本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈延伸視角的縣域旅游地演化研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

[1] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">黃震方, <name lang="CN">陸林, <name lang="CN">蘇勤, <etal lang="CN">等. 新型城鎮(zhèn)化背景下的鄉(xiāng)村旅游發(fā)展: 理論反思與困境突破. 地理研究, <year>2015, <volume>34(8): <fpage>1409-<lpage>1412.

Huang <given-names>Zhenfang, <name>Lu <given-names>Lin, <name>Su <given-names>Qing, <etal>et al.Research and development of rural tourism under the background of new urbanization: Theoretical reflection and breakthrough of predicament. Geographical Research, <year>2015, <volume>34(8): <fpage>1409-<lpage>1412.]

[2] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">盧小麗, <name lang="CN">成宇行, <name lang="CN">王立偉. 國內(nèi)外鄉(xiāng)村旅游研究熱點(diǎn): 近20年文獻(xiàn)回顧. 資源科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>36(1): <fpage>200-<lpage>205.

鄉(xiāng)村旅游是后現(xiàn)代社會人們回歸 自然的載體和農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的新增長點(diǎn)。自從1994年可持續(xù)旅游期刊發(fā)�？瘜︵l(xiāng)村旅游進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)研究至今已有近20年的時(shí)間。為了更好地把握鄉(xiāng)村旅游的研究 脈絡(luò),本文通過對近20年國內(nèi)外有關(guān)鄉(xiāng)村旅游研究文獻(xiàn)的研讀,分析了鄉(xiāng)村旅游的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并著重對鄉(xiāng)村旅游發(fā)展的影響因素、利益相關(guān)者、驅(qū)動機(jī)制、地理空 間結(jié)構(gòu)和旅游企業(yè)管理等問題進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)梳理。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):盡管鄉(xiāng)村旅游的研究遵循了旅游研究的熱點(diǎn)問題,但對突出鄉(xiāng)村旅游主要功能特色和旅游鄉(xiāng)村性的研究欠 缺。鄉(xiāng)村旅游發(fā)展影響因素、鄉(xiāng)村旅游利益相關(guān)者和鄉(xiāng)村旅游企業(yè)管理等研究主題是國外學(xué)者關(guān)注的熱點(diǎn),國內(nèi)學(xué)者更側(cè)重于研究鄉(xiāng)村旅游的地理空間結(jié)構(gòu)和驅(qū)動機(jī) 制問題。數(shù)學(xué)模型和統(tǒng)計(jì)方法在中國鄉(xiāng)村旅游的研究中比較缺乏,導(dǎo)致結(jié)論的科學(xué)性和可行性受到限制。采用實(shí)證分析或定量分析等規(guī)范的研究方法擴(kuò)展鄉(xiāng)村旅游的 研究領(lǐng)域,提升鄉(xiāng)村旅游活動中的鄉(xiāng)村性,解決鄉(xiāng)村旅游發(fā)展中的熱點(diǎn)問題成為中國鄉(xiāng)村旅游研究的發(fā)展趨勢。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Lu <given-names>Xiaoli, <name>Cheng <given-names>Yuhang, <name>Wang <given-names>Liwei.20 Years of rural tourism. Resources Science, <year>2014, <volume>36(1): <fpage>200-<lpage>205.] [3] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Dwyer <given-names>L, <name>Forsyth <given-names>P.Assessing the benefits and costs of inbound tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, <year>1993, <volume>20(4): <fpage>751-<lpage>768.

Une évaluation des co04ts et des bénéfices du tourisme international. Les touristes étrangers apportent des co04ts aussi bien que des bénéfices à n'importe quel pays de destination. Pour des raisons de politique générale, il faut évaluer avec précision les bénéfices nets du tourisme international pour le pays en question. En prenant l'Australie comme exemple précis, le présent article explique pourquoi les dépenses brutes des touristes étrangers exagèrent les bénéfices du tourisme international. En second lieu, l'article identifie des distorsions qui existent à un certain degré dans toutes les éonomies et qui ont des conséquences sur les bénéfices nationaux nets du tourisme international. Ces distortions proviennent des facteurs suivants: taxes, imp00ts, subventions, pouvoir au marché, influences extérieures, et des effets des tarifs, revenus, marché du travail et marché d'échanges.

DOI: 10.1016/0160-7383(93)90095-K     

[4] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Sam <given-names>M.The role of inbound tourism in the Singaporean economy: A computable general equilibrium (CGE) Assessment. Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing, <year>2014, <volume>31(8): <fpage>1071-<lpage>1089.

This study has employed recently published input-output (I-O) tables and tourism survey data and built a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, to assess the role of inbound tourism in the Singaporean economy and thus to reveal its implications for tourism marketing. Compared with the I-O analysis, the CGE modeling takes into account the feedback effect in the economy and thus produces mor...

DOI: 10.1080/10548408.2014.895693     

[5] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Faruk <given-names>B, <name>Hatice O <given-names>B, <name>Kemal <given-names>C.Impacts of exported Turkish soap operas and visa-free entry on inbound tourism to Turkey. Tourism Management, <year>2013, <volume>37(8): <fpage>186-<lpage>192. [6] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Neelu <given-names>S.Immigration and international inbound tourism: Empirical evidence from Australia. Tourism Management, <year>2012, <volume>33(6): <fpage>1535-<lpage>1543.

