本文選題：非對(duì)稱共生 + 美元環(huán)流��； 參考：《河北工業(yè)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：本論文得到2011年國家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(11BJL048)----“中美經(jīng)濟(jì)非對(duì)稱共生條件下我國流動(dòng)性重復(fù)逆轉(zhuǎn)問題研究”的資助。 中美作為世界上最大的發(fā)展中國家和發(fā)達(dá)國家已經(jīng)具備了“共生經(jīng)濟(jì)”特征。兩國經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)存在明顯的互補(bǔ)性，中國以制造業(yè)見長(zhǎng)，美國則是全球金融資本最為強(qiáng)大的國家，雙方互惠互利，在“共生經(jīng)濟(jì)”條件下，形成了中美兩國間商品和資本的“雙循環(huán)”體制。但是，中美兩國間的“共生關(guān)系”是不對(duì)稱的，美國掌握了兩國“共生關(guān)系”的主導(dǎo)權(quán)，不論是實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域，還是虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域，我國都受到美國直接或間接的鉗制。美國國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)低迷將會(huì)引起我國出口產(chǎn)業(yè)受損，外匯儲(chǔ)備增速降低，國內(nèi)基礎(chǔ)貨幣投放減少，流動(dòng)性緊缺，美國經(jīng)濟(jì)高漲則會(huì)造成相反的影響。 鑒于中美兩國間特殊的經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系，本文以美元環(huán)流路徑為導(dǎo)向，首先扼要介紹了共生概念和流動(dòng)性含義，，之后按照邏輯順序先對(duì)美元環(huán)流的路徑依賴條件——中美兩國的共生合理性分別從中美兩國貿(mào)易依存性和金融依存性角度進(jìn)行了分析。其中文章選取了貿(mào)易結(jié)合度指數(shù)、比較優(yōu)勢(shì)指數(shù)以及貿(mào)易互補(bǔ)性指數(shù)對(duì)中美兩國貿(mào)易依存性進(jìn)行了量化分析，對(duì)中美兩國金融依存性進(jìn)行了定性分析，得出了中美兩國依存共生的現(xiàn)實(shí)結(jié)論。其次，在共生基礎(chǔ)上圍繞中美兩國經(jīng)濟(jì)非對(duì)稱性分別從美元環(huán)流的路徑、中美兩國財(cái)富分配機(jī)制、財(cái)富錯(cuò)配根源等方面進(jìn)行了定性分析。之后，中美兩國經(jīng)濟(jì)的非對(duì)稱性和現(xiàn)代國際貨幣體系的內(nèi)在脆弱性導(dǎo)致了美元環(huán)流陷阱。針對(duì)這個(gè)問題，文章分別從貿(mào)易調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制失靈、國際貨幣基準(zhǔn)穩(wěn)定性和經(jīng)濟(jì)周期傳染性等方面對(duì)中美兩國的經(jīng)濟(jì)脆弱性做出了研究分析。最后，本文通過兩個(gè)博弈模型分別從貿(mào)易角度和金融角度對(duì)影響中美兩國間非對(duì)稱關(guān)系的因素進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析，給出了調(diào)整影響因素的政策建議，以期通過調(diào)整這些因素來改善中美兩國的非對(duì)稱性關(guān)系，從而促進(jìn)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:This paper is supported by the 2011 National Social Science Foundation Project 11BJL048- "the study on the repeated liquidity reversal in China under the condition of asymmetric symbiosis between China and the United States". As the largest developing and developed country in the world, China and America already have the characteristic of symbiotic economy. The economic structure of the two countries is obviously complementary. China is strong in manufacturing, while the United States is the most powerful financial capital country in the world. Both sides are mutually beneficial. Under the condition of "symbiotic economy," The two-cycle system of goods and capital between China and the United States has been formed. However, the "symbiotic relationship" between China and the United States is asymmetrical. The United States holds the dominant power of the "symbiotic relationship" between the two countries. Whether in the field of real economy or in the field of virtual economy, China is directly or indirectly restrained by the United States. The economic downturn in the United States will damage China's export industry, reduce the growth rate of foreign exchange reserves, reduce domestic base money supply, and shortage of liquidity. The upsurge in the U.S. economy will have the opposite effect. In view of the special economic relationship between China and the United States, this paper first briefly introduces the concept of symbiosis and the meaning of liquidity, guided by the US dollar circulation path. Then, according to the logical order, the paper analyzes the path-dependent conditions of the dollar circulation, the symbiotic rationality of China and the United States, and the trade dependence and financial dependence of China and the United States, respectively. The article selects the index of trade combination, comparative advantage index and trade complementarity index to analyze the trade dependence of China and the United States quantitatively, and qualitatively analyzes the financial dependence of China and the United States. This paper draws a realistic conclusion that China and the United States are interdependent and symbiotic. Secondly, on the basis of symbiosis, qualitative analysis is made on the economic asymmetry of China and the United States from the following aspects: the path of the circulation of US dollars, the mechanism of wealth distribution between China and the United States, and the source of mismatch of wealth. After that, the asymmetry of Chinese and American economies and the inherent fragility of the modern international monetary system led to the dollar circulation trap. In order to solve this problem, this paper analyzes the economic vulnerability of China and the United States from the aspects of trade adjustment mechanism failure, international monetary benchmark stability and economic cycle contagion. Finally, through two game models, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the factors influencing the asymmetric relationship between China and the United States from the perspective of trade and finance, and gives some policy recommendations for adjusting the influencing factors. By adjusting these factors, we can improve the asymmetric relationship between China and the United States and promote the rapid development of China's economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F171.2;F837.12

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