【摘要】：地方政府融資平臺(tái)在推動(dòng)城市化基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)、促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展和拉動(dòng)內(nèi)需等方面均發(fā)揮著重要的作用。但在現(xiàn)行體制和運(yùn)行機(jī)制下,地方政府融資平臺(tái)的運(yùn)作也不同程度地存在著諸多風(fēng)險(xiǎn),如果不進(jìn)行深入分析和科學(xué)管控,勢(shì)必會(huì)給地方經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)與發(fā)展造成負(fù)面影響。 該項(xiàng)研究以風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理理論、債務(wù)危機(jī)理論和公債理論為基礎(chǔ),對(duì)哈爾濱市地方政府融資平臺(tái)的發(fā)展情況及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防控現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行闡述,并與國(guó)內(nèi)其他城市和地區(qū)的地方政府融資平臺(tái)綜合情況進(jìn)行比較分析,以此作為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警研究的事實(shí)依據(jù)。在對(duì)哈爾濱市地方政府融資平臺(tái)存在的宏觀政策、債務(wù)償還、債務(wù)運(yùn)作三大方面的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及形成原因進(jìn)行定性分析的基礎(chǔ)上,找出其風(fēng)險(xiǎn)形成及傳導(dǎo)的內(nèi)在邏輯與根源。按照相關(guān)的設(shè)計(jì)原則,確立了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警體系流程,對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行定量研究。分別從宏觀、中觀、微觀三個(gè)層面選取對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平具有重大影響作用的10個(gè)預(yù)警指標(biāo),采用模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)法,建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警模型,并以哈爾濱市水務(wù)投資集團(tuán)為實(shí)例,驗(yàn)證風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警模型,依據(jù)驗(yàn)證結(jié)果,客觀評(píng)估了水投集團(tuán)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級(jí)以及債務(wù)的可持續(xù)性。并分別從建立預(yù)警組織體系、完善制度法規(guī)和建立預(yù)警結(jié)果處理機(jī)制三個(gè)方面提出了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警有效實(shí)施的綜合保障措施。以實(shí)現(xiàn)動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)控哈爾濱市融資平臺(tái)債務(wù)資金運(yùn)作情況的全面開(kāi)展,為及時(shí)調(diào)整和化解債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),促進(jìn)哈爾濱市地方政府融資平臺(tái)的健康可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供技術(shù)支持和經(jīng)驗(yàn)參考。
[Abstract]:Local government financing platform plays an important role in promoting the construction of urbanization infrastructure, promoting industrialization and stimulating domestic demand. However, under the current system and operation mechanism, there are many risks in the operation of local government financing platform. If we do not carry out in-depth analysis and scientific control, it will inevitably have a negative impact on local economic construction and development. Based on the theory of risk management, the theory of debt crisis and the theory of public debt, this paper expounds the development of Harbin local government financing platform and the current situation of risk prevention and control. Compared with other local government financing platforms in other cities and regions in China, this paper takes this as the factual basis of risk early-warning research. On the basis of qualitative analysis of the macro-policy debt repayment and debt operation of Harbin local government financing platform the internal logic and origin of its risk formation and transmission are found out. According to the relevant design principles, the risk early warning system process is established, and the risk is studied quantitatively. This paper selects 10 early warning indexes which have great influence on risk level from three levels of macro, meso and micro respectively, adopts fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, establishes risk early warning model, and takes Harbin Water Affairs Investment Group as an example, and takes Harbin Water Affairs Investment Group as an example, and uses the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to establish the risk early warning model. The risk pre-warning model is verified and the risk grade and debt sustainability are evaluated objectively according to the verification results. The comprehensive safeguard measures for the effective implementation of risk early warning are put forward from three aspects: the establishment of early warning organization system, the perfection of system laws and regulations, and the establishment of early warning result handling mechanism. In order to dynamically monitor the debt fund operation of Harbin City financing platform, provide technical support and experience reference for adjusting and resolving the debt risk in time and promoting the healthy and sustainable development of Harbin Local Government financing platform.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F812.5

【共引文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 李偉;玉溪市撫仙湖保護(hù)開(kāi)發(fā)投資有限公司運(yùn)作策略研究[D];云南師范大學(xué);2013年

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本文編號(hào)：2434486