Immigration can potentially influence tourism flows. However, in spite of the vast number of studies on tourism demand modelling, the immigration-tourism linkage has not received much attention in the empirical literature. This paper seeks to address this gap. A dynamic demand model is developed and estimated using data from 1980 to 2008 for the 15 main markets of Australia. The explanatory variables included are income, own price, price of a substitute destination, airfare and immigration. The estimation results empirically establish the connection between immigration and inbound tourism. The short run and long-run immigration elasticities generated are 0.028 and 0.09 respectively. Additionally this paper demonstrates that omission of prices of substitutes affects the value of the own price elasticity of demand. The results have implications for future research and for stakeholders who can improve the efficiency of their planning exercises by taking into account additional information on immigration trends.

DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2012.02.010     

[7] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal">Vietze, Christoph.Cultural effects on inbound tourism into the USA: A gravity approach. Tourism Economics, <year>2012, <volume>18(1): <fpage>121-<lpage>138.

This paper addresses the effects of cultural, and particularly religious, factors on tourist flows into the USA, the world's most popular tourist destination. To estimate this empirically, the author runs an augmented gravity equation. The results provide evidence that cultural proximity between country of origin and country of destination has positive effects on the tourism flows between those countries. In particular, after controlling for a set of geographical variables, more people from countries with the same language (English) and high governmental rankings comparable to that of the USA travel to the USA for holidays than people from other countries. Above all, there is strong evidence that tourists from Christian countries prefer the USA as a holiday destination much more than people from other countries. This finding is stable across model specifications and supports the argument that people wish to go on vacation to countries with similar cultural and political backgrounds to their own.

DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0100     

[8] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Liu Y <given-names>D.Image-based segmentation of cultural tourism market: The perceptions of Taiwan's inbound visitors. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, <year>2014, <volume>19(8): <fpage>971-<lpage>987.

ABSTRACT This paper aims at testing the effectiveness of using an image-based approach to segment the cultural tourism market. Identifying 14 image attributes of cultural attractions, Taiwan's inbound tourists were then surveyed to rate the importance of these attributes. Applying a factor&ndash;cluster segmentation approach, four discrete image segments were identified, including arts and museum, heritage, living culture, and resulted in a sample of 954 respondents. The research findings reveal several theoretical and empirical implications, including the propositions of cultural distance, omnivorous/univorous, experiential and informational familiarity of destination and the two-dimensional model of cultural tourist typology.

DOI: 10.1080/10941665.2013.833124     

[9] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Khadaroo <given-names>J, <name>Seetanah <given-names>B.The role of transport infrastructure in international tourism development: A gravity model approach. Tourism Management, <year>2008, <volume>29(5): <fpage>831-<lpage>840.

Athanasopoulos <given-names>G.Modelling Australian domestic and international inbound travel: A spatial-temporal approach. Tourism Management, <year>2011, <volume>32(5): <fpage>1075-<lpage>1084.

In this paper Australian domestic and international inbound travel are modelled by an anisotropic dynamic spatial lag panel Origin-Destination (OD) travel flow model. Spatial OD travel flow models have traditionally been applied in a single cross-sectional context, where the spatial structure is assumed to have reached its long run equilibrium and temporal dynamics are not explicitly considered. On the other hand, spatial effects are rarely accounted for in traditional tourism demand modelling. We attempt to address this dichotomy between spatial modelling and time series modelling in tourism research by using a spatial-temporal model. In particular, tourism behaviour is modelled as travel flows between regions. Temporal dependencies are accounted for via the inclusion of autoregressive components, while spatial autocorrelations are explicitly accounted for at both the origin and the destination. We allow the strength of spatial autocorrelation to exhibit seasonal variations, and we allow for the possibility of asymmetry between capital-city neighbours and non-capital-city neighbours. Significant temporal and spatial dynamics have been uncovered for both domestic and international tourism demand. For example we find strong seasonal temporal autocorrelations, significant trends and significant spatial autocorrelations at both the origin and the destination. Moreover, the spatial patterns are found to be most significant during peak holiday seasons. Understanding these patterns in tourist behaviour has important implications for tourism operators. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2010.09.006     

[11] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Song H <given-names>Y, <name>Witt S <given-names>F.Forecasting international tourist flows to Macau. Tourism Management, <year>2006, <volume>27(2): <fpage>214-<lpage>224.

The vector autoregressive (VAR) modelling technique is used to forecast tourist flows to Macau from eight major origin countries/regions over the period 2003–2008. The existing literature shows that the VAR model is capable of producing accurate medium- to long-term forecasts, and also separate forecasts of the explanatory variables are not required. A further justification for using the VAR technique is that it permits an impulse response analysis to be performed in order to examine the ways in which the demand for Macau tourism responds to the ‘shocks’ in the economic variables within the VAR system. The implications of this analysis are discussed. The forecasts generated by the VAR models suggest that Macau will face increasing tourism demand by residents from mainland China. Since the needs of Chinese tourists tend to be different from those from other origin countries/regions, especially Western countries, the business sectors in Macau need to pay considerable attention to catering for the needs of Chinese tourists.

DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2004.09.004     

[12] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">馬耀峰, <name lang="CN">林志慧, <name lang="CN">劉憲鋒, <etal lang="CN">等. 中國主要城市入境旅游網(wǎng)絡(luò)結(jié)構(gòu)演變分析. 地理科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>34(1): <fpage>25-<lpage>31.

