【摘要】：物流作為一種社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)動(dòng)的形態(tài),自從人類社會(huì)有了商品交換開(kāi)始就出現(xiàn)了,但人們開(kāi)始重視這一社會(huì)活動(dòng)還是近幾十年的事情。隨著我國(guó)市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,物流的重要性才逐漸被大家所認(rèn)識(shí)。近年來(lái),我國(guó)各地區(qū)都在利用資源優(yōu)勢(shì),挖掘自身潛力,加快物流產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展。然而,由于資源稟賦、社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展情況、區(qū)位及交通設(shè)施等條件存在較大差異,各省份物流產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展?jié)摿伴_(kāi)發(fā)現(xiàn)狀都呈現(xiàn)出明顯的非平衡性。為了實(shí)現(xiàn)各地區(qū)物流產(chǎn)業(yè)均衡發(fā)展,對(duì)我國(guó)各地區(qū)物流產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展?jié)摿M(jìn)行準(zhǔn)確測(cè)度顯得尤為重要。 本文在對(duì)現(xiàn)有文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行研究的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ母拍钸M(jìn)行界定。首先,在系統(tǒng)論、區(qū)位論、生態(tài)承載力理論、可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論和新古典主義均衡發(fā)展理論的指導(dǎo)下,基于宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的研究視角,從物流需求和物流供給兩方面構(gòu)建物流發(fā)展?jié)摿y(cè)算指標(biāo)體系。其次,運(yùn)用加權(quán)主成分TOPSIS價(jià)值函數(shù)模型對(duì)各地區(qū)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿M(jìn)行測(cè)度。最后,運(yùn)用聚類分析和空間統(tǒng)計(jì)分析等方法對(duì)我國(guó)各地區(qū)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ目臻g分布特征進(jìn)行分析。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)： (1)我國(guó)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Τ尸F(xiàn)出明顯的地帶性分布特征,物流發(fā)展?jié)摿^高的區(qū)域多集中于東部沿海地區(qū),物流發(fā)展?jié)摿^低的區(qū)域多集中于西部地區(qū)。資源稟賦和區(qū)域發(fā)展政策等因素使得物流發(fā)展?jié)摿υ诳臻g分布上仍表現(xiàn)出一定程度的隨機(jī)性。 (2)我國(guó)各地區(qū)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿臀锪靼l(fā)展實(shí)力之間的相關(guān)程度較高,然而二者在空間分布上并非完全一致�？傮w來(lái)看,我國(guó)大部分省份位于第Ⅰ、Ⅲ象限,少數(shù)省份的發(fā)展?jié)摿ξ吹玫匠浞职l(fā)揮。 (3)2008-2013年,我國(guó)不同地區(qū)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Τ尸F(xiàn)出不同的波動(dòng)狀態(tài),這與自然條件、資源情況、經(jīng)濟(jì)條件、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)類型等因素有著密切的聯(lián)系。東部地區(qū)中,北京、遼寧、山東、上海、浙江、廣東等地區(qū)的物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Σ▌?dòng)性較低,說(shuō)明這些區(qū)域的物流發(fā)展?jié)摿_(dá)到較為穩(wěn)定的階段；中部地區(qū)中,河南的物流發(fā)展?jié)摿λ讲▌?dòng)性最低；西部省份的物流發(fā)展?jié)摿λ讲▌?dòng)性普遍較高。 (4)我國(guó)物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ目臻g分布格局呈現(xiàn)出一定的規(guī)律性：在總體空間分布上,我國(guó)省際物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Ρ憩F(xiàn)出空間自相關(guān)性,相似的地區(qū)在空間上集聚分布。高一高集聚地區(qū)分布的空間結(jié)構(gòu),多是以環(huán)渤海地區(qū)和長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)為核心的圖層空間結(jié)構(gòu),而云南、四川等西部省份則表現(xiàn)出明顯的低一低集聚態(tài)勢(shì),并且隨著物流發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ恼w提高,這種分布模式并沒(méi)有發(fā)生根本性的變化。
[Abstract]:Logistics, as a form of social economic movement, has appeared since the beginning of commodity exchange in human society, but people have begun to attach importance to this social activity in recent decades. With the development of market economy in China, the importance of logistics has been gradually recognized. In recent years, all regions in China are exploiting their own potential and accelerating the development of logistics industry. However, due to the great differences in resource endowment, social and economic development, location and transportation facilities, the development potential and development status of logistics industry in various provinces show obvious imbalance. In order to realize the balanced development of regional logistics industry, it is very important to measure the development potential of regional logistics industry in China. This paper defines the concept of logistics development potential on the basis of research on existing literature. First of all, under the guidance of system theory, location theory, ecological carrying capacity theory, sustainable development theory and neo-classical balanced development theory, based on the perspective of macroeconomics, This paper constructs the index system of logistics development potential from two aspects of logistics demand and logistics supply. Secondly, the paper uses the weighted principal component TOPSIS value function model to measure the potential of logistics development in various regions. Finally, the spatial distribution characteristics of logistics development potential in various regions of China are analyzed by means of cluster analysis and spatial statistical analysis. The results are as follows: (1) the potential of logistics development in China shows obvious zonal distribution characteristics. The regions with higher logistics development potential are concentrated in the eastern coastal areas, and the regions with lower logistics development potential are mostly concentrated in the western regions. Some factors, such as resource endowment and regional development policy, make the logistics development potential still show a certain degree of randomness in spatial distribution. (2) the correlation between logistics development potential and logistics development strength in various regions of China is relatively high. However, the spatial distribution of the two is not exactly the same. In general, most of the provinces in China are located in the first and third quadrants, and a few provinces have not fully developed their development potential. (3) in 2008-2013, the potential of logistics development in different regions of China shows different fluctuations, which is similar to the natural conditions. Resources, economic conditions, industrial structure types and other factors have a close relationship. In the eastern region, Beijing, Liaoning, Shandong, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and other regions have relatively low volatility of logistics development potential, indicating that the logistics development potential of these regions has reached a relatively stable stage; in the central region, The level of logistics development potential in Henan Province is the lowest, and the level of logistics development potential level in western provinces is generally high. (4) the spatial distribution pattern of logistics development potential in China shows certain regularity: in the overall spatial distribution, The development potential of interprovincial logistics in China shows spatial autocorrelation, and similar regions gather and distribute in space. The spatial structure of the high concentration areas in the first year of high school is mostly the map layer spatial structure with the Bohai Rim region and the Yangtze River Delta region as the core, while the western provinces of Yunnan, Sichuan and other western provinces show an obvious situation of low to low agglomeration. And with the overall improvement of logistics development potential, this distribution pattern has not changed fundamentally.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：太原理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F259.27

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