【摘要】：我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼政策從2004年開始實(shí)施，在政策的推動(dòng)下，農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械化水平取得飛速發(fā)展，但同時(shí)，農(nóng)機(jī)化環(huán)境不斷變化，補(bǔ)貼政策實(shí)施中暴露出了諸多問(wèn)題，農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼政策實(shí)施效果，已經(jīng)受到了廣泛的關(guān)注。新疆土地面積廣闊，農(nóng)機(jī)化發(fā)展?jié)摿薮�，農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼資金是全國(guó)較多的省份之一，新疆農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼政策實(shí)施績(jī)效情況有較強(qiáng)的代表性。因此，分析評(píng)估新疆農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼政策實(shí)施績(jī)效，對(duì)于深化農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼政策有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)指導(dǎo)作用，同時(shí)豐富了農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼政策的理論研究。 本文在整理分析大量數(shù)據(jù)資料的基礎(chǔ)上，，首先分析我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼實(shí)施現(xiàn)狀，包括政策的內(nèi)容、實(shí)施效果以及存在的問(wèn)題等。其次，分析新疆農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼實(shí)施現(xiàn)狀，具體包括應(yīng)用二元回歸模型計(jì)算財(cái)政投入對(duì)農(nóng)民購(gòu)機(jī)投入的帶動(dòng)效應(yīng)；采用城鄉(xiāng)收入比倍率、農(nóng)民收入增長(zhǎng)彈性和農(nóng)民收入相對(duì)增長(zhǎng)彈性三個(gè)指標(biāo)，分析農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼對(duì)農(nóng)民增收的影響；研究糧食單產(chǎn)、播種面積、糧食總產(chǎn)量三個(gè)指標(biāo)和農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼的關(guān)聯(lián)性，進(jìn)而說(shuō)明補(bǔ)貼對(duì)新疆糧食增產(chǎn)的影響等。再次，從微觀視角評(píng)估新疆農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼實(shí)施效果，包括基于Probit模型，分析新疆農(nóng)戶購(gòu)機(jī)意愿、購(gòu)機(jī)行為和購(gòu)機(jī)誘致性的影響因素；應(yīng)用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度法，探討新疆農(nóng)戶對(duì)補(bǔ)貼工作的滿意情況。最后，從宏觀視角分析政策實(shí)施效果在新疆的區(qū)域差異。得出以下結(jié)論： （1）從工業(yè)反哺農(nóng)業(yè)視角看，我國(guó)政府有能力在未來(lái)保持并增加農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼資金。（2）新疆財(cái)政補(bǔ)貼總額每增長(zhǎng)10%，帶動(dòng)農(nóng)民個(gè)人投入增長(zhǎng)4.12%；在2003、2005、2009、2010年新疆農(nóng)民年收入有絕對(duì)意義上的增長(zhǎng)，城鄉(xiāng)居民的收入差距在縮��；農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼數(shù)量與農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模正相關(guān)，與糧食單產(chǎn)不相關(guān)。（3）微觀研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，農(nóng)戶農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置意愿正向因素包括，農(nóng)戶文化水平、家庭純收入、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模、農(nóng)機(jī)使用經(jīng)驗(yàn)、對(duì)補(bǔ)貼政策的認(rèn)知以及農(nóng)戶融資容易程度；農(nóng)戶農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼資金獲得正向影響因素包括，包括農(nóng)戶身體健康、農(nóng)戶文化水平、家庭純收入、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模、對(duì)補(bǔ)貼政策的認(rèn)知以及農(nóng)戶融資容易；農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼政策對(duì)農(nóng)戶購(gòu)機(jī)誘致性有正向影響作用的因素包括，農(nóng)戶身體健康狀況和農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模；農(nóng)機(jī)質(zhì)量最能影響農(nóng)戶對(duì)農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼工作的滿意度。（4）因子分析法計(jì)算結(jié)果顯示，新疆農(nóng)機(jī)購(gòu)置補(bǔ)貼政策實(shí)施效果在北疆、東疆“先抑后揚(yáng)”，在南疆不顯著。 基于研究結(jié)論，本文提出以下對(duì)策建議：（1）補(bǔ)貼方式采用財(cái)政和金融并舉；（2）加強(qiáng)農(nóng)機(jī)人才培養(yǎng)和人才引進(jìn)；（3）保障農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量安全；（4）構(gòu)建立足全產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼；（5）農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼實(shí)施差異化。
[Abstract]:China's agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy began to be implemented in 2004. Under the promotion of the policy, the level of agricultural mechanization has achieved rapid development, but at the same time, the environment of agricultural mechanization has been constantly changing, and many problems have been exposed in the implementation of the subsidy policy. The effect of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy has been widely concerned. Xinjiang has a vast land area and great potential for agricultural mechanization development. Agricultural machinery subsidy fund is one of the more provinces in the country, and the performance of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy in Xinjiang is more representative. Therefore, the analysis and evaluation of the performance of the agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy in Xinjiang has an important