Ma <given-names>Yaofeng, <name>Lin <given-names>Zhihui, <name>Liu <given-names>Xianfeng, <etal>et al.The evolution of network structure of inbound tourist in Major cities of China. Geographica Sinica, <year>2014, <volume>34(1): <fpage>25-<lpage>31.] [13] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">郭永銳, <name lang="CN">張捷, <name lang="CN">盧韶婧, <etal lang="CN">等. 中國入境旅游經(jīng)濟(jì)空間格局的時(shí)空動態(tài)性. 地理科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>34(11): <fpage>1299-<lpage>1304.

Guo <given-names>Yongrui, <name>Zhang <given-names>Jie, <name>Lu <given-names>Shaojing, <etal>et al.Spatial-temporal change of the inbound tourism economic development in China. Geographica Sinica, <year>2014, <volume>34(11): <fpage>1299-<lpage>1304.] [14] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">張靜儒, <name lang="CN">陳映臻, <name lang="CN">曾祺, <etal lang="CN">等. 國家視角下的目的地形象模型: 基于來華國際游客的實(shí)證研究. 旅游學(xué)刊, <year>2015, <volume>30(3): <fpage>13-<lpage>22.

國家形象和目的地形象因其對消費(fèi)者行為和決策的重要影響，分別發(fā)展成為國際商務(wù)領(lǐng)域和旅游營銷領(lǐng)域的重要概念和研究熱點(diǎn)，雖然兩者具有十分密切的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系，但學(xué)界對它們的研究卻相對獨(dú)立，缺少交叉研究。該研究在對兩個領(lǐng)域的文獻(xiàn)和理論模型進(jìn)行整理后，將目的地形象放置到國家尺度下重新審視，試圖揭示一個國家的綜合國家形象與其作為旅游目的地的形象之間的互動機(jī)制，并嘗試引入“熟悉度”等概念建立整合模型。最后以中國大陸為案例地，以來華國際游客為調(diào)查對象，通過結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)和修正。結(jié)論指出：（1）熟悉度對目的地形象有正向影響；（2）國家形象與目的地形象之間具有雙向且正向的影響；（3）國家形象通過目的地形象對游客的忠誠度產(chǎn)生間接影響。

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1002-5006.2015.03.002     

<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhang <given-names>Jingru, <name>Chen <given-names>Yingzhen, <name>Zeng <given-names>Qi.An integrative model of destination image in a country context: A case study based on international tourists in Beijing. Tourism Tribune, <year>2015, <volume>30(3): <fpage>13-<lpage>22.] [15] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">萬緒才, <name lang="CN">王厚廷, <name lang="CN">傅朝霞, <etal lang="CN">等. 中國城市入境旅游發(fā)展差異及其影響因素: 以重點(diǎn)旅游城市為例. 地理研究, <year>2013, <volume>32(2): <fpage>337-<lpage>346.

對中國城市入境旅游發(fā)展差異性進(jìn)行探析,并揭示其影響因素,為城市入境旅游發(fā)展實(shí)踐提供理論依據(jù)。選取入境游客人天數(shù)作為入境旅游發(fā)展水平的衡量指標(biāo),采用均值比率對中國重點(diǎn)旅游城市入境旅游發(fā)展的差異現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析,運(yùn)用多元線性回歸法研究旅游產(chǎn)品、知名度、區(qū)位條件和對外經(jīng)濟(jì)等因素對中國城市入境旅游發(fā)展的影響和作用。結(jié)果表明:目前中國城市入境旅游發(fā)展差異很大,區(qū)域集中性非常突出,入境旅游發(fā)展較好的城市大多位于東部地區(qū);對外經(jīng)濟(jì)因素對城市入境旅游的發(fā)展影響最大,知名度次之,旅游產(chǎn)品和區(qū)位距離的作用較小。

DOI: 10.11821/yj2013020014     

<mixed-citation>[<name>Wan <given-names>Xucai, <name>Wang <given-names>Houting, <name>Fu <given-names>Chaoxia, <etal>et al.The intercity difference and influencing factors of inbound tourism development in China: Taking the major tourism cities as an example. Geographical Research, <year>2013, <volume>32(2): <fpage>337-<lpage>346.] [16] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">吳良平, <name lang="CN">張健, <name lang="CN">陸媛. 基于IOWHA算子的組合預(yù)測在中國入境旅游中的應(yīng)用分析. 旅游學(xué)刊, <year>2011, <volume>26(11): <fpage>19-<lpage>27.

［摘要］為提高中國入境旅游人數(shù)月度數(shù)據(jù)序列預(yù)測精度，文章選擇了目前相對最優(yōu)單項(xiàng)預(yù)測模型 &mdash;&mdash;TRAMO/SEATS短記憶預(yù)測模型和ARFIMA長記憶預(yù)測模型，，并根據(jù)中國入境旅游人數(shù)月度數(shù)據(jù)序列特點(diǎn)，采用非常適合中國入境旅游人數(shù)月度數(shù)據(jù)序列預(yù)測并具有高預(yù)測精度的傳統(tǒng)線性回歸預(yù)測模型，然后將各個單項(xiàng)預(yù)測模型進(jìn)行基于IOWHA算子的組合。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：基于IOWHA算子的組合預(yù)測模型，達(dá)到了目前為止中國入境旅游人數(shù)月度數(shù)據(jù)序列預(yù)測的最高精度。最后，根據(jù)中國入境旅游人數(shù)實(shí)際值和組合模型預(yù)測值的比較，定量分析世界金融危機(jī)等事件對中國入境旅游的影響程度和影響時(shí)滯，并探究中國入境旅游未來的發(fā)展趨勢。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Wu <given-names>Liangping, <name>Zhang <given-names>Jian, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuan.An analysis of the application of combined forecast in China's inbound tourism based on IOWHA operator. Tourism Tribune, <year>2011, <volume>26(11): <fpage>19-<lpage>27.] [17] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">王輝, <name lang="CN">張萌, <name lang="CN">石瑩, <etal lang="CN">等. 中國海島縣的旅游經(jīng)濟(jì)集中度與差異化. 地理研究, <year>2013, <volume>32(4): <fpage>776-<lpage>784.

