從美元指數(shù)變動(dòng)反思中國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)金融危機(jī)的策略
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-27 03:59
本文選題:金融危機(jī) + 美元指數(shù)變動(dòng); 參考:《國(guó)際金融研究》2010年03期
【摘要】:美元指數(shù)在金融危機(jī)前后出現(xiàn)了耐人尋味的變化:危機(jī)初期大幅下跌,危機(jī)嚴(yán)重時(shí)期卻逆市迅速上升,一有復(fù)蘇跡象就開始進(jìn)入跌勢(shì)。顯然與危機(jī)之前所奉行的弱勢(shì)美元政策不一致。美國(guó)借助美元的特殊地位將之作為應(yīng)對(duì)金融危機(jī)的一個(gè)全球性戰(zhàn)略武器,巧妙地將自己這個(gè)危機(jī)源頭的損失降至最小程度并在國(guó)際上實(shí)行霸權(quán)主義控制,且正在布局再度獲取世界經(jīng)濟(jì)政治的新主導(dǎo)權(quán)。為增強(qiáng)經(jīng)濟(jì)理性發(fā)展的能力,中國(guó)在應(yīng)對(duì)外部沖擊時(shí)一定要有前瞻性和預(yù)見性;趁美元還未大幅貶值之機(jī)減持至少不再增持美國(guó)國(guó)債并用活話語(yǔ)權(quán);通過創(chuàng)建"中國(guó)美元"市場(chǎng)來解決外匯儲(chǔ)備問題;建立和拓展石油、鐵礦石等大宗原料國(guó)際期貨市場(chǎng);同時(shí)降低對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的過度依賴;并急需將居者有其屋作為基本國(guó)策;此外,發(fā)展新能源產(chǎn)業(yè)切不可盲目跟風(fēng)。
[Abstract]:The dollar index changed thought-provoking before and after the financial crisis: it fell sharply in the early stages of the crisis, but rose sharply during the worst of the crisis and began to fall as soon as there were signs of recovery. Clearly inconsistent with the weak dollar policy pursued before the crisis. With the special status of the dollar, the United States has used it as a global strategic weapon to deal with the financial crisis, ingeniously minimizing its losses at the source of the crisis and exercising hegemonic control internationally. And is again in the layout of the world economy and politics of the new dominant power. In order to enhance the ability of rational economic development, China must be forward-looking and predictable in dealing with external shocks; To solve the foreign exchange reserve problem by creating "Chinese dollar" market; to establish and expand the international futures market of oil, iron ore and other bulk raw materials; at the same time, to reduce the excessive dependence on developed countries, and to urgently take home ownership as the basic state policy; In addition, the development of new energy industry must not blindly follow the trend.
【作者單位】: 復(fù)旦大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;上海社科院部門經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;
【基金】:教育部“國(guó)際金融危機(jī)應(yīng)對(duì)研究”應(yīng)急課題(2009JYJR044)資助
【分類號(hào)】:F831.59
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