烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟耦合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究
本文關鍵詞:烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟耦合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究 出處:《石河子大學》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
更多相關文章: 耦合協(xié)調(diào) 旅游產(chǎn)業(yè) 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟 烏魯木齊
【摘要】:近些年,烏魯木齊市政府愈來愈關注旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,為了促進烏魯木齊市國民經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展,國家旅游局和援疆的各省市都對烏魯木齊市的旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)做出了大力支持。然而,在一個地區(qū)的發(fā)展過程中,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟相互促進的程度卻不完全成正比例關系,區(qū)域經(jīng)濟大力支持旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)的同時,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)不一定能夠給予區(qū)域經(jīng)濟更好的回饋。綜合分析烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,探索烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟耦合協(xié)調(diào)的程度,可以促進烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,從而充分發(fā)揮其作為新疆首府的增長極作用,帶動全區(qū)的發(fā)展。本文以烏魯木齊市為研究對象,根據(jù)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展理論、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構演變理論等,定性分析了烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)實基礎,借鑒已有學者的研究整理出旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟相互作用的機理,主要依據(jù)耦合協(xié)調(diào)度理論建立旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的耦合協(xié)調(diào)度模型,利用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計的方法探討2005-2014年烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟耦合協(xié)調(diào)的狀況,并運用灰色關聯(lián)法分析旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟各自的綜合效益與內(nèi)部因素之間的關聯(lián)程度,為烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的耦合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展提供依據(jù)。研究結(jié)果表明:第一,烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展都易受到突發(fā)事件的影響,并且旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)受到的影響比區(qū)域經(jīng)濟大,然而旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)在突發(fā)事件后的恢復速度要比區(qū)域經(jīng)濟快。第二,十年來,烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的耦合度一直保持在0.95以上,二者的耦合度總體上非常穩(wěn)定,耦合狀況良好,相互依存。第三,2011年以來,烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展相對緩慢,并且在2014年出現(xiàn)了下降的趨勢,雖然沒有影響到與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的耦合協(xié)調(diào)程度,但在未來幾年的發(fā)展中仍需注重。旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的耦合協(xié)調(diào)度經(jīng)歷了三個階段:2005-2007年,旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟之間的耦合協(xié)調(diào)度由輕度失調(diào)經(jīng)瀕臨失調(diào),最后轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)槊銖妳f(xié)調(diào);2008年和2009年,這兩年受到金融危機和“七五”事件的影響,二者的耦合協(xié)調(diào)度由勉強協(xié)調(diào)轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)檩p度失調(diào);2010-2014年,該時期在政策的支持下,二者的耦合協(xié)調(diào)度經(jīng)歷了勉強協(xié)調(diào)、中級協(xié)調(diào)到良好協(xié)調(diào)。第四,入境旅游收入對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)綜合效益的影響最大,各因素與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)綜合效益的關聯(lián)度差異不大;互聯(lián)網(wǎng)用戶數(shù)對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟綜合效益的影響最大,限額以上餐飲業(yè)法人企業(yè)數(shù)對其影響最小,各因素與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟綜合效益的關聯(lián)度差異較大。第五,為實現(xiàn)烏魯木齊市旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟達到優(yōu)質(zhì)協(xié)調(diào)的狀態(tài),結(jié)合耦合協(xié)調(diào)度和灰色關聯(lián)度的分析結(jié)果,提出了四點建議:加強社會穩(wěn)定,提高安全保障能力;重視區(qū)域合作,加快入境旅游發(fā)展;堅持政府主導,加大旅游投資力度;結(jié)合市場需求,培育旅游新業(yè)態(tài)。
[Abstract]:In recent years, Urumqi municipal government has paid more and more attention to the development of tourism industry, in order to promote the development of the national economy of Urumqi. The National Tourism Administration and various provinces and cities in Xinjiang have made great efforts to support the tourism industry in Urumqi. However, in the process of development of a region. However, the degree of mutual promotion between tourism industry and regional economy is not completely proportional, while the regional economy strongly supports tourism industry at the same time. Tourism industry may not be able to give better feedback to the regional economy. Comprehensive analysis of the development of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi, explore the degree of coordination between tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi. It can promote the coordinated development of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi, so as to give full play to its role as the growth pole of the capital of Xinjiang, and promote the development of the whole region. This paper takes Urumqi as the research object. According to the theory of regional economic development and the theory of industrial structure evolution, this paper qualitatively analyzes the realistic basis of the coordinated development of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi. Draw lessons from the existing scholars to sort out the mechanism of interaction between tourism industry and regional economy, mainly based on the coupling coordination degree theory to establish the tourism industry and regional economy coupling coordination degree model. This paper discusses the coupling and coordination of tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi from 2005 to 2014 by means of mathematical statistics. And the grey correlation method is used to analyze the degree of correlation between the comprehensive benefits of tourism industry and regional economy and internal factors. The results show that: first, Urumqi tourism industry and the development of regional economy are vulnerable to the impact of unexpected events. And the tourism industry is affected more than the regional economy, however, the recovery rate of the tourism industry is faster than that of the regional economy after the sudden events. Second, in the past ten years. Urumqi tourism industry and regional economy of the coupling degree has been maintained at more than 0.95, the coupling degree of the two is generally very stable, coupling condition is good, interdependent. Third, since 2011. The development of tourism industry in Urumqi is relatively slow, and in 2014 there was a downward trend, although it did not affect the degree of coupling and coordination with the regional economy. However, in the next few years, we still need to pay attention to the coupling and coordination degree between tourism industry and regional economy, which has experienced three stages: 2005-2007. The degree of coupling and coordination between tourism industry and regional economy has changed from slight maladjustment to barely coordination. In 2008 and 2009, affected by the financial crisis and the "Seventh Five-Year" incident, the degree of coupling coordination between the two changed from barely coordination to slight imbalance. During the period 2010-2014, with the support of policy, the degree of coupling and coordination between the two had been barely coordinated, from intermediate to good coordination. 4th. The impact of inbound tourism income on the comprehensive benefits of tourism industry is the greatest, and the correlation degree between the factors and the comprehensive benefits of tourism industry is not significant; The number of Internet users has the greatest impact on the comprehensive benefits of regional economy, and the number of corporate enterprises in the catering industry above the quota has the least impact on it, and the correlation degree between the factors and the comprehensive benefits of regional economy is quite different. 5th. In order to achieve high quality coordination between tourism industry and regional economy in Urumqi, combined with the analysis results of coupling coordination degree and grey correlation degree, four suggestions are put forward: strengthening social stability and improving safety and security ability; Attach importance to regional cooperation and accelerate the development of inbound tourism; Adhere to the government-led, increase the intensity of tourism investment; Combine the market demand, cultivate the new form of tourism.
【學位授予單位】:石河子大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F127;F592.7
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