旅游經(jīng)濟(jì)集中度與差異化分析是對旅游在特定區(qū)域發(fā)展的重視程度及發(fā)展現(xiàn)況的研究,從而獲取發(fā)展正確方向及合作對象的重要衡量方法。海島具有相對獨(dú)立的地域特征,旅游發(fā)展在島域地域系統(tǒng)中具有特殊的相似性及差異性。選取2006-2010年中國12個海島縣旅游業(yè)發(fā)展相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),采用區(qū)位熵和Theil指數(shù)方法分別對我國海島縣旅游業(yè)集中度和時(shí)間尺度上的省市間、省市內(nèi)和總體差異變化狀況進(jìn)行計(jì)算。結(jié)果表明:①中國海島縣整體旅游業(yè)態(tài)發(fā)展不均衡,旅游業(yè)態(tài)集中化程度較低,在海島縣域的專業(yè)性整體優(yōu)勢不強(qiáng),但可提升空間較大;②福建省入島旅游總收入差異呈下降趨勢,浙江省呈升高趨勢,說明福建省海島旅游業(yè)正向均衡方向發(fā)展,入島旅游總收入的Theil系數(shù)由2006年福建省大于浙江省轉(zhuǎn)變到2010年浙江省大于福建省,兩省入島旅游總收入差異正在逐漸弱化;③各海島縣間的差異及海島縣隸屬省市的差異都在增大,組內(nèi)差異與組間差異差距不大,但相互波動頻繁,隸屬省內(nèi)海島縣的差異和省間的差異都是造成中國海島縣發(fā)展差異的主要原因。

DOI: 10.11821/yj2013040020     

<mixed-citation>[<name>Wang <given-names>Hui, <name>Zhang <given-names>Meng, <name>Shi <given-names>Ying, <etal>et al.Concentration and differentiation of tourism economy in island counties, China. Geographical Research, <year>2013, <volume>32(4): <fpage>776-<lpage>784.] [18] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">鐘林生, <name lang="CN">張生瑞, <name lang="CN">時(shí)雨晴, <etal lang="CN">等. 中國陸地邊境縣域旅游資源特征評價(jià)及其開發(fā)策略. 資源科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>36(3): <fpage>1117-<lpage>1124.

我國長達(dá)2.2萬km的陸地邊 境沿線分布有不同類型的旅游資源,極具開發(fā)利用潛力。本文依據(jù)國家標(biāo)準(zhǔn)《旅游資源分類、調(diào)查與評價(jià)》(GB/T18972-2003)(文中簡稱《標(biāo)準(zhǔn) (GB/T18972-2003)》),梳理了我國9省(自治區(qū))的136個陸地邊境縣域內(nèi)的旅游資源單體;統(tǒng)計(jì)分析了陸地邊境旅游資源的類型與數(shù)量;總 結(jié)了陸地邊境旅游資源的5大特征,分別為數(shù)量繁多、體量較大,類型豐富、組合度好,特色鮮明、壟斷性高,神秘神圣、有莊嚴(yán)感,整體連續(xù)、線性明顯;進(jìn)行了 陸地邊境旅游資源的質(zhì)量等級評價(jià),結(jié)果顯示邊境縣域內(nèi)共有61處五級旅游資源單體和237處四級旅游資源單體;最后提出了我國陸地邊境旅游資源的總體開發(fā) 策略和不同質(zhì)量等級開發(fā)策略。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhong <given-names>Linsheng, <name>Zhang <given-names>Shengrui, <name>Shi <given-names>Yuqing, <etal>et al.Evaluation and utilization strategies of land border tourism resources in China. Resources Science, <year>2014, <volume>36(3): <fpage>1117-<lpage>1124.] [19] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">時(shí)雨晴, <name lang="CN">鐘林生, <name lang="CN">陳田. 中國陸地邊境縣域旅游競爭力評價(jià). 資源科學(xué), <year>2014, <volume>36(6): <fpage>1133-<lpage>1141.

