【摘要】：通過(guò)構(gòu)建異質(zhì)性隨機(jī)前沿模型,在考慮財(cái)政約束的條件下,對(duì)中國(guó)貿(mào)易收支的效率及其影響因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證測(cè)度。研究結(jié)果顯示:總體上看,財(cái)政約束是造成中國(guó)貿(mào)易收支失衡和效率扭曲的重要因素。從分區(qū)域角度看,東部地區(qū)面臨的財(cái)政約束程度要明顯低于中西部地區(qū);財(cái)政支出分權(quán)和財(cái)政收入分權(quán)會(huì)加劇財(cái)政約束的不確定性,但前者無(wú)法緩解財(cái)政約束,而后者能夠有效平抑財(cái)政約束;財(cái)政支出的擴(kuò)張不但能緩解財(cái)政約束,還能降低財(cái)政約束的不確定性。財(cái)政收入的提高對(duì)財(cái)政約束本身缺乏顯著性影響,但會(huì)加劇財(cái)政約束的不確定性;財(cái)政分權(quán)體制的強(qiáng)化能夠有效緩和經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的財(cái)政約束,財(cái)政能力的提高和財(cái)政赤字的調(diào)控則有助于平滑經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的財(cái)政約束。
[Abstract]:By constructing heterogeneity stochastic frontier model, this paper empirically measures the efficiency of China's trade balance and its influencing factors under the condition of considering financial constraints. The results show that fiscal constraint is an important factor causing imbalance and efficiency distortion of China's trade balance. From a subregional point of view, the degree of financial constraints in the eastern region is obviously lower than that in the central and western regions; Fiscal expenditure decentralization and fiscal revenue decentralization will increase the uncertainty of financial constraints, but the former can not alleviate the financial constraints, while the latter can effectively calm the financial constraints; The expansion of fiscal expenditure can not only ease the financial constraints, but also reduce the uncertainty of financial constraints. The increase of fiscal revenue has no significant effect on the financial constraint itself, but it will aggravate the uncertainty of financial constraint. The strengthening of fiscal decentralization system can effectively ease the financial constraints in underdeveloped areas, and the improvement of fiscal capacity and the regulation of fiscal deficit can help smooth the fiscal constraints in economically developed areas.
【作者單位】： 華南理工大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易學(xué)院;
【基金】：廣東省自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“地方財(cái)政行為視角下中國(guó)貿(mào)易收支的效率測(cè)度及其動(dòng)態(tài)調(diào)整機(jī)制研究”(2016A030310431) 中央高�；究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)資助項(xiàng)目“財(cái)政約束、不確定性與中國(guó)貿(mào)易收支失衡”(2015BS04)
【分類號(hào)】：F752.6;F812

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