本文選題：日元升值 + 廣場協(xié)議��； 參考：《河北大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：自從1973年布雷頓森林體系崩潰之后，日本開始實行浮動匯率制度，并持續(xù)了升值的趨勢，，尤其是廣場協(xié)議后日元相對于美元大幅度升值，由于不當(dāng)?shù)恼邔?dǎo)向作用，最終帶來了泡沫經(jīng)濟(jì)。日元持續(xù)升值使日本對外直接投資增加，加劇了日本產(chǎn)業(yè)空心化問題，并且使日本國內(nèi)企業(yè)的利潤大大縮減，嚴(yán)重影響了日本經(jīng)濟(jì)的正常秩序。特別是，人民幣在2005年匯率制度改革之后一直呈現(xiàn)出升值之勢，2010年人民幣大幅度升值，嚴(yán)重影響我國經(jīng)濟(jì)正常運行，因此，研究日元三次大幅度升值及其對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響，并吸取其經(jīng)驗和教訓(xùn)，對緩解人民幣升值具有理論和現(xiàn)實意義。 本文在研究日元升值的相關(guān)理論以及貨幣升值對本國經(jīng)濟(jì)影響理論的基礎(chǔ)上，比較研究了廣場協(xié)議后、泡沫經(jīng)濟(jì)崩潰后以及國際金融危機(jī)后三次日元升值及其對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響。通過對三個時期日元升值的背景、原因進(jìn)行深入研究和比較分析得出，三次日元升值的相同原因是來自美國強(qiáng)大的外壓，但是不同時期日元升值的主要原因有所差別。廣場協(xié)議后日元升值的主要原因是日本經(jīng)濟(jì)實力增強(qiáng)、貿(mào)易收支急劇增加；泡沫經(jīng)濟(jì)崩潰后日元升值的主要是由日本對美巨額貿(mào)易順差以及急劇調(diào)低利率等綜合作用造成的；國際金融危機(jī)后日元升值主要是投機(jī)性資金大量進(jìn)入日本市場推高了日元，具體很明顯的投機(jī)性。在三個時期不同的背景和原因下，日元升值對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響也不是完全相同的，第一、二次日元升值都使日本貿(mào)易條件改善、對外直接投資增加，但是第三次日元升值卻使日本貿(mào)易條件惡化、對外直接投資減少；對于股票和房地產(chǎn)價格的影響，第一次日元升值價格急劇上升，后兩次升值卻使價格下降。最后對三次日元升值背景、原因以及影響問題進(jìn)行了比較總結(jié)，并得出了我國應(yīng)對人民幣升值的啟示。
[Abstract]:After the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1973, Japan began to implement a floating exchange rate system and continued the trend of appreciation, especially after the Plaza Accord, when the yen rose significantly against the dollar, due to improper policy guidance. Eventually, it brought about a bubble economy. The sustained appreciation of the Japanese yen increases Japanese foreign direct investment, exacerbates the hollowing of Japanese industry, and greatly reduces the profits of Japanese domestic enterprises, which seriously affects the normal order of the Japanese economy. In particular, after the exchange rate regime reform in 2005, the RMB has been showing a trend of appreciation. In 2010, the RMB appreciated significantly, which seriously affected the normal operation of our economy. Therefore, the study of the three large appreciation of the yen and its impact on the Japanese economy, It is of theoretical and practical significance to mitigate the appreciation of RMB. Based on the theory of yen appreciation and the influence of currency appreciation on domestic economy, this paper compares and studies the square agreement after studying the relevant theories of yen appreciation and the influence of currency appreciation on domestic economy. After the collapse of the bubble economy and the international financial crisis, the yen rose three times and its impact on the Japanese economy. Through in-depth study and comparative analysis of the background of yen appreciation in three periods, it is concluded that the same reason of yen appreciation comes from the strong external pressure of the United States, but the main reasons for yen appreciation in different periods are different. The main reasons for the yen appreciation after the Plaza Accord are the strengthening of Japanese economic strength and the sharp increase in trade balance, the appreciation of the yen after the collapse of the bubble economy is mainly caused by Japan's huge trade surplus with the United States and the sharp lowering of interest rates. After the international financial crisis, the appreciation of the yen is mainly due to the large amount of speculative funds entering the Japanese market and pushing up the yen, which is clearly speculative. Under different backgrounds and reasons in the three periods, the impact of the appreciation of the yen on Japan's economy is not exactly the same. First, the second appreciation of the yen both improved Japan's terms of trade and increased its foreign direct investment. However, the third appreciation of the yen has worsened Japan's terms of trade and reduced its outward direct investment. For the impact of the stock and real estate prices, the first yen appreciation has sharply increased, but the latter two have led to a drop in prices. Finally, the background, causes and effects of the three revaluation of the yen are compared and summarized, and the enlightenment of China's response to the appreciation of the RMB is obtained.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F823.13;F131.3

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