發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-06-18 08:40

  本文選題：東亞貨幣合作 + 人民幣與日元�。� 參考：《東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：1997年亞洲爆發(fā)了金融危機(jī),暴露出東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的諸多問題,其中各國(guó)、各地區(qū)間缺乏金融協(xié)調(diào)與合作的問題尤為突出。東亞各國(guó)意識(shí)到釘住美元匯率存在的巨大風(fēng)險(xiǎn),開啟了東亞貨幣合作的新篇章。2007年美國(guó)爆發(fā)次貸危機(jī)并引發(fā)了全球金融動(dòng)蕩,再次使東亞國(guó)家意識(shí)到加強(qiáng)區(qū)域貨幣合作的緊迫性。經(jīng)過十幾年的努力,東亞貨幣合作取得了一系列成就,但由于缺乏軸心國(guó)和貨幣錨,區(qū)域貨幣合作步履維艱。 中日兩國(guó)是東亞地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)大國(guó),也是拉動(dòng)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的雙引擎。日本是區(qū)域內(nèi)唯一的發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家,金融體系相對(duì)完善。中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)而較快地增長(zhǎng),已經(jīng)代替日本成為區(qū)域內(nèi)第一大經(jīng)濟(jì)體。日元在直接挑戰(zhàn)美元進(jìn)行國(guó)際化的途中受到重創(chuàng)而不得不返回亞洲,卻面臨人民幣的崛起。由于中日經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力與經(jīng)濟(jì)周期、發(fā)展水平和利益動(dòng)機(jī)的不同,兩國(guó)間的貨幣競(jìng)爭(zhēng)不可避免。但近年來日本經(jīng)濟(jì)一直處于低迷之中,首相更替頻繁,社會(huì)問題突出。中國(guó)金融體系不健全,資本項(xiàng)目未實(shí)現(xiàn)自由化,利率和匯率也未市場(chǎng)化,人民幣國(guó)際化剛剛起步。中日兩國(guó)面對(duì)美元在東亞地區(qū)的強(qiáng)勢(shì)地位,都無力單獨(dú)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)東亞貨幣合作。未來中日兩國(guó)之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)周期會(huì)進(jìn)一步協(xié)同,經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系日益緊密,兩國(guó)間的溝通與協(xié)調(diào)能力不斷增強(qiáng)。隨著東亞貨幣合作的進(jìn)一步加強(qiáng),兩國(guó)通過貨幣合作獲得的收益也日益增多。 本文從東亞貨幣合作的現(xiàn)狀出發(fā),描述了當(dāng)前取得的成就和面臨的困難,對(duì)東亞貨幣合作中的關(guān)鍵貨幣——人民幣和日元展開分析,詳細(xì)論述了兩者競(jìng)爭(zhēng)與合作的關(guān)系。在文章的結(jié)構(gòu)安排方面,全文共分六章。 第一章為緒論,主要闡述了研究東亞貨幣合作中人民幣與日元關(guān)系的目的與意義,在對(duì)中外學(xué)者研究成果進(jìn)行歸納與整理的基礎(chǔ)上,確定了本文的研究結(jié)構(gòu)與內(nèi)容。 第二章為東亞貨幣合作的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,主要敘述了兩次金融危機(jī)對(duì)東亞貨幣合作的影響、當(dāng)前東亞貨幣合作的現(xiàn)狀、東亞貨幣合作面臨的主要困難及產(chǎn)生困難的根源。其中一個(gè)主要困難是缺乏軸心國(guó)和貨幣錨,這為后文研究東亞貨幣合作中人民幣與日元的關(guān)系做好了鋪墊。 第三章研究東亞貨幣合作中人民幣與日元的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)關(guān)系,主要從兩國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力、市場(chǎng)提供者地位、貨幣國(guó)際化進(jìn)程、金融體系的完善程度以及匯率制度、幣值信譽(yù)五個(gè)方面做了比較,分析各自的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)與劣勢(shì)。通過對(duì)兩國(guó)貨幣競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的比較得出當(dāng)前中日都無法單獨(dú)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)東亞貨幣,這與第二章提及的東亞貨幣合作面臨的主要困難——缺乏軸心國(guó)和核心貨幣遙相呼應(yīng)。 第四章為人民幣與日元的合作,首先論述了近年來人民幣與日元在結(jié)算交易、債券、貨幣互換、東亞外匯儲(chǔ)備庫、對(duì)話機(jī)制等方面的合作。接著分析了兩國(guó)貨幣合作的必要性、可行性、以及面臨的困難。最后依據(jù)合作現(xiàn)狀與當(dāng)前存在的困難提出了促進(jìn)兩國(guó)貨幣合作的若干建議。 第五章為東亞貨幣合作中人民幣與日元的關(guān)系展望。分析了當(dāng)前金融動(dòng)蕩的形勢(shì)下,中日選擇競(jìng)爭(zhēng)或合作的成本與收益,得出了兩國(guó)合則雙贏斗則兩傷的結(jié)論。接著闡述了東亞貨幣合作是一個(gè)長(zhǎng)期過程,提出了人民幣與日元如何結(jié)合東亞貨幣合作的階段性任務(wù)及時(shí)調(diào)整兩者關(guān)系的建議。 第六章為結(jié)論,作者通過對(duì)人民幣與日元的實(shí)力比較,得出在當(dāng)前美元仍為東亞主導(dǎo)貨幣的形勢(shì)下,兩國(guó)都無力單獨(dú)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)東亞貨幣合作。兩國(guó)應(yīng)該審時(shí)度勢(shì)并考慮到東亞貨幣合作的整體利益,分階段、分目標(biāo)的采取措施推動(dòng)中日間的貨幣合作,進(jìn)而將東亞貨幣推向更深層次的合作。
[Abstract]:The Asian financial crisis broke out in 1997 , exposing many problems in East Asia ' s economic development . Countries and regions lack financial coordination and cooperation . The East Asian countries are aware of the huge risks of pegged exchange rates and opened up a new chapter in East Asian monetary cooperation . After more than a decade of efforts , East Asian countries are aware of the urgency of strengthening regional monetary cooperation . After more than a decade of efforts , East Asian currency cooperation has achieved a series of achievements , but because of the lack of axial and monetary anchors , regional monetary cooperation is difficult .

