基于Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目全壽命風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-03-23 20:41
【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和科學(xué)技術(shù)的迅猛發(fā)展，建筑業(yè)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)日趨激烈，雖然目前我國(guó)建筑業(yè)的規(guī)模和水平得到了較大幅度的提升，但也暴露了一些弊病，如管理落后，信息流通緩慢，協(xié)作意識(shí)差等，因此，有必要采用一種新型的項(xiàng)目管理模式--Partnering（伙伴關(guān)系）模式，這種模式是20世紀(jì)90年代在歐美發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家興起的。由于這種模式需要相互信任，相互的坦誠(chéng)合作，所以風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是非常大的，如果其中一方違背了整體的目標(biāo)，那么整個(gè)項(xiàng)目很可能失敗，因此，對(duì)其進(jìn)行有效的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究至關(guān)重要。由于工程項(xiàng)目多種多樣，分類(lèi)較為繁多，所以本文將極具代表性的民用建筑工程項(xiàng)目作為主要研究對(duì)象來(lái)進(jìn)行研究。本文的主要?jiǎng)?chuàng)新點(diǎn)為視角創(chuàng)新和內(nèi)容創(chuàng)新，選取了一種國(guó)家倡導(dǎo)的新型的工程項(xiàng)目管理模式，從Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目實(shí)施的全壽命角度出發(fā)，對(duì)其進(jìn)行了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究，構(gòu)建了一個(gè)灰色多層次風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型，并針對(duì)各階段的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)策略。 本文研究的主要內(nèi)容有以下幾個(gè)部分：第一部分為通過(guò)梳理大量的國(guó)內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)，系統(tǒng)的闡述了Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目全壽命風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的相關(guān)理論，將Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目的全壽命期進(jìn)行了界定，將其劃分為決策階段，實(shí)施階段和竣工驗(yàn)收階段；第二部分為Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目全壽命的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別和估計(jì)，運(yùn)用德?tīng)柗品�、�?wèn)卷調(diào)查法以及專(zhuān)家訪談法，識(shí)別出了各個(gè)階段中存在的主要風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素，并運(yùn)用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定性分析方法對(duì)識(shí)別出的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行概率與影響估計(jì)，將各風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行了優(yōu)先級(jí)排序；第三部分為Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目全壽命的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)，采用了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定量的研究方法，灰色層次分析法，通過(guò)運(yùn)用層次分析法以及灰色系統(tǒng)理論，，構(gòu)建了一個(gè)灰色多層次風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型；第四部分為針對(duì)各個(gè)階段的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)措施；第五部分為Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目的具體實(shí)例，對(duì)其進(jìn)行了全壽命風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別，并對(duì)識(shí)別出的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)，最后針對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)高的提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)措施。本文通過(guò)分析Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目不同階段的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素，建立了一個(gè)灰色多層次風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型，對(duì)以后應(yīng)用Partnering模式的工程項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估，具有一定的實(shí)用和指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:With the economic globalization and the rapid development of science and technology, the competition of the construction industry is becoming more and more fierce. Although the scale and level of the construction industry in our country have been greatly improved at present, it has also exposed some disadvantages, such as the backward management. Therefore, it is necessary to adopt a new model of project management-Partnering (Partnership) model, which emerged in the developed countries of Europe and America in the 90's of the 20th century, because of the slow flow of information and the poor sense of cooperation. Since this model requires mutual trust and candid cooperation, the risk is very high, and if one of them goes against the overall goal, the entire project is likely to fail, so, It is very important to carry on the effective risk management research to it. Because of the variety and classification of the engineering project, this paper takes the representative civil construction project as the main research object. The main innovation point of this paper is the innovation of perspective and content, and a new project management mode advocated by the state is selected. From the point of view of the whole life of the project implementation of the Partnering model, the risk management research is carried out. In this paper, a grey multi-level risk assessment model is constructed, and the corresponding countermeasures are put forward for each stage of risk assessment. The main contents of this paper are as follows: in the first part, through combing a large number of domestic and foreign literatures, this paper systematically expounds the relevant theories of life-span risk management of engineering projects based on Partnering model. The life-span period of Partnering-based engineering project is defined and divided into three stages: decision-making stage, implementation stage and completion acceptance stage. The second part is the risk identification and estimation of the life span of the engineering project based on Partnering model. Using Delphi method, questionnaire survey method