本文選題：物流能力 + 金融績(jī)效��； 參考：《商業(yè)研究》2017年08期

【摘要】：物流與金融的整合創(chuàng)新,構(gòu)建風(fēng)險(xiǎn)共治、利益共贏的物流-金融復(fù)合系統(tǒng),是物流業(yè)進(jìn)一步發(fā)展提升的有效途徑。本文選取我國31省市2004-2014年物流業(yè)與金融業(yè)宏觀數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用熵權(quán)法分別衡量區(qū)域物流能力和金融績(jī)效水平,基于哈肯模型構(gòu)建物流-金融復(fù)合系統(tǒng)分析物流金融協(xié)同發(fā)展路徑和演變規(guī)律。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),物流能力在復(fù)合系統(tǒng)演變過程中起主導(dǎo)作用;物流業(yè)的發(fā)展對(duì)金融業(yè)有正反饋效應(yīng),而金融市場(chǎng)對(duì)物流業(yè)發(fā)展未起到充分的支持作用;我國物流-金融協(xié)同水平整體已進(jìn)入"協(xié)作級(jí)"階段,物流能力、金融績(jī)效和協(xié)同水平均呈東-中-西三級(jí)階梯式遞減趨勢(shì)。據(jù)此,目標(biāo)協(xié)同、發(fā)展耦合、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)共擔(dān)、信息共享和政策引導(dǎo)是物流業(yè)與金融業(yè)協(xié)同發(fā)展的有效措施。
[Abstract]:The integration and innovation of logistics and finance, the construction of a win-win logistics and financial complex system is an effective way for the further development and promotion of logistics industry. Based on the macro data of logistics industry and financial industry in 31 provinces and cities of China from 2004 to 2014, the paper uses entropy weight method to measure the regional logistics capability and financial performance level respectively. Based on Hacken model, the logistics-finance complex system is constructed to analyze the development path and evolution law of logistics and finance cooperation. It is found that the logistics capability plays a leading role in the evolution of the complex system, and the development of the logistics industry has positive feedback effect on the financial industry, while the financial market does not play a sufficient supporting role in the development of the logistics industry. The cooperation level of logistics and finance in our country has entered the stage of "cooperation level", and the logistics ability, financial performance and coordination level are all in the descending trend of three levels of east, middle and west. Therefore, goal coordination, development coupling, risk sharing, information sharing and policy guidance are effective measures for the coordinated development of logistics industry and financial industry.
【作者單位】： 江南大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“小樣本非等距灰色預(yù)測(cè)模型建模及其應(yīng)用研究”,項(xiàng)目編號(hào):71301061 中央高校專項(xiàng)項(xiàng)目,項(xiàng)目編號(hào):2015JDZD11
【分類號(hào)】：F259.2;F832
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本文編號(hào)：1887329