本文選題：國(guó)際友好城市　切入點(diǎn)：入境旅游　出處：《經(jīng)濟(jì)管理》2017年03期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：國(guó)際友好城市(簡(jiǎn)稱國(guó)際友城)活動(dòng)是國(guó)與國(guó)之間一種重要的民間外交形式,亦是一種重要的國(guó)際旅游活動(dòng)形式。本文首先分析了國(guó)際友城對(duì)入境游的作用機(jī)理,以及二者的時(shí)間耦合特征,其次利用1997—2014年中國(guó)38個(gè)主要客源國(guó)的面板數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用"固定效應(yīng)回歸"和"分位點(diǎn)回歸",分別探討了國(guó)際友城對(duì)中國(guó)入境旅游的平均效應(yīng)和分位點(diǎn)效應(yīng)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)國(guó)際友城活動(dòng)主要通過以經(jīng)貿(mào)、文化等交流為主要內(nèi)容的國(guó)際友好城市交流大會(huì)或國(guó)際友好城市市長(zhǎng)論壇促進(jìn)入境游客的增加,同時(shí),也通過國(guó)家或相鄰城市之間的空間溢出或示范效應(yīng)促進(jìn)入境旅游流的增加。(2)中國(guó)國(guó)際友城的空間分布呈明顯的"2311"集聚特征。(3)國(guó)際友城活動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)入境游具有顯著促進(jìn)作用。平均來看,在其他變量保持不變的條件下,國(guó)際友城累計(jì)數(shù)每增加1%,入境中國(guó)的外國(guó)游客將增加0.028%,這在實(shí)踐中也是一個(gè)不小的效應(yīng)。(4)國(guó)際友城活動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)入境游的效應(yīng)存在分位點(diǎn)差異,倒"U"型效應(yīng)曲線特征明顯。國(guó)際友城活動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)入境游促進(jìn)最大的是25%分位點(diǎn)(對(duì)應(yīng)的國(guó)際友城數(shù)和入境外國(guó)游客數(shù)分別為6對(duì)和3.6萬(wàn)人次),其次沿著10%、50%、75%和90%分位點(diǎn)方向依次減弱,到達(dá)90%分位點(diǎn)處,促進(jìn)作用變?yōu)樨?fù)數(shù)。上述發(fā)現(xiàn)對(duì)中國(guó)在"十三五"期間的國(guó)際友城空間布局及入境旅游市場(chǎng)拓展方向具有重要的啟示。
[Abstract]:International Friendship City is an important form of folk diplomacy among countries, and also an important form of international tourism. This paper first analyzes the mechanism of the action of International Friendship City on inbound tourism. And their temporal coupling characteristics, followed by panel data from 38 major guest countries in China from 1997 to 2014. By using "fixed effect regression" and "locus regression", this paper discusses the average and sub-site effects of International Friendship City on inbound tourism in China, respectively. It is found that: 1) International Friendship City activities are mainly carried out through trade and economic cooperation. Cultural exchanges as the main content of the International friendly City Exchange Conference or the International Forum of Mayors of friendly cities to promote the increase in inbound tourists at the same time, It also promotes the increase of inbound tourism flow through spatial spillover or demonstration effect between countries or adjacent cities. (2) the spatial distribution of China's International Friendship City shows obvious "2311" agglomeration characteristics. Promotion. On average, Under the condition that other variables remain unchanged, for each increase in the cumulative number of international friends, the number of foreign tourists entering China will increase by 0.0288.This is also a significant effect in practice. The characteristic of the inverted "U" effect curve is obvious. The most important contribution to China's inbound tour by the International Friendship activities is 25 loci (the corresponding number of international friends and foreign tourists are 6 pairs and 36,000 foreign tourists respectively, followed by 75% and 90% along the 1050g scale and 90 minutes respectively). The orientation of the locus decreased in turn, The above findings have important implications for the space layout of China's international friendship city during the 13th Five-Year Plan period and the direction of the development of the inbound tourism market.
【作者單位】： 上海財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)國(guó)際工商管理學(xué)院;湖南文理學(xué)院資源環(huán)境與旅游學(xué)院;上海師范大學(xué)旅游學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】：F125;F591

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