and expert interview method, the main risk factors in each stage are identified, and the main risk factors in each stage are identified by using Delphi method, questionnaire survey method and expert interview method. Risk qualitative analysis method is used to estimate the probability and influence of the identified risk factors, and priority is given to each risk factor. The third part is the risk assessment of the life span of the engineering project based on Partnering mode, which adopts the quantitative research method of risk, the grey analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the theory of grey system by applying the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and grey system theory. A grey multi-level risk assessment model is constructed. The fourth part puts forward the corresponding countermeasures for the risk of each stage; The fifth part is the concrete example of the engineering project of Partnering mode, carries on the whole life risk identification to it, and carries on the appraisal to the identified risk, finally puts forward the corresponding countermeasure for the high risk. By analyzing the risk factors in different stages of engineering projects with Partnering model, this paper establishes a grey multi-level risk assessment model, which is of practical and instructive significance to the risk assessment of engineering projects with Partnering model in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F272.3;F426.92
本文編號(hào)：2446211
[Abstract]:With the economic globalization and the rapid development of science and technology, the competition of the construction industry is becoming more and more fierce. Although the scale and level of the construction industry in our country have been greatly improved at present, it has also exposed some disadvantages, such as the backward management. Therefore, it is necessary to adopt a new model of project management-Partnering (Partnership) model, which emerged in the developed countries of Europe and America in the 90's of the 20th century, because of the slow flow of information and the poor sense of cooperation. Since this model requires mutual trust and candid cooperation, the risk is very high, and if one of them goes against the overall goal, the entire project is likely to fail, so, It is very important to carry on the effective risk management research to it. Because of the variety and classification of the engineering project, this paper takes the representative civil construction project as the main research object. The main innovation point of this paper is the innovation of perspective and content, and a new project management mode advocated by the state is selected. From the point of view of the whole life of the project implementation of the Partnering model, the risk management research is carried out. In this paper, a grey multi-level risk assessment model is constructed, and the corresponding countermeasures are put forward for each stage of risk assessment. The main contents of this paper are as follows: in the first part, through combing a large number of domestic and foreign literatures, this paper systematically expounds the relevant theories of life-span risk management of engineering projects based on Partnering model. The life-span period of Partnering-based engineering project is defined and divided into three stages: decision-making stage, implementation stage and completion acceptance stage. The second part is the risk identification and estimation of the life span of the engineering project based on Partnering model. Using Delphi method, questionnaire survey method and expert interview method, the main risk factors in each stage are identified, and the main risk factors in each stage are identified by using Delphi method, questionnaire survey method and expert interview method. Risk qualitative analysis method is used to estimate the probability and influence of the identified risk factors, and priority is given to each risk factor. The third part is the risk assessment of the life span of the engineering project based on Partnering mode, which adopts the quantitative research method of risk, the grey analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the theory of grey system by applying the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and grey system theory. A grey multi-level risk assessment model is constructed. The fourth part puts forward the corresponding countermeasures for the risk of each stage; The fifth part is the concrete example of the engineering project of Partnering mode, carries on the whole life risk identification to it, and carries on the appraisal to the identified risk, finally puts forward the corresponding countermeasure for the high risk. By analyzing the risk factors in different stages of engineering projects with Partnering model, this paper establishes a grey multi-level risk assessment model, which is of practical and instructive significance to the risk assessment of engineering projects with Partnering model in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F272.3;F426.92
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