【摘要】：近年來,隨著我國經(jīng)濟的不斷高速發(fā)展,我國的城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程將會不斷加快。在城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)中,城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)與住房建設(shè)將是重要一環(huán)。BT模式作為一種新的投融資模式,其發(fā)展將十分有利于城市化進(jìn)程中各個項目的推進(jìn)。在公共設(shè)施建設(shè)中,BT模式不僅可以大大減輕政府部門的財政壓力,而且它在拓寬社會投資渠道、創(chuàng)新融資模式方面發(fā)揮著重要作用。 BT模式作為BOT模式的變種,在國外已經(jīng)十分成熟。這種模式引入到中國的時間還不長,在我國的使用還處于探索階段。目前,在我國,有關(guān)于BT模式的工程項目還不太廣泛。對于政府部門和投資方來說,這種模式雖然是一種“雙贏”,但是這種模式的工程項目有其風(fēng)險存在,所以BT模式工程項目的風(fēng)險管理便成為一個十分重要且具有研究價值的課題。 本文以BT模式工程項目風(fēng)險管理理論為基礎(chǔ),以成都安仁文博小鎮(zhèn)項目為案例,建立了BT項目風(fēng)險指標(biāo)評價體系,并且從實證的角度對該項目的風(fēng)險要素進(jìn)行了深入挖掘和詳細(xì)分析,在一系列分析的基礎(chǔ)上,找出了不同風(fēng)險源的特點,并據(jù)此提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對策略和措施。 本文一共分為五章,具體結(jié)構(gòu)和具體內(nèi)容如下： 第一章：緒論。文章的緒論部分首先論述了本文的研究背景和研究意義;然后從國內(nèi)外的角度分別探討了關(guān)于BT模式的研究成果；最后,就本文使用的研究方法以及本文的內(nèi)容架構(gòu)做出了交代。 第二章：BT模式項目的基本分析。這部分先對BT的基本概念以及運作流程做了簡要闡述,然后BT模式的主要類型進(jìn)行了深入分析,最后文章比較了BT模式與其他相關(guān)模式的優(yōu)缺點。 第三章：BT模式項目的風(fēng)險分析。這部分分別對BT項目風(fēng)險的來源、風(fēng)險的識別、風(fēng)險的管理三大方面進(jìn)行了論述。本章還對風(fēng)險識別的方法進(jìn)行了歸納總結(jié),并從中選出一種方法——模糊綜合評價法,作為下一章實證內(nèi)容的方法基礎(chǔ)。 第四章：BT項目投資方風(fēng)險管理實證分析。本章從投資方的角度來說,以具體的項目——成都安仁文博小鎮(zhèn)項目的數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),以模糊數(shù)學(xué)的理論為依據(jù),構(gòu)建了該項目的風(fēng)險評價體系,并從中找出了風(fēng)險的來源。最后,還就風(fēng)險的應(yīng)對策略和解決措施做出了深入闡述。 第五章：結(jié)論與展望。從第四章的實例中,可以得出初步的結(jié)論。本章就這些初步的結(jié)論進(jìn)行了進(jìn)一步的引申,把個體的應(yīng)對措施提升到宏觀的角度,把個別的解決方案提升到制度層面。然后,本章還就本文的不足和進(jìn)一步的改進(jìn)措施進(jìn)行了闡述。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of China's economy, China's urbanization process will be accelerated. In urbanization construction, urban infrastructure construction and housing construction will be an important link. BT model as a new mode of investment and financing, its development will be very conducive to the advancement of various projects in the process of urbanization. In the construction of public facilities, the BT model can not only greatly reduce the financial pressure of the government, but also play an important role in broadening the social investment channels and innovating the financing mode. Abroad has been very mature. This model has not been introduced into China for a long time, and its use in China is still in the exploratory stage. At present, in China, there are about the BT model of the project is not very extensive. Although this model is a "win-win" for government departments and investors, there are risks to the project. So the risk management of BT project has become a very important and valuable topic. Based on the theory of BT project risk management and taking the small town project of Anren Wenbo in Chengdu as a case, the risk index evaluation system of BT project is established in this paper. Based on a series of analysis, this paper finds out the characteristics of different risk sources, and puts forward corresponding strategies and measures. This article is divided into five chapters, the specific structure and specific content as follows: chapter one: introduction. The introduction part of the article first discusses the research background and significance of this paper; then discusses the research results of BT model from the perspective of domestic and foreign; finally, The research methods used in this paper and the content structure of this paper are explained. The second chapter is the basic analysis of the project of: BT mode. In this part, the basic concept and operation flow of BT are briefly described, and then the main types of BT schema are analyzed in depth. Finally, the advantages and disadvantages of BT mode and other related modes are compared. Chapter 3: the risk analysis of BT model project. This part discusses the source of BT project risk, risk identification and risk management. This chapter also summarizes the methods of risk identification, and selects a method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, which is the basis of the empirical content in the next chapter. Chapter 4: the empirical analysis of risk management of investor in BT project. From the perspective of investors, based on the data of Chengdu Anren Wenbo small town project and the theory of fuzzy mathematics, this chapter constructs the risk evaluation system of the project, and finds out the source of the risk. In the end, the paper makes a deep exposition on the strategy and solution of the risk. Chapter five: conclusion and prospect. A preliminary conclusion can be drawn from the examples in Chapter 4. This chapter carries on the further extension to these preliminary conclusions, promotes the individual response measure to the macroscopic angle, promotes the individual solution to the system level. Then, this chapter also describes the shortcomings of this paper and further improvement measures.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F284;F299.24

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