測度與分析我國陸地邊境縣域旅游競爭力水平，對各邊境地區(qū)在激烈的旅游競爭中正確認(rèn)識自身的優(yōu)勢與劣勢具有重要意義。本研究從邊境旅游競爭力的概念入手，分析邊境旅游競爭力的影響因素，進(jìn)而從邊境旅游發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)條件競爭力、邊境旅游現(xiàn)狀競爭力、邊境旅游發(fā)展?jié)摿Ω偁幜θ矫鏄?gòu)建邊境縣域旅游競爭力的評價(jià)模型，并運(yùn)用熵技術(shù)支持下的層次分析法對136個邊境縣域進(jìn)行定量分析，結(jié)果表明：①我國邊境縣域旅游競爭力水平差異顯著，云南、廣西、遼寧邊境縣域旅游競爭力較強(qiáng)，西藏、甘肅、內(nèi)蒙古邊境縣域旅游競爭力較弱；②從不同毗鄰國邊境段落來看，中朝、中老、中緬、中越邊境縣域旅游競爭力較強(qiáng)，中尼、中印、中不邊境縣域旅游競爭力較弱；③中朝、中老、中俄邊境縣域在旅游發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)條件競爭力方面具有優(yōu)勢，中越、中朝、中緬邊境縣域在旅游發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀競爭力方面具有優(yōu)勢，中亞、中阿、中巴邊境縣域在旅游發(fā)展?jié)摿Ω偁幜Ψ矫婢哂袃?yōu)勢。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Shi <given-names>Yuqing, <name>Zhong <given-names>Linsheng, <name>Chen <given-names>Tian.Evaluation of border tourism competitiveness at the county level in China. Resources Science, <year>2014, <volume>36(6): <fpage>1133-<lpage>1141.] [20] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">邸明慧, <name lang="CN">鄭凡, <name lang="CN">徐寧, <etal lang="CN">等. 河北省環(huán)京津貧困縣旅游扶貧適宜模式選擇. 地理與地理信息科學(xué), <year>2015, <volume>31(3): <fpage>123-<lpage>126.

旅游資源開發(fā)價(jià)值和旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)聚集程度是影響某一地區(qū)旅游發(fā)展的綜 合要素,該文以這兩個指標(biāo)建立旅游扶貧適宜性分類模型,構(gòu)建旅游資源開發(fā)價(jià)值評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,分別利用旅游資源綜合價(jià)值指數(shù)評價(jià)法和區(qū)位熵指數(shù)法對河北省環(huán) 京津23個國家級貧困縣的旅游資源開發(fā)價(jià)值和旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)聚集程度進(jìn)行評價(jià),利用四象限法對23縣的評價(jià)結(jié)果進(jìn)行分類,得出各縣由旅游資源開發(fā)價(jià)值和旅游產(chǎn)業(yè) 聚集程度的高低組合決定的旅游扶貧適宜性類型,并依據(jù)各類型特征提出核心企業(yè)主導(dǎo)模式、政策性項(xiàng)目拉動模式、產(chǎn)業(yè)互動發(fā)展模式及大區(qū)帶動發(fā)展模式4種旅游 扶貧模式,針對各縣的具體發(fā)展優(yōu)勢進(jìn)一步指出適宜模式下的旅游扶貧可行措施.

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-0504.2015.03.024     

<mixed-citation>[<name>Di <given-names>Minghui, <name>Zheng <given-names>Fan, <name>Xu <given-names>Ning, <etal>et al.Choice of pro-poor tourism suitability mode of national poverty counties in Hebei around Beijing and Tianjin. Geography and Geo-Information Science, <year>2015, <volume>31(3): <fpage>123-<lpage>126.] [21] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">李瑞, <name lang="CN">吳殿廷, <name lang="CN">鮑捷, <etal lang="CN">等. 基于地理學(xué)視角的民族縣域旅游發(fā)展評價(jià)研究: 以黔東南州所轄民族縣域?yàn)槔? 干旱區(qū)資源與環(huán)境, <year>2014, <volume>28(1): <fpage>189-<lpage>198./s?wd=paperuri%3A%285b76e3ef8ae2a36e8d4cb5c44510791e%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E5%9F%BA%E4%BA%8E%E5%9C%B0%E7%90%86%E5%AD%A6%E8%A7%86%E8%A7%92%E7%9A%84%E6%B0%91%E6%97%8F%E5%8E%BF%E5%9F%9F%E6%97%85%E6%B8%B8%E5%8F%91%E5%B1%95%E8%AF%84%E4%BB%B7%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E4%BB%A5%E9%BB%94%E4%B8%9C%E5%8D%97%E5%B7%9E%E6%89%80%E8%BE%96%E6%B0%91%E6%97%8F%E5%8E%BF%E5%9F%9F%E4%B8%BA%E4%BE%8B&sc_us=1664020901344330977&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Li <given-names>Rui, <name>Wu <given-names>Dianting, <name>Bao <given-names>Jie, <etal>et al.Tourism development evaluation of ethnic county based on the geographic per-spective: A case of ethnic counties of Autonomous Prefecture of Southeast Guizhou. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, <year>2014, <volume>28(1): <fpage>189-<lpage>198.] [22] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">陳志鋼, <name lang="CN">保繼剛. 典型風(fēng)景名勝城市土地利用動態(tài)變化及其影響機(jī)制研究: 以廣西壯族自治區(qū)陽朔縣為例. 地理科學(xué), <year>2010, <volume>30(4): <fpage>544-<lpage>550./s?wd=paperuri%3A%283a467fb0c128b1ea82c09e0ef9b93be3%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E5%85%B8%E5%9E%8B%E9%A3%8E%E6%99%AF%E5%90%8D%E8%83%9C%E5%9F%8E%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%9F%E5%9C%B0%E5%88%A9%E7%94%A8%E5%8A%A8%E6%80%81%E5%8F%98%E5%8C%96%E5%8F%8A%E5%85%B6%E5%BD%B1%E5%93%8D%E6%9C%BA%E5%88%B6%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E4%BB%A5%E5%B9%BF%E8%A5%BF%E5%A3%AE%E6%97%8F%E8%87%AA%E6%B2%BB%E5%8C%BA%E9%98%B3%E6%9C%94%E5%8E%BF%E4%B8%BA%E4%BE%8B&sc_us=2242788971487055152&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Chen <given-names>Zhigang, <name>Bao <given-names>Jigang.Land use change dynamics and its determining mechanism in a typical tourist city: The case of Yangshuo county, Guangxi. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2010, <volume>30(4): <fpage>544-<lpage>550.] [23] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">趙磊, <name lang="CN">夏鑫, <name lang="CN">全華. 基于旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈延伸視角的縣域旅游地演化研究. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>874-<lpage>880.

旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈延伸主要通過對縣域 旅游地旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化配置以及縣域旅游系統(tǒng)開發(fā)的整體協(xié)調(diào)兩方面影響縣域旅游地的演化發(fā)展。因此,在分析旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈延伸形成機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)上分別從旅游產(chǎn) 業(yè)鏈延伸對縣域旅游發(fā)展規(guī)劃、縣域旅游系統(tǒng)開發(fā)與縣域旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變?nèi)齻�方面的影響作用來研究旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的延伸與縣域旅游地演化二者之間相互耦合的內(nèi)在 關(guān)系,以期為縣域旅游地的演化研究提供參考。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Zhao <given-names>Lei, <name>Xia <given-names>Xin, <name>Quan <given-names>Hua.Study on the evaluation of country territory tourism destination based on tourism industrial chain extension. Economic Geography, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>874-<lpage>880.] [24] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">姚治國, <name lang="CN">趙黎明. 區(qū)域旅游形象塑造中的人文要素分析: 以黟縣為例. 地理科學(xué), <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>634-<lpage>640.

區(qū)域旅游形象是目的地核心吸引力,形象感知是影響旅游動機(jī)轉(zhuǎn)化為旅游決策的關(guān)鍵因子。區(qū)域旅游形象構(gòu)建過程中存在兩個系統(tǒng),一個是內(nèi)生變量系統(tǒng),一個是外生變量系統(tǒng),目的地人文要素歸屬外生變量系統(tǒng)。目的地人文要素系統(tǒng)對旅游目的地認(rèn)知形象、情感形象和最終形象均產(chǎn)生重要影響,影響機(jī)制為：①信息來源影響形象感應(yīng);②景區(qū)管理影響形象認(rèn)知;③文化壁壘影響形象傳播;④旅游服務(wù)影響形象記憶;⑤主客關(guān)系影響形象修正。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Yao <given-names>Zhiguo, <name>Zhao <given-names>Liming.Human factors' influence on the process of tourism destination image building: A case of Yi county. Scientia Geographica Sinica, <year>2011, <volume>31(5): <fpage>634-<lpage>640.] [25] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">陳建設(shè), <name lang="CN">朱翔. 縣域旅游空間布局模型構(gòu)建研究. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2012, <volume>32(12): <fpage>163-<lpage>168.

縣域旅游空間布局對縣域旅游的 發(fā)展起著十分重要的作用�？h域旅游空間布局既要處理好縣域內(nèi)的旅游空間結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系,也要處理好與縣域所在區(qū)域的旅游空間結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系。文章深入分析了縣域旅游空 間布局的影響因素及決定機(jī)制、縣域旅游空間布局的要素及模式;在此基礎(chǔ)上,提出了縣域旅游空間布局的SDEIF模型,對縣域旅游開發(fā)具有一定的借鑒意義。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Chen <given-names>Jianshe, <name>Zhu <given-names>Xiang.Study on model construction of county tourism spatial layout. Economic Geography, <year>2012, <volume>32(12): <fpage>163-<lpage>168.] [26] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">李瑞, <name lang="CN">吳殿廷, <name lang="CN">郭謙, <etal lang="CN">等. 20世紀(jì)90年代中期以來中國縣域旅游研究進(jìn)展與展望. 地理與地理信息科學(xué), <year>2012, <volume>28(1): <fpage>94-<lpage>99.

采用Pearson Correlation分析法對1995-2010年我國縣域旅游研究重要文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)評述，初步構(gòu)建了我國縣域旅游理論體系；研究內(nèi)容主要包括發(fā)展、規(guī)劃、開發(fā)、資源、市場、形象、產(chǎn)品和方法研究8個領(lǐng)域21個視角，研究方法以現(xiàn)象描述和數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)方法為主，但仍存在著理論研究視角、實(shí)證研究對象和研究方法選擇較單一等問題；今后應(yīng)分別從發(fā)展、規(guī)劃、開發(fā)、要素和研究方法等方面的28個重要方向拓寬和延伸我國縣域旅游的理論與實(shí)證研究。

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67-<lpage>86.

Space-Time Analysis of Regional Systems (STARS) is an open source package designed for dynamic exploratory analysis of data measured for areal units at multiple points in time. STARS consists of four core analytical modules: [1] ESDA: exploratory spatial data analysis; [2] Inequality measures; [3] Mobility metrics; [4] Spatial Markov. Developed using the Python object oriented scripting language, STARS lends itself to three main modes of use. Within the context of a command line interface (CLI), STARS can be treated as a package which can be called from within customized scripts for batch oriented analyses and simulation. Alternatively, a graphical user interface (GUI) integrates most of the analytical modules with a series of dynamic graphical views containing brushing and linking functionality to support interactive exploration of the spatial, temporal and distributional dimensions of socioeconomic and physical processes. Finally, the GUI and CLI modes can be combined for use from the Python shell to facilitate interactive programming and access to the many libraries contained within Python. This paper provides an overview of the design of STARS, its implementation, functionality and future plans. A selection of its analytical capabilities are also illustrated that highlight the power and flexibility of the package.

