本文選題：供給側(cè)改革 + 安徽省�。� 參考：《經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理評論》2017年05期

【摘要】：以1998-2014年安徽省數(shù)據(jù)為樣本,選取進(jìn)出口總值(Z)、運(yùn)輸總量(LC)、物流網(wǎng)絡(luò)里程(LR)3個變量建立現(xiàn)代物流與對外貿(mào)易關(guān)系研究的VAR模型,結(jié)果表明三者之間存在長期均衡關(guān)系,且進(jìn)出口總值是運(yùn)輸總量的單向Granger原因,物流網(wǎng)絡(luò)里程是進(jìn)出口總值的單向Granger原因,即外貿(mào)發(fā)展對物流需求具有拉動作用,但物流需求對進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易作用不明顯;物流供給對進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易具有促進(jìn)作用,而進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易對物流供給作用不顯著。據(jù)此,從物流供給降本增效,物流企業(yè)服務(wù)升級,培育外貿(mào)競爭新優(yōu)勢,搭建對外開放平臺四個方面提出相關(guān)對策建議。
[Abstract]:Taking the data of 1998-2014 years in Anhui as a sample, the VAR model of the study of modern logistics and foreign trade relations is set up by 3 variables of gross import and export (Z), total transport volume (LC) and logistics network mileage (LR). The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the three, and the gross import and export value is one of the one-way Granger causes of the total transportation, and the logistics network mileage is The one-way Granger cause of the total import and export value, that is, the development of foreign trade has a pulling effect on the logistics demand, but the logistics demand has no obvious effect on import and export trade; logistics supply has a promoting effect on import and export trade, and the effect of import and export trade on logistics supply is not significant. To raise the new advantages of foreign trade competition and to set up four aspects of opening up platform, we put forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions.
【作者單位】： 安徽大學(xué)商學(xué)院;南開大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“新型城鎮(zhèn)化背景下小城鎮(zhèn)電子商務(wù)物流發(fā)展研究”(項(xiàng)目編號:15BJY117) 安徽省教育廳人文社科重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目“新型城鎮(zhèn)化背景下安徽省農(nóng)村物流發(fā)展研究”(項(xiàng)目編號:SK2015A241) 安徽大學(xué)2015級研究生學(xué)術(shù)創(chuàng)新研究扶持與強(qiáng)化項(xiàng)目“供給側(cè)改革下現(xiàn)代物流與對外貿(mào)易關(guān)系研究”的階段性成果
【分類號】：F259.27;F752.8

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