【摘要】：虛擬經(jīng)濟與實體經(jīng)濟的互動問題日益受到關(guān)注。國外學(xué)者的研究表明,股票市場作為一種虛擬經(jīng)濟形態(tài),其與實體經(jīng)濟經(jīng)常呈現(xiàn)一種正相關(guān)的關(guān)系,這與理論分析結(jié)論相一致,然而,從最近幾年股票價格和經(jīng)濟增長的走勢情況,我國的股票市場和經(jīng)濟增長之間似乎存在著"背離"的狀況。為此,本文擬采用趨勢分析、協(xié)整分析和因果關(guān)系檢驗,對我國股票市場和實體經(jīng)濟之間是否存在背離進行了實證檢驗。我們的研究結(jié)果表明我國股票市場和實體經(jīng)濟之間存在背離關(guān)系。因此,必須通過促進企業(yè)平穩(wěn)較快發(fā)展保持經(jīng)濟穩(wěn)定、金融穩(wěn)定和資本市場穩(wěn)定,有效解決虛擬經(jīng)濟與實體經(jīng)濟之間的背離關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:The interaction between virtual economy and real economy has been paid more and more attention. The research of foreign scholars shows that the stock market as a form of virtual economy often presents a positive correlation with the real economy, which is consistent with the conclusion of theoretical analysis. From the trend of stock price and economic growth in recent years, there seems to be a "deviation" between China's stock market and economic growth. Therefore, this paper intends to use trend analysis, cointegration analysis and causality test to test whether there is a deviation between the stock market and the real economy in China. Our research results show that there is a deviation relationship between the stock market and the real economy. Therefore, we must effectively solve the deviation relationship between virtual economy and real economy by promoting the steady and rapid development of enterprises to maintain economic stability, financial stability and capital market stability.
【作者單位】： 四川大學(xué)經(jīng)濟學(xué)院公司金融研究所;四川大學(xué)經(jīng)濟學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社科基金重點項目(08AJY045)
【分類號】：F832.51;F124;F224

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本文編號：2429834