本文選題：金融發(fā)展 + 灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析　； 參考：《中國海洋大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：金融是現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)的核心,某地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平的高低決定了該區(qū)域金融資源利用效率以及金融效益的大小和金融抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)性的強(qiáng)弱。在“十一五”期間不斷提高的金融發(fā)展水平，幫助我國順利度過2008年以來的全球金融危機(jī)，極大提高了金融業(yè)在我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的地位，而接下來的第十二個(gè)五年規(guī)劃中金融業(yè)的發(fā)展至關(guān)重要。沿海地區(qū)作為中國經(jīng)濟(jì)最發(fā)達(dá)的區(qū)域，已經(jīng)成為支撐我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和提升國家竟?fàn)幜Φ闹饕獎(jiǎng)恿^(qū)域。沿海地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長事關(guān)我國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的大局，而沿海各省市金融發(fā)展水平基本可以代表目前我國金融發(fā)展最高水平。本文的研究目的是對(duì)沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀梳理以及對(duì)沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平橫向和縱向的評(píng)價(jià)及預(yù)測(cè)研究，得出沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平的清晰定位以及未來沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展趨勢(shì)。 本文首先對(duì)分析了國內(nèi)外金融發(fā)展理論及金融發(fā)展實(shí)證分析的研究現(xiàn)狀，闡述了對(duì)我國沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平評(píng)價(jià)研究的意義。其次，對(duì)金融發(fā)展理論進(jìn)行了概述，介紹了金融發(fā)展理論的淵源，并分析了金融發(fā)展內(nèi)涵，界定了本文所研究的金融發(fā)展水平涵義。并系統(tǒng)分析了國內(nèi)外以及我國沿海地區(qū)三個(gè)層次金融發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀，，通過現(xiàn)狀比較分析，指出現(xiàn)階段沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展存在的問題。隨后根據(jù)指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建原則，運(yùn)用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型梳理了沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平影響因素，結(jié)合沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展內(nèi)涵及現(xiàn)狀，構(gòu)建出評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系。再次，根據(jù)沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平綜合評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系的設(shè)計(jì)，分別選取灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法、德爾菲評(píng)價(jià)法、熵值法和Topsis綜合評(píng)價(jià)法分析法等方法建立聯(lián)合測(cè)度模型，運(yùn)用聯(lián)合測(cè)度模型對(duì)沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià)研究，并運(yùn)用Kendall一致性檢驗(yàn)對(duì)不同方法研究結(jié)果進(jìn)行了一致性檢驗(yàn)，結(jié)合聚類分析的結(jié)果，最終得出沿海地區(qū)十二省市金融發(fā)展水平梯隊(duì)劃分，研究結(jié)果科學(xué)、客觀、真實(shí)地反映了沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展規(guī)律，為沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展水平定位提供了科學(xué)的參考依據(jù)。最后，根據(jù)金融發(fā)展水平排名分別選取了各個(gè)梯隊(duì)層次中比較有代表性的省市，運(yùn)用SWOT分析方法對(duì)代表省市金融發(fā)展進(jìn)行深度剖析研究，研究不同梯隊(duì)省市面臨的的發(fā)展機(jī)遇及優(yōu)劣勢(shì)，并通過對(duì)未來沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)分析及展望，判斷了沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展趨勢(shì)。最后，根據(jù)沿海地區(qū)過去和現(xiàn)在發(fā)展水平的評(píng)價(jià)以及未來發(fā)展的預(yù)測(cè)展望，客觀合理的制定促進(jìn)沿海地區(qū)金融發(fā)展的政策建議，有利于沿海地區(qū)各省市找出自身發(fā)展不足，爭取在“十二五”期間有所突破。
[Abstract]:Finance is the core of modern economy. The level of financial development in a certain region determines the utilization efficiency of financial resources, the size of financial benefit and the strength of financial risk resistance. The continuous improvement of financial development level during the "11th Five-Year Plan" period helped our country smoothly through the global financial crisis since 2008, and greatly enhanced the position of the financial industry in the economic development of our country. The development of the financial sector is crucial in the next 12-year plan. As the most developed region in China, coastal areas have become the main driving force to support the economic development and enhance national competitiveness. The sustained and stable economic growth in coastal areas is related to the overall situation of national economic development in China, and the level of financial development in coastal provinces and cities can basically represent the highest level of financial development in China at present. The purpose of this paper is to sort out the present situation of financial development in coastal areas and to evaluate and predict the level of financial development in coastal areas both horizontally and vertically. The clear orientation of the financial development level in coastal areas and the future trend of financial development in coastal areas are obtained. Firstly, this paper analyzes the current situation of the financial development theory and empirical analysis at home and abroad, and expounds the significance of the evaluation of the financial development level in the coastal areas of China. Secondly, the financial development theory is summarized, the origin of financial development theory is introduced, the connotation of financial development is analyzed, and the meaning of financial development level is defined. The present situation of the financial development at home and abroad as well as in the coastal areas of our country is analyzed systematically. Through the comparative analysis of the present situation, the problems existing in the financial development of the coastal areas are pointed out. Then according to the construction principle of the index system, the paper combs the influencing factors of the financial development level in the coastal areas by using the explanatory structure model, and constructs the evaluation index system combining the connotation and the present situation of the financial development in the coastal areas. Thirdly, according to the design of the comprehensive evaluation index system of the financial development level in coastal areas, the joint measurement model is established by selecting the grey relational analysis method, Delphi evaluation method, entropy method and Topsis comprehensive evaluation method, etc. The joint measure model is used to evaluate the level of financial development in coastal areas, and Kendall consistency test is used to test the results of different methods, combined with the results of cluster analysis. Finally, it is concluded that the echelon division of financial development level of 12 provinces and cities in coastal areas, scientific, objective and true reflects the law of financial development in coastal areas, and provides a scientific reference for the positioning of financial development level in coastal areas. Finally, according to the ranking of financial development level, selected representative provinces and cities in each echelon level, using SWOT analysis method to analyze the financial development of representative provinces and cities in depth. The development opportunities, advantages and disadvantages faced by different echelon provinces and cities are studied, and the trend of financial development in coastal areas is judged by forecasting, analyzing and looking forward to the future financial development of coastal areas. Finally, according to the evaluation of the development level of coastal areas in the past and present and the forecast of future development, objectively and reasonably formulating policy recommendations to promote the financial development of coastal areas will help the provinces and cities of coastal areas to find out their own underdevelopment. Strive for a breakthrough during the 12th five-year Plan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832;F224

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本文編號(hào)：2021998