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-03647-7_6     

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Jin <given-names>Cheng, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuqi.Evolvement of spatial pattern of economy in Jiangsu province at county level. Acta Geographica Sinica, <year>2009, <volume>64(6): <fpage>713-<lpage>724.] [31] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">郭懷成, <name lang="CN">周豐, <name lang="CN">刀谞. 地統(tǒng)計(jì)方法學(xué)研究進(jìn)展. 地理研究, <year>2008, <volume>27(5): <fpage>1191-<lpage>1202.

Guo <given-names>Huaicheng, <name>Zhou <given-names>Feng, <name>Dao <given-names>Xu.State-of-art on geostatistical methodology. Geographical Research, <year>2008, <volume>27(5): <fpage>1191-<lpage>1202.] [32] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">曹天邦, <name lang="CN">黃克龍, <name lang="CN">李劍波, <etal lang="CN">等. 南京市主城區(qū)住宅地價(jià)的時(shí)空演變. 地理研究, <year>2012, <volume>31(6): <fpage>1029-<lpage>1038.

城市地價(jià)在空間、時(shí)間分布上具有較強(qiáng)的關(guān)聯(lián)性和特殊性,隨著城市建設(shè)的快速發(fā)展和土地市場的不斷發(fā)育,城市地價(jià)的時(shí)空變化日趨復(fù)雜。本文以南京市主城區(qū)為例,基于城市地價(jià)動態(tài)監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法和克里金插值方法,研究城市住宅地價(jià)時(shí)空演變特征。研究表明:從宏觀上講,地價(jià)時(shí)間上演變受宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)影響較大,大的經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢、房地產(chǎn)市場的變動,對地價(jià)變化影響顯著。從中觀上講,地價(jià)空間上演變主要體現(xiàn)在城市內(nèi)部的區(qū)位條件、交通條件、城市規(guī)劃、公用設(shè)施狀況和環(huán)境條件等的影響。上述兩者共同作用于地價(jià)的變化,并且兩者相互關(guān)聯(lián)、密不可分。通過城市地價(jià)的時(shí)空演變研究,以期快速、直觀、準(zhǔn)確地反映城市地價(jià)變化,為城市地價(jià)的宏觀調(diào)控、合理利用土地資源提供參考。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Cao <given-names>Tianbang, <name>Huang <given-names>Kelong, <name>Li <given-names>Jianbo, <etal>et al.The spatial-temporal evolution of the residential land price of downtown Nanjing. Geographical Research, <year>2012, <volume>31(6): <fpage>1029-<lpage>1038.] [33] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Rey S <given-names>J, Murray, <name>A <given-names>T, Anselin L. Visualizing regional income distribution dynamics. Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, <year>2011, <volume>4(1): <fpage>81-<lpage>90.

This paper introduces a new approach to the analysis of regional income distribution dynamics. Drawing on recent advances in geovisualization, we suggest a spatially explicit view of income mobility. Based on the integration of a dynamic local indicator of spatial association (LISA) together with directional statistics, this framework provides new insights on the role of spatial dependence in regional income growth and change. These new approaches are illustrated in a case study of state level incomes in the U.S. over the 1969&#8211;2008 period.

DOI: 10.1007/s12076-010-0048-2     

[34] <mixed-citation publication-type="book" publication-format="print"><name lang="CN">高鐵梅. 計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)分析方法與建模: Eviews應(yīng)用及實(shí)例. 北京: 清華大學(xué)出版社, <year>2006. <mixed-citation>[<name>Gao <given-names>Tiemei.Econometric Analysis and Modeling: Application and Examples of EViews. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, <year>2006.] [35] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">孫根年, <name lang="CN">張毓, <name lang="CN">薛佳. 資源—區(qū)位—貿(mào)易三大因素對日本游客入境旅游目的地選擇的影響. 地理研究, <year>2011, <volume>30(6): <fpage>1032-<lpage>1043.

外國游客入境旅游目的地的選擇受多種因素的影響,具有較大的不確定性。本文從宏觀視角出發(fā),分別選取了旅游資源豐度、交通區(qū)位指數(shù)和貿(mào)易聯(lián)系度三大因素,在廣泛市場調(diào)查和總結(jié)已有成果的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了入境游客目的地選擇的三因素假設(shè),即:旅游景點(diǎn)擇高、空間距離擇近和經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系擇富。并以日本游客入境中國旅游地域分布為例,系統(tǒng)收集整理了日本游客在中國31個省區(qū)的分布及各省區(qū)旅游資源豐度、交通區(qū)位指數(shù)和對日貿(mào)易聯(lián)系度等數(shù)據(jù),分析了游客到訪率與上述3個因素的關(guān)系。結(jié)果顯示:區(qū)位指數(shù)、貿(mào)易聯(lián)系度對日本游客到訪率有著更為直接的影響,三大因素的綜合解釋率高達(dá)97%以上,這在某種程度上揭示了入境游客地域分布和目的地選擇的宏觀規(guī)律。

DOI: 10.11821/yj2011060007     

<mixed-citation>[<name>Sun <given-names>Gennian, <name>Zhang <given-names>Yu, <name>Xue <given-names>Jia.Scenery attraction, location accessibility and trade connection: Three factors and their influences on destination choice of Japanese tourists. Geographical Research, <year>2011, <volume>30(6): <fpage>1032-<lpage>1043.] [36] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name>Sun G <given-names>N, <name>Han Y <given-names>F.A study on relationship between foreign openness degree and inbound tourism development in China. International Journal of Business and Management, <volume>3(1), <fpage>62-<lpage>69. [37] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">唐承財(cái), <name lang="CN">宋昌耀, <name lang="CN">厲新建. 河北省入境旅游規(guī)模差異及影響因素分析. 人文地理, <year>2014, <volume>29(5): <fpage>155-<lpage>160.