Japan is the only developed country in the region , the financial system is relatively perfect . Japan is the only developed country in the region , the financial system is relatively perfect . In recent years , China ' s economy has grown rapidly and has to return to Asia , but it faces the rise of RMB .

Starting from the current situation of East Asian monetary cooperation , this paper describes the achievements and difficulties currently being achieved , analyzes the key currencies in monetary cooperation in East Asia and the Japanese yen , and discusses the relationship between the competition and cooperation of the two . In the structure arrangement of the article , the whole text is divided into six chapters .

The first chapter introduces the purpose and significance of studying the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in East Asian monetary cooperation , and determines the research structure and content of this paper on the basis of summarizing and arranging the research results of Chinese and foreign scholars .

The second chapter is the current situation of East Asian monetary cooperation , mainly describes the influence of the two financial crises on East Asian monetary cooperation , the current situation of East Asian currency cooperation , the main difficulties in East Asian currency cooperation and the root causes of difficulties . One of the main difficulties is the lack of axial and monetary anchors , which is the foundation for the study of the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in East Asian currency cooperation .

The third chapter studies the competitive relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in East Asian monetary cooperation , compares the two countries ' economic strength , market provider status , monetary internationalization process , the perfection degree of the financial system , the exchange rate system and the currency value reputation , and analyzes their competitive advantages and disadvantages .

The fourth chapter discusses the cooperation between RMB and Japanese yen in settlement transactions , bonds , currency exchange , East Asian foreign exchange reserve and dialogue mechanism in recent years , and then analyzes the necessity , feasibility and difficulties of monetary cooperation between the two countries . Finally , some suggestions are put forward to promote the monetary cooperation between the two countries according to the current situation of cooperation and the present difficulties .

The fifth chapter prospects the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in monetary cooperation in East Asia , analyzes the cost and benefits of competition or cooperation between China and Japan under the current financial turmoil , and draws the conclusion that the two - state cooperation is a long - term process , and puts forward suggestions on how to adjust the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in combination with the stage task of East Asian currency cooperation .

In the sixth chapter , the author compares the strength between RMB and Japanese yen , and concludes that in the current dollar still the dominant currency of East Asia , the two countries cannot independently lead the East Asian monetary cooperation . The two countries should review the current situation and take into account the overall interests , stages and objectives of the East Asian monetary cooperation to promote the monetary cooperation between China and Japan , and then push the East Asian currency to a deeper level of cooperation .
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F823.1;F832.6

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