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我國西部地區(qū)公共支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-11-27 08:47
【摘要】:政府公共支出是政府進(jìn)行宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)控的重要工具。我國市場經(jīng)濟(jì)體制尚不完善,相關(guān)制度尚不成熟,市場失靈和市場信息不對稱等市場缺陷客觀存在,僅依靠市場調(diào)節(jié)還不能實(shí)現(xiàn)資源優(yōu)化配置。政府作為公共部門,通過其財政手段對市場經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)行宏觀調(diào)控,能有效解決市場失靈,促進(jìn)國民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康發(fā)展。 本文在對政府支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)與理論進(jìn)行梳理的基礎(chǔ)上,首先從總量和結(jié)構(gòu)雙重視角就我國西部地區(qū)政府支出的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計性描述分析;其次,,構(gòu)建省際面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,就公共支出總量和結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析與檢驗(yàn);最后對政府公共支出促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的對策進(jìn)行了探討。本文得出如下基本結(jié)論: 第一,西部地區(qū)公共支出總量與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在長期協(xié)整關(guān)系,即公共支出總量對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在長期影響。貴州、陜西、青海、寧夏的公共支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系不顯著,西部其余地區(qū)公共支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長均存在顯著正向影響,但各省公共支出的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)存在明顯差異。 第二,西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出和社會文教支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間存在長期協(xié)整關(guān)系。長期內(nèi),經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出與社會文教支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長均具有一定促進(jìn)作用,且兩者的促進(jìn)作用較強(qiáng)。 第三,行政管理支出與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的長期協(xié)整關(guān)系不明顯,但存在短期影響。西部大多數(shù)省份行政管理支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在負(fù)影響,行政管理支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長具有阻礙作用。 第四,國防支出和其他支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響存在長期均衡性。因?yàn)閲乐С龊推渌С雠c經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系顯著的省份數(shù)量少于經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出和社會文教支出,所以國防支出和其他支出對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的促進(jìn)作用較弱。
[Abstract]:Government public expenditure is an important tool for the government to carry out macroeconomic regulation and control. China's market economic system is not perfect, the relevant system is not mature, market failure and market information asymmetry and other market defects exist objectively, only relying on market regulation can not achieve the optimal allocation of resources. As a public sector, the government can effectively solve the market failure and promote the sustained and healthy development of the national economy by means of its financial means to carry out macro-control of the market economy. On the basis of combing the relevant documents and theories of government expenditure and economic growth, this paper firstly makes a statistical description and analysis of the current situation of government expenditure in the western region of China from the perspective of total amount and structure. Secondly, the paper constructs the inter-provincial panel data model, analyzes and tests the impact of the total amount and structure of public expenditure on the economic growth, and finally probes into the countermeasures of the government public expenditure to promote the economic growth. This paper draws the following basic conclusions: first, there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the total public expenditure and economic growth in the western region, that is, the total amount of public expenditure has a long-term impact on economic growth. The relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Guizhou, Shaanxi, Qinghai and Ningxia is not significant. The public expenditure in other western regions has a significant positive impact on economic growth, but there are significant differences in the economic growth effects of public expenditure in various provinces. Second, there is a long-term co-integration relationship between economic construction expenditure, social culture and education expenditure and economic growth in the western region. In the long run, economic construction expenditure and social culture and education expenditure both promote economic growth to some extent, and they play a stronger role in promoting economic growth. Third, the long-term cointegration relationship between administrative expenditure and economic growth is not obvious, but there are short-term effects. Administrative expenditure in most western provinces has a negative impact on economic growth, and administrative expenditure hinders economic growth. Fourth, there is a long-term equilibrium between defense spending and other spending on economic growth. Since the number of provinces where defense and other expenditures are significantly related to economic growth is less than that of economic construction and social education, defense and other expenditures have a weaker impact on economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F812.45;F127

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