瓦格納法則視角下廣東省財(cái)政支出規(guī)模增長的實(shí)證研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-03-28 18:01
【摘要】：關(guān)于政府規(guī)模問題的探討一直是公共經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)界熱點(diǎn)問題之一。我國政府雖然先后進(jìn)行了多次精簡機(jī)構(gòu)改革,但政府財(cái)政支出規(guī)模并沒有停止擴(kuò)張的趨勢。廣東省作為全國經(jīng)濟(jì)大省之一,其政府財(cái)政支出絕對(duì)規(guī)模卻一直居全國首位,引起關(guān)于廣東省政府規(guī)模擴(kuò)張合理性的討論。因此,有必要基于當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展背景研究影響財(cái)政支出規(guī)模擴(kuò)張的因素,以探討廣東省財(cái)政支出規(guī)模擴(kuò)張是否存在合理性。本文以政府規(guī)模擴(kuò)張理論研究成果之一的瓦格納法則為出發(fā)點(diǎn),結(jié)合當(dāng)前我國工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化不斷推進(jìn)的大背景,分析了廣東省財(cái)政支出規(guī)模發(fā)展情況,實(shí)證研究了廣東省工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化與政府財(cái)政支出規(guī)模之間的關(guān)系,基于此分析政府規(guī)模擴(kuò)張的是否具有合理性,并提出優(yōu)化政府規(guī)模的政策建議。本文前半部分主要采用比較分析和理論分析的方法。首先對(duì)瓦格納法則的具體內(nèi)容進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的解釋和說明,并梳理了瓦格納法則在中國適用性研究的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn);然后回顧了廣東省1978年至2015年期間財(cái)政支出分階段增長情況,對(duì)廣東省人均財(cái)政支出、財(cái)政支出絕對(duì)規(guī)模發(fā)展情況以及結(jié)構(gòu)特征進(jìn)行橫向和縱向的比較分析,以全面呈現(xiàn)廣東省財(cái)政支出規(guī)模增長情況;最后闡釋了瓦格納法則視角下財(cái)政支出規(guī)模擴(kuò)張的原因,主要?dú)w結(jié)為工業(yè)化導(dǎo)致社會(huì)市場關(guān)系復(fù)雜化、城鎮(zhèn)化引致公共安全衛(wèi)生等公共產(chǎn)品數(shù)量和質(zhì)量的激增,致使政府需承擔(dān)更多的供給和管理職責(zé),助推財(cái)政支出規(guī)模的擴(kuò)張。文章后半部分采用了實(shí)證分析方法,首先通過建立向量自回歸模型實(shí)證分析了廣東省工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)財(cái)政支出規(guī)模的影響;然后將實(shí)證結(jié)果應(yīng)用于政府規(guī)模擴(kuò)張的合理性分析,并通過沿海五省及兩直轄市和廣東省的財(cái)政支出相關(guān)指標(biāo)的比較,進(jìn)一步對(duì)廣東省財(cái)政支出規(guī)模增長合理性進(jìn)行分析,最后針對(duì)廣東省在工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中如何優(yōu)化政府規(guī)模提出了政策建議。通過本文的理論和實(shí)證分析,得出廣東省工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)政府財(cái)政支出規(guī)模起正向推動(dòng)作用,說明政府在工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中履行的職能助推政府財(cái)政支出規(guī)模的擴(kuò)大,財(cái)政支出規(guī)模擴(kuò)張存在其必要性和合理性,但政府應(yīng)不斷提高自身執(zhí)政能力,合理控制政府規(guī)模。
[Abstract]:The discussion on the scale of government has always been one of the hot issues in the field of public economics. Although our country government has carried on many times to streamline the organization reform, but the government fiscal expenditure scale has not stopped the trend of expansion. As one of the major economic provinces in China, Guangdong Province has always occupied the first place in the absolute scale of its government expenditure, which has led to a discussion on the rationality of the scale expansion of the Guangdong provincial government. Therefore, it is necessary to study the factors affecting the scale expansion of fiscal expenditure based on the current economic development background, in order to explore the rationality of the scale expansion of fiscal expenditure in Guangdong Province. Taking Wagner method, one of the theoretical achievements of government scale expansion, as the starting point, this paper analyzes the development of the scale of fiscal expenditure in Guangdong Province in the light of the current background of industrialization and urbanization in China. This paper empirically studies the relationship between the industrialization and urbanization of Guangdong Province and the scale of government expenditure. Based on this analysis, the rationality of the expansion of government scale is analyzed, and the policy suggestions for optimizing the scale of government are put forward. The first half of this paper mainly uses the methods of comparative analysis and theoretical analysis. First of all, the specific content of Wagner's rule is explained and explained in detail, and the relevant literature about the applicability of Wagner's rule in China is combed. Then it reviews the phased growth of Guangdong's fiscal expenditure from 1978 to 2015, and makes a horizontal and vertical comparative analysis of the per capita fiscal expenditure, the development of the absolute scale of fiscal expenditure and the structural characteristics of Guangdong Province, In order to show the scale of fiscal expenditure growth in Guangdong Province in an all-round way; Finally, it explains the reasons for the scale expansion of fiscal expenditure from the perspective of Wagner's law, which is mainly attributed to the complexity of social market relations caused by industrialization and the surge in the quantity and quality of public goods such as public safety and health caused by urbanization. As a result, the government needs to assume more supply and management responsibilities to boost the expansion of the scale of fiscal expenditure. In the second half of the paper, the empirical analysis method is adopted. Firstly, the influence of industrialization and urbanization of Guangdong Province on the scale of fiscal expenditure is analyzed through the establishment of vector autoregressive model. Then the empirical results are applied to the rationality analysis of government scale expansion, and through the comparison of five coastal provinces, two municipalities directly under the Central Government and Guangdong Province, the rationality of the scale growth of fiscal expenditure in Guangdong Province is further analyzed. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to optimize the scale of government in the process of industrialization and urbanization in Guangdong Province. Through the theoretical and empirical analysis of this paper, it is concluded that the industrialization and urbanization of Guangdong Province play a positive role in promoting the scale of government fiscal expenditure, indicating that the functions performed by the government in the process of industrialization and urbanization contribute to the expansion of the scale of government fiscal expenditure. It is necessary and reasonable to expand the scale of fiscal expenditure, but the government should constantly improve its governing ability and control the scale of government reasonably.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F812.45