以河北省2008—2013年 入境旅游數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),運(yùn)用標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差、變異系數(shù)、基尼系數(shù)和首位度等指標(biāo)測度河北省入境旅游規(guī)模差異,運(yùn)用位序—規(guī)模法則洛特卡一般模式分析河北省入境旅游位 序規(guī)模分布規(guī)律,運(yùn)用相關(guān)系數(shù)法、多元線性回歸法探索影響河北省入境旅游區(qū)域差異的因素。發(fā)現(xiàn):1河北省入境旅游規(guī)模絕對差異先增大后減小,而相對差異在 波動中下降,規(guī)模差異呈縮小趨勢。2基尼系數(shù)、首位度表明河北省入境旅游呈集中分布,位序—規(guī)模分析表明河北省入境旅游規(guī)模呈首位型分布,但洛特卡模式集 中指數(shù)q從2008年1.73到2013年1.53,表明入境旅游差距在逐漸縮小。3以入境旅游規(guī)模和地域鄰近特征為基礎(chǔ)可以將河北省入境旅游劃分為冀東 北、冀西北和冀東南三大旅游區(qū)。4影響河北省入境旅游區(qū)域差異的主要因素是旅游資源豐度和區(qū)位條件。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Tang <given-names>Chengcai, <name>Song <given-names>Changyao, Lixinjian. Analysis of disparity of inbound tourism rank and scale and its influencing factors for cities in Hebei province. Human Geography, <year>2014, <volume>29(5): <fpage>155-<lpage>160.] [38] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">李旭, <name lang="CN">秦耀辰, <name lang="CN">寧曉菊, <etal lang="CN">等. 中國入境游客旅游目的地選擇變化及影響因素. 經(jīng)濟(jì)地理, <year>2014, <volume>34(6): <fpage>169-<lpage>175.

以我國主要旅游城市為研究對 象,利用親景度理論分析各客源市場游客對我國各城市類型和區(qū)域的旅游目的地選擇偏好差異及變化,利用回歸分析探尋影響入境游客旅游目的地選擇偏好的主要影 響因素。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):入境游客旅游目的地選擇偏好呈現(xiàn)一定的規(guī)律性,主要入境客源市場游客對各城市類型和區(qū)域的選擇性及變化差異較大,入境游客目的地選擇偏 好呈現(xiàn)距離衰減規(guī)律;入境游客目的地選擇的影響因素主要有旅游距離、經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系、目的地經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平和資源稟賦等,各影響因素對各客源市場游客目的地選擇的 影響作用差異較大,在區(qū)分這些差異的基礎(chǔ)上提出相關(guān)的入境旅游市場開拓建議。

<mixed-citation>[<name>Li <given-names>Xu, <name>Qin <given-names>Yaochen, <name>Ning <given-names>Xiaoju, <etal>et al.Destination choice change and its influencing factors of inbound tourists in China. Economic Geography, <year>2014, <volume>34(6): <fpage>169-<lpage>175.] [39] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">張宏梅, <name lang="CN">陸林. 入境旅游者旅游動機(jī)及其跨文化比較: 以桂林陽朔入境旅游者為例. 地理學(xué)報(bào), <year>2009, <volume>64(8): <fpage>989-<lpage>998.

Zhang <given-names>Hongmei, <name>Lu <given-names>Lin.Cross-cultural research on inbound tourists' motivation: A case study of inbound tourists in Guilin and Yangshuo. Acta Geographica Sinica, <year>2009, <volume>64(8): <fpage>989-<lpage>998.] [40] <mixed-citation publication-type="journal"><name lang="CN">張朝枝, <name lang="CN">孫曉靜, <name lang="CN">盧玉平. “文化是旅游的靈魂”誤解與反思: 武夷山案例研究. 旅游科學(xué), <year>2010, <volume>21(1): <fpage>61-<lpage>68./s?wd=paperuri%3A%2827626d9c10bd9f24633fdd484b2fd724%29&filter=sc_long_sign&sc_ks_para=q%3D%E2%80%9C%E6%96%87%E5%8C%96%E6%98%AF%E6%97%85%E6%B8%B8%E7%9A%84%E7%81%B5%E9%AD%82%E2%80%9D%3A%E8%AF%AF%E8%A7%A3%E4%B8%8E%E5%8F%8D%E6%80%9D%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E6%AD%A6%E5%A4%B7%E5%B1%B1%E6%A1%88%E4%BE%8B%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6&sc_us=14195000421676749583&tn=SE_baiduxueshu_c1gjeupa&ie=utf-8 <mixed-citation>[<name>Zhang <given-names>Chaozhi, <name>Sun <given-names>Xiaojing, <name>Lu <given-names>Yuping.Culture is the soul of tourism: Misunderstanding and reflection: A case study of Mount Wuyi. Tourism Science, <year>2010, <volume>24(1): <fpage>61-<lpage>68.]

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈延伸視角的縣域旅游地演化研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

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