我國當(dāng)前通貨膨脹特點及因應(yīng)對策
本文選題:通貨膨脹 + 需求拉動; 參考:《河北大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:通貨膨脹是一個很重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)因素,一直影響著世界各國經(jīng)濟(jì)的健康平穩(wěn)發(fā)展。因此,通貨膨脹的治理一直是世界各國經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家研究的重要課題。我國從改革開放以來,伴隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長,在社會經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域發(fā)生了多次通貨膨脹,而每一次通貨膨脹的發(fā)生都對國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的各個層面造成了不同程度的影響。為應(yīng)對2008年以來的國際金融危機(jī),各國都采取了一系列寬松的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策,釋放了大量流動性,這為我國及其他新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體國家的通貨膨脹打下了“基礎(chǔ)”。在度過危機(jī)的最艱難時期后,2009年底居民消費價格指數(shù)CPI由負(fù)轉(zhuǎn)正,2010年初通貨膨脹跡象開始顯現(xiàn),拉開了我國當(dāng)前通貨膨脹的序幕。 我國當(dāng)前通貨膨脹所面臨的國內(nèi)外宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境與以往相比發(fā)生了較大的變化。經(jīng)濟(jì)的長期高速增長,,對外開放廣度和深度不斷加強(qiáng),經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型關(guān)鍵時期的到來,以及金融危機(jī)后世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的緩慢復(fù)蘇都深刻影響著我國當(dāng)前的通貨膨脹。因此,當(dāng)前的通貨膨脹表現(xiàn)出了貨幣供應(yīng)量大、成本推動性和外部輸入性明顯的特征。在對大量的文獻(xiàn)資料進(jìn)行總結(jié)整理,且對大量的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行比較分析后,找出了引發(fā)我國當(dāng)前通貨膨脹的三大主要原因:寬松的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策下的需求拉動、要素市場的變化引發(fā)的成本推動及外部輸入。并且通過對我國當(dāng)前通貨膨脹成因的研究得到了,危機(jī)過后政府在使用宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策時需謹(jǐn)慎,應(yīng)具有長遠(yuǎn)性和前瞻性的啟示。綜上提出了治理我國當(dāng)前通貨膨脹的對策,主要有合理調(diào)整過剩的流動性,合理有效的推動要素市場化改革,并通過合理調(diào)整人民幣匯率、建立能源農(nóng)產(chǎn)品等的中長期發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略來緩解外部沖擊以及合理的運用宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策等。
[Abstract]:Inflation is a very important economic factor, has been affecting the healthy and stable development of the world economy. Therefore, the control of inflation has been an important topic for economists all over the world. Since the reform and opening up, along with the rapid economic growth, there have been many times of inflation in the social and economic field, and each time the occurrence of inflation has caused varying degrees of impact on the various levels of the national economy. In response to the international financial crisis since 2008, countries have adopted a series of loose macroeconomic policies and released a lot of liquidity, which has laid a "foundation" for inflation in China and other emerging economies. After the most difficult period of the crisis, the consumer price index (CPI) began to show signs of inflation at the beginning of 2010 from negative to positive at the end of 2009, which opened the prelude of China's current inflation. The domestic and foreign macro-economic environment of China's current inflation has changed greatly compared with the past. The long-term rapid growth of the economy, the continuous strengthening of the breadth and depth of opening up, the arrival of the critical period of economic transformation, and the slow recovery of the world economy after the financial crisis have deeply affected the current inflation in China. Therefore, the current inflation shows the characteristics of large money supply, cost promotion and external input. After summing up and sorting out a great deal of literature, and comparing and analyzing a large number of data, we find out the three main causes of inflation in our country: the demand pull under the loose macroeconomic policy. Factor market changes lead to cost-driven and external input. Through the study of the causes of inflation in China, the government should be careful in using macroeconomic policies after the crisis, and should have a long-term and forward-looking enlightenment. In summary, we put forward some countermeasures to control the current inflation in our country, mainly by reasonably adjusting excess liquidity, reasonably and effectively promoting the market-oriented reform of the elements, and by rationally adjusting the RMB exchange rate. Establish medium-and-long-term development strategies for energy and agricultural products to mitigate external shocks and make rational use of macroeconomic policies.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:河北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F822.5
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