通貨膨脹不確定性:模型測度與經(jīng)濟(jì)解讀
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-08-08 13:06
【摘要】:通貨膨脹的不確定性對宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)變量有較大的影響,本文通過考察我國通貨膨脹對經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定的影響發(fā)現(xiàn),通貨膨脹不確定性主要對消費(fèi)有顯著影響,對投資和凈出口的影響不明顯。我國市場經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型使得消費(fèi)對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響越來越大,穩(wěn)定通貨膨脹預(yù)期成為經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)健運(yùn)行的重要環(huán)節(jié)。為此,需要提高政策的可預(yù)見性,提高政策的透明度與公信力,完善貨幣政策調(diào)控機(jī)制,平穩(wěn)市場供求,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定可持續(xù)增長。
[Abstract]:The uncertainty of inflation has a great influence on the macroeconomic variables. By examining the impact of inflation on economic stability, this paper finds that the uncertainty of inflation has a significant impact on consumption. The impact on investment and net exports is not obvious. The transformation of market economy in our country makes consumption have more and more influence on economic development, and stabilizing inflation expectation becomes an important link in the steady operation of economy. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the predictability of policy, improve the transparency and credibility of policy, perfect the mechanism of monetary policy regulation and control, stabilize the market supply and demand, and realize the stable and sustainable growth of economy.
【作者單位】: 西安交通大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融學(xué)院;
【基金】:教育部應(yīng)急課題“國際金融危機(jī)應(yīng)對研究”(2009JYJR058)
【分類號(hào)】:F224;F822.5
[Abstract]:The uncertainty of inflation has a great influence on the macroeconomic variables. By examining the impact of inflation on economic stability, this paper finds that the uncertainty of inflation has a significant impact on consumption. The impact on investment and net exports is not obvious. The transformation of market economy in our country makes consumption have more and more influence on economic development, and stabilizing inflation expectation becomes an important link in the steady operation of economy. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the predictability of policy, improve the transparency and credibility of policy, perfect the mechanism of monetary policy regulation and control, stabilize the market supply and demand, and realize the stable and sustainable growth of economy.
【作者單位】: 西安交通大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融學(xué)院;
【基金】:教育部應(yīng)急課題“國際金融危機(jī)應(yīng)對研究”(2009JYJR058)
【分類號(hào)】:F224;F822.5
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條
1 王凱;龐震;;貨幣供應(yīng)量、通貨膨脹不確定性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長——兼論弗里德曼假說在中國的適用性[J];山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2008年07期
2 賈俊雪;郭慶旺;曹永剛;;中國貨幣增長的不確定性及其對宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響[J];中國軟科學(xué);2006年11期
【共引文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 蘇h椒,
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