本文編號(hào)：2449099
[Abstract]:The discussion on the scale of government has always been one of the hot issues in the field of public economics. Although our country government has carried on many times to streamline the organization reform, but the government fiscal expenditure scale has not stopped the trend of expansion. As one of the major economic provinces in China, Guangdong Province has always occupied the first place in the absolute scale of its government expenditure, which has led to a discussion on the rationality of the scale expansion of the Guangdong provincial government. Therefore, it is necessary to study the factors affecting the scale expansion of fiscal expenditure based on the current economic development background, in order to explore the rationality of the scale expansion of fiscal expenditure in Guangdong Province. Taking Wagner method, one of the theoretical achievements of government scale expansion, as the starting point, this paper analyzes the development of the scale of fiscal expenditure in Guangdong Province in the light of the current background of industrialization and urbanization in China. This paper empirically studies the relationship between the industrialization and urbanization of Guangdong Province and the scale of government expenditure. Based on this analysis, the rationality of the expansion of government scale is analyzed, and the policy suggestions for optimizing the scale of government are put forward. The first half of this paper mainly uses the methods of comparative analysis and theoretical analysis. First of all, the specific content of Wagner's rule is explained and explained in detail, and the relevant literature about the applicability of Wagner's rule in China is combed. Then it reviews the phased growth of Guangdong's fiscal expenditure from 1978 to 2015, and makes a horizontal and vertical comparative analysis of the per capita fiscal expenditure, the development of the absolute scale of fiscal expenditure and the structural characteristics of Guangdong Province, In order to show the scale of fiscal expenditure growth in Guangdong Province in an all-round way; Finally, it explains the reasons for the scale expansion of fiscal expenditure from the perspective of Wagner's law, which is mainly attributed to the complexity of social market relations caused by industrialization and the surge in the quantity and quality of public goods such as public safety and health caused by urbanization. As a result, the government needs to assume more supply and management responsibilities to boost the expansion of the scale of fiscal expenditure. In the second half of the paper, the empirical analysis method is adopted. Firstly, the influence of industrialization and urbanization of Guangdong Province on the scale of fiscal expenditure is analyzed through the establishment of vector autoregressive model. Then the empirical results are applied to the rationality analysis of government scale expansion, and through the comparison of five coastal provinces, two municipalities directly under the Central Government and Guangdong Province, the rationality of the scale growth of fiscal expenditure in Guangdong Province is further analyzed. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to optimize the scale of government in the process of industrialization and urbanization in Guangdong Province. Through the theoretical and empirical analysis of this paper, it is concluded that the industrialization and urbanization of Guangdong Province play a positive role in promoting the scale of government fiscal expenditure, indicating that the functions performed by the government in the process of industrialization and urbanization contribute to the expansion of the scale of government fiscal expenditure. It is necessary and reasonable to expand the scale of fiscal expenditure, but the government should constantly improve its governing ability and control the scale of government reasonably.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F812.45
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 廣東省財(cái)政廳課題組;鄭賢操;劉華偉;;廣東財(cái)政支出總量與結(jié)構(gòu)研究[J];財(cái)政科學(xué);2016年01期
2 賈凱威;;政府公共支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長:基于MTAR模型的瓦格納法則再檢驗(yàn)[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2015年13期
3 陳治國;李成友;李紅;;城市化與政府財(cái)政規(guī)模的關(guān)系——理論分析與實(shí)證研究[J];技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2015年03期
4 朱家亮;;城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程與財(cái)政相互關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究[J];城市發(fā)展研究;2014年09期
5 胡玉敏;蹤家鋒;;中國地方政府支出的瓦格納檢驗(yàn)[J];石家莊經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2013年04期
6 高軍;王曉丹;;基于門限向量協(xié)整模型對(duì)瓦格納法則的實(shí)證研究[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2013年13期
7 馬巧慧;;技術(shù)創(chuàng)新倒逼制度創(chuàng)新:自媒體時(shí)代背景下對(duì)財(cái)政民主監(jiān)督的深化[J];地方財(cái)政研究;2013年06期
8 朱軍;;提高財(cái)政透明度 控制地方公共支出規(guī)模[J];中國財(cái)政;2013年10期
9 劉昊;;城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展與財(cái)政政策相關(guān)性的實(shí)證分析[J];地方財(cái)政研究;2013年04期
10 黃鐘;;政府轉(zhuǎn)變職能與改革公共產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)供給方式[J];江南論壇;2012年12期
相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條
1 潘圓圓;我國地方政府規(guī)模影響因素的研究[D];復(fù)旦大學(xué);2012年
，本文編號(hào)：2449099
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/guanlilunwen/shuishoucaizhenglunwen/2449099.html
最近更新
教材專著
