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人民幣升值的動(dòng)因、負(fù)面影響及其與企業(yè)研發(fā)投資的關(guān)系分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-11-09 09:48
【摘要】:內(nèi)在體制不健全是人民幣升值的根源,長(zhǎng)期以來實(shí)施"重創(chuàng)匯,輕用匯"的外匯管理政策以及出口導(dǎo)向的貿(mào)易政策,導(dǎo)致外匯供求結(jié)構(gòu)失衡;各級(jí)政府、企業(yè)對(duì)外資的偏好導(dǎo)致不少低質(zhì)量的外資進(jìn)入中國(guó),加劇了外匯供求的不均衡;再者,國(guó)內(nèi)資源緊張態(tài)勢(shì)以及隨之而來的成本急劇上漲對(duì)人民幣升值起了推波助瀾的作用。人民幣升值會(huì)對(duì)出口貿(mào)易、就業(yè)水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整以及收入分配帶來負(fù)面影響,除此之外,擴(kuò)展的古諾模型顯示,匯率升值還會(huì)增加企業(yè)生產(chǎn)的邊際成本,導(dǎo)致企業(yè)進(jìn)行研發(fā)投資的積極性受挫。當(dāng)前,人民幣升值正處于重要關(guān)口,充分認(rèn)識(shí)升值可能帶來的各種負(fù)面影響,尤其是可能會(huì)對(duì)企業(yè)研發(fā)投資帶來一定的沖擊,及時(shí)采取相應(yīng)的對(duì)策,顯得非常重要。
[Abstract]:The imperfect internal system is the root of RMB appreciation. For a long time, the foreign exchange management policy of "paying more attention to foreign exchange earning than using foreign exchange" and the export-oriented trade policy have led to the imbalance of foreign exchange supply and demand structure. The preference of governments and enterprises for foreign capital at all levels leads to the entry of many low-quality foreign capital into China, which exacerbates the imbalance between supply and demand of foreign exchange. Moreover, domestic resource constraints and the resulting sharp rise in costs have contributed to the appreciation of the yuan. RMB appreciation will have a negative impact on export trade, employment level, industrial structure adjustment and income distribution. In addition, the extended Cournot model shows that exchange rate appreciation will also increase the marginal cost of enterprise production. Lead to the enthusiasm of enterprises to invest in R & D frustrated. At present, RMB appreciation is at an important level. It is very important to fully understand the possible negative effects of appreciation, especially the impact on R & D investment of enterprises. It is very important to take corresponding countermeasures in time.
【作者單位】: 中南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)金融學(xué)院;
【基金】:中南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)振興工程科研基金資助項(xiàng)目(31140910511)
【分類號(hào)】:F822.0;F273.1

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4 沈慶R,

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