic problems and gives the corresponding countermeasures. Including related to the investment scale of overall control, strengthen the supervision and administration of the operation effectively and realizes the security mechanism of the bond market; the "Three Rural" investment to increase, fundamentally solve the problem of urban and rural consumption differences exist in the present stage of our country to achieve full social life and raising the level of consumption; in view of the current irrational industrial structure the problem of treasury bond investment should focus on the adjustment of industrial structure and improve the mechanism to improve the bond link up; the combination of policy and other policies that the central bank should actively participate in the issuance of government bonds to the market system to timely perfect, in addition to strengthening business The reform of the industry bank system so as to better promote domestic demand services to improve the investment of national debt.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F812.5;F224
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