【摘要】：河北省經(jīng)濟(jì)能否在未來保持持續(xù)、穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)的態(tài)勢(shì),在很大程度上依賴于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的速度和效果。在眾多產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響因素中,本文主要研究產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的金融支持這一問題。 本文在對(duì)現(xiàn)有文獻(xiàn)和研究成果總結(jié)回顧的基礎(chǔ)上,從間接金融、直接金融和政策性金融三個(gè)方面入手分析其對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的作用機(jī)制,進(jìn)而在理論層面上驗(yàn)證了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的金融支持。間接金融通過資金形成機(jī)制、利益競(jìng)爭(zhēng)機(jī)制、信用催化機(jī)制以及供求調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制從增量方式調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)；直接金融通過首發(fā)上市機(jī)制、股東選擇機(jī)制、自發(fā)調(diào)整機(jī)制、參股控股機(jī)制和借殼上市機(jī)制從增量和存量?jī)煞N方式影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)；政策性金融以政策性偏好機(jī)制、政策性導(dǎo)向機(jī)制和信用提供機(jī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)生影響。 接下來,分析了河北省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和金融發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀分析部分從三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率(ISR)兩方面分析了1978年—2009年河北省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)歷程,指出現(xiàn)有產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的不合理之處,金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀分析部分從間接金融、直接金融和政策性金融三部分闡釋了我省金融發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀。間接金融現(xiàn)狀分析部分采用了金融相關(guān)比率(FIR)和存貸款比率(SLR)來衡量我省間接金融的發(fā)展；直接金融現(xiàn)狀分析部分采取了證券市場(chǎng)籌資率(CAP)來反映我省直接金融的發(fā)展；至于政策性金融的發(fā)展采取了政策性金融相關(guān)率(PFR)來衡量。 在現(xiàn)狀分析和理論分析的基礎(chǔ)之上,本研究從間接金融、直接金融和政策性金融三個(gè)方面入手,分別進(jìn)行了其對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的實(shí)證分析。間接金融與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的實(shí)證部分選取了現(xiàn)狀分析中提到的金融相關(guān)比率(FIR)、存貸款比率(SLR)以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率(ISR)三個(gè)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行了協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn),得出產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率與金融相關(guān)比率負(fù)相關(guān)、與存貸款比率正相關(guān)關(guān)系；金融相關(guān)比率與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率存在單向因果關(guān)系,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率與存貸款比率之間存在單向因果關(guān)系。直接金融部分的實(shí)證選取了上章提到的證券市場(chǎng)籌資率(CAP)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率(ISR)指標(biāo),檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果表明了證券市場(chǎng)籌資率與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率之間不存在協(xié)整關(guān)系及因果關(guān)系。政策性金融與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的實(shí)證選取了政策性金融相關(guān)比率(PFR)以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化率(ISR)來做回歸,回歸結(jié)果不顯著。根據(jù)上述分析得出結(jié)論：河北省金融支持產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)力度不足,特別是直接金融市場(chǎng)和政策性金融市場(chǎng)。 結(jié)合河北省實(shí)際情況,筆者提出了河北省金融支持產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的政策建議,旨在實(shí)現(xiàn)間接金融、直接金融和政策性金融對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的支持。這些建議包括完善間接金融市場(chǎng),提高間接金融支持產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的能力；建立多層次的資本市場(chǎng),提高直接金融支持對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的能力；發(fā)展鞏固政策性金融,提高政策性金融支持產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的能力；加強(qiáng)宏觀調(diào)控,促進(jìn)金融資源合理配置四個(gè)方面。
[Abstract]:Whether the economy of Hebei province is sustainable and stable in the future depends on the speed and effect of industrial structure optimization to a large extent. Among the factors affecting the upgrading of industrial structure, this paper mainly studies the financial support of industrial structure upgrading. Based on the review of existing literature and research results, this paper analyzes its mechanism of action on industrial structure from three aspects of indirect finance, direct finance and policy finance, and then verifies the finance of industrial structure upgrade at the theoretical level. Support. Indirect finance adjusts industrial structure from incremental mode through capital formation mechanism, benefit competition mechanism, credit catalysis mechanism and supply and demand adjustment mechanism; direct finance is adjusted by the initial listing mechanism, shareholder selection mechanism, and spontaneous adjustment. The mechanism, the holding mechanism and the borrowing mechanism influence the industrial structure from two ways: the increment and the stock quantity; the policy finance takes the policy-preference mechanism, the policy-oriented mechanism and the credit providing mechanism to the industrial structure. Next, the industrial structure and finance of Hebei Province were analyzed. The present situation of industrial structure analysis is based on three changes of industrial structure and optimization rate of industrial structure (ISR). The evolution of industrial structure in Hebei province was analyzed in 1978 from 1978 to 2009. It is pointed out that the unreasonable place of industrial structure and the analysis of the present situation of financial development are pointed out. From the three parts of indirect finance, direct finance and policy finance, this paper expounds the finance of our province The current situation of the development of the indirect financial situation is that the financial correlation ratio (FIR) and the deposit ratio (SLR) are adopted to measure the development of indirect finance in our province; the direct financial situation analysis part adopts the financing rate (CAP) of the stock market to reflect the direct investment in our province The development of finance; as to the development of policy finance, the policy finance related rate (PF) has been adopted. R) is measured. On the basis of present situation analysis and theoretical analysis, this research begins with the three aspects of indirect finance, direct finance and policy finance. The empirical analysis of structural upgrading: The empirical part of the upgrading of indirect finance and industrial structure selects the financial correlation ratio (FIR), the loan ratio (SLR) and the industrial structure optimization rate (ISR), which are mentioned in the present situation analysis. With Granger causality test, it is concluded that the industrial structure optimization ratio is negatively correlated with the financial-related ratio, and is positively related to the loan-deposit ratio; the financial-related ratio and the industrial structure optimization rate have one-way causal relationship, the industrial structure optimization ratio and the loan-to-loan ratio. There is a one-way causal relationship. The empirical choice of the direct financial part selects the securities market financing rate (CAP) and the industrial structure optimization ratio (ISR) index mentioned in the previous chapter, and the inspection results show that there is no association between the financing rate of the stock market and the industrial structure optimization rate. The empirical choice of policy finance and industrial structure has selected policy finance-related ratio (PFR) and industrial structure optimization rate (ISR) to make regression. The regression results are not significant. According to the above analysis, it is concluded that the financial support of Hebei province supports the insufficient upgrading of industrial structure, especially the direct financial market. Combined with the actual situation of Hebei province, the author put forward the policy suggestion of Hebei financial support industrial structure upgrade, aiming at realizing indirect finance, direct finance and policy gold. These suggestions include perfecting indirect financial market, improving the ability of indirect finance to support upgrading of industrial structure, establishing multi-level capital market, improving direct financial support and upgrading industrial structure. The development of policy-oriented finance, the improvement of policy-oriented finance, the upgrading of industrial structure, the strengthening of macro-control and the promotion of gold
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F832.7;F224

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本文編號(hào)：2301442