【摘要】：隨著世界經(jīng)濟(jì)格局的變化，服務(wù)貿(mào)易在全球貿(mào)易中所占的比例越來越大，中國的服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展卻相對緩慢，中國發(fā)展最好的服務(wù)貿(mào)易行業(yè)之一——旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易，相對于其他發(fā)達(dá)國家而言國際競爭力并不明顯。全國各省份也意識到了這一點，都重點發(fā)展旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易，本文在此政策環(huán)境下，研究福建省旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易的國際競爭力問題。本文首先定義本文所用的概念，對相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行闡述，其次對福建省的旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析，總結(jié)出其特點，然后利用國際市場占有率指數(shù)、固定份額模型指數(shù)、RCA指數(shù)及出口就業(yè)效應(yīng)指數(shù)研究其競爭力，并與國內(nèi)其余省份或自身不同時期比較。結(jié)果顯示，福建省的旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易國際競爭力處于中國中上水平，但出口貢獻(xiàn)率較低。再次，采用入境旅游人數(shù)、入境旅游住宿人數(shù)、旅游外匯收入為因變量，以城市化水平、旅行社數(shù)量、星級飯店數(shù)、旅游服務(wù)業(yè)從業(yè)人數(shù)、政府基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施資金投入、物價指數(shù)及人均收入作為自變量，任意選取三個變量構(gòu)建VEC模型，研究不同影響因素的組合對因變量的影響，同時研究不同自變量在何種情形下對因變量影響最大。然后建立脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)，，研究給予自變量一單位的正向沖擊，對因變量的影響。研究結(jié)果為旅行社的數(shù)量、城市化水平、人均收入、政府資金投入及物價指數(shù)對旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易國際競爭力的影響較大，星級飯店數(shù)對因變量的影響相對較小，而旅游服務(wù)業(yè)從業(yè)人數(shù)的影響最小。同時，城市化水平與物價指數(shù)或旅行社數(shù)量組合時對因變量影響最大。實證結(jié)果說明相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展及經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展對旅游服務(wù)貿(mào)易的影響較大，政府可以從這兩方面入手，大力推進(jìn)旅游發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the change of the world economic pattern, the proportion of service trade in the global trade is increasing, but the development of China's service trade is relatively slow, and one of the best service trade industries in China is tourism service trade. Compared with other developed countries, the international competitiveness is not obvious. All provinces in China are aware of this and focus on developing tourism service trade. Under this policy environment, this paper studies the international competitiveness of Fujian tourism service trade. This paper first defines the concepts used in this paper, expounds the relevant theories, secondly, analyzes the current situation of tourism service trade in Fujian Province, summarizes its characteristics, and then uses the international market share index. The fixed share model index, RCA index and export employment effect index are used to study their competitiveness, and compared with other provinces or their own different periods. The results show that the international competitiveness of tourism service trade in Fujian Province is in the middle and upper level of China, but the export contribution rate is relatively low. Thirdly, using the number of inbound tourism, the number of inbound tourist accommodation, tourism foreign exchange income as dependent variables, the level of urbanization, the number of travel agencies, the number of star hotels, the number of employees in the tourism service industry, government infrastructure investment, Price index and per capita income are regarded as independent variables, and three variables are chosen to construct VEC model. The influence of different factors on dependent variables is studied. At the same time, the influence of different independent variables on dependent variables is studied. Then the impulse response function is established to study the effect of the positive shock given to an independent variable on the dependent variable. The results show that the number of travel agencies, the level of urbanization, per capita income, government capital input and price index have a greater impact on the international competitiveness of tourism services trade, while the number of star hotels has a relatively small impact on the dependent variables. The impact of the number of employees in the tourism service industry is the least. At the same time, the urbanization level and the price index or the number of travel agencies have the greatest impact on the dependent variables. The empirical results show that the development of related industries and economic development have a great impact on tourism service trade, and the government can vigorously promote tourism development from these two aspects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華僑大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F592.7;F752.68

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