practical guiding role in deepening the agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy, at the same time, it enriches the theoretical research of the agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy. Based on the analysis of a large number of data, this paper first analyzes the current situation of the implementation of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy in China, including the contents of the policy, the effect of implementation and the existing problems. Secondly, this paper analyzes the current situation of agricultural machinery subsidy implementation in Xinjiang, including the application of binary regression model to calculate the driving effect of financial input on farmers' purchase machine investment; Using the ratio of urban and rural income, farmers' income growth elasticity and farmers' relative income growth elasticity, this paper analyzes the impact of farm machinery purchase subsidy on farmers' income increase. The relationship between grain yield per unit yield, sown area, total grain yield and agricultural machinery subsidies was studied, and then the effect of subsidies on grain production in Xinjiang was explained. Thirdly, the effect of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy in Xinjiang is evaluated from the microcosmic perspective, including the influence factors of farmers' purchase intention, behavior and inductivity based on Probit model. The grey correlation degree method is applied to discuss the satisfaction of farmers in Xinjiang with the subsidy work. Finally, from the macro perspective analysis of the regional differences in the implementation of policy in Xinjiang. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) from the perspective of industry-fed agriculture, the Chinese government has the ability to maintain and increase funds for agricultural machinery subsidies in the future. (2) every 10% increase in the total financial subsidies in Xinjiang, Driving the increase of farmers' individual input by 4.12%; In 2003, 2005, 2009 and 2010, the annual income of farmers in Xinjiang increased in absolute sense, and the income gap between urban and rural residents was narrowing; The quantity of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy is positively related to the scale of agricultural production, but not to the unit grain yield. (3) the micro-research shows that the positive factors of farmers' willingness to purchase agricultural machinery include farmers' cultural level, household net income, and agricultural production scale. Experience in the use of agricultural machinery, understanding of subsidy policies and farmers' ease of financing; The positive influencing factors include the farmer's health, the farmer's cultural level, the family's net income, the scale of agricultural production, the cognition of the subsidy policy and the ease of farmers' financing. The factors that have a positive effect on the inductivity of agricultural machinery subsidy policy include: the health status of farmers and the scale of agricultural production; The quality of agricultural machinery can affect farmers' satisfaction with the work of agricultural machinery subsidy most. (4) the result of factor analysis shows that the effect of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy in Xinjiang is in the north of Xinjiang, in the east of Xinjiang, "first restrain and then raise", but it is not significant in the south of Xinjiang. Based on the research conclusion, this paper puts forward the following countermeasures and suggestions: (1) adopting both finance and finance, (2) strengthening the cultivation and introduction of agricultural machinery talents, (3) ensuring the quality and safety of agricultural machinery products, (2) strengthening the cultivation and introduction of agricultural machinery talents, (4) construct agricultural machinery subsidy based on the whole industry chain; (5) implement differentiation of agricultural machinery subsidy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：新疆農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F323.3;F812.8

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