探析2008年-2011年我國通貨膨脹成因及政策建議
本文選題:通貨膨脹 + 財(cái)政政策; 參考:《吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:通貨膨脹歷來是宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)研究的核心問題之一。它的形成原因和未來走勢不僅關(guān)系到我國經(jīng)濟(jì)能否持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長,還關(guān)系到我國居民的福利水平,是影響國計(jì)民生的重要因素。2008年以來,受美國次貸危機(jī)影響,爆發(fā)了全球性的金融危機(jī),,各國政府為應(yīng)對危機(jī)紛紛向市場注入流動性,我國政府審時度勢應(yīng)對迅速,避免了危機(jī)在國內(nèi)蔓延,但是隨著國內(nèi)外形勢的變化,我國以食品價格為主要動力的物價指數(shù)全面上漲,2011年全年消費(fèi)者價格指數(shù)平均上漲5.4%,通貨膨脹壓力越來越大。本文就是在此背景下完成的。 在經(jīng)典宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論中,將通貨膨脹的成因大致上分為需求拉動、成本推動和結(jié)構(gòu)性通貨膨脹。本文通過對現(xiàn)有的各經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)派關(guān)于通貨膨脹理論的分析,深入細(xì)致的研究造成我國目前通貨膨脹的原因,采用定量和定性分析指出影響我國現(xiàn)階段通貨膨脹的因素主要有:貨幣供應(yīng)量過剩、通貨膨脹預(yù)期過強(qiáng)、生產(chǎn)要素價格上漲和輸入型通貨膨脹。并且指出,四者之間是相互影響相互作用的。通過對我國通貨膨脹成因的分析,最后提出政策建議,指出要綜合使用貨幣政策和財(cái)政政策,在保證穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策貫徹實(shí)施的基礎(chǔ)上,綜合運(yùn)用財(cái)政政策、稅收政策和金融政策充分發(fā)揮財(cái)政政策對宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的調(diào)控作用。 本文的創(chuàng)新指出在于緊扣當(dāng)今時事,對我國現(xiàn)階段通貨膨脹的成因進(jìn)行分析,具有很強(qiáng)的邏輯性。并且查閱了大量資料和數(shù)據(jù),具有較強(qiáng)的說服力。在貨幣政策調(diào)控空間減小的情況下,著重論述了財(cái)政政策對通貨膨脹的抑制作用,并且從強(qiáng)化稅收、優(yōu)化財(cái)政投資、加大財(cái)政補(bǔ)貼、建立物資儲備等方面提出政策建議,富有很強(qiáng)針對性和可行性。最后指出,從長期來看,要充分發(fā)揮財(cái)政職能,優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式的轉(zhuǎn)變,實(shí)施鼓勵技術(shù)進(jìn)步和技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的財(cái)政和稅收政策,促進(jìn)出口、消費(fèi)和投資三駕馬車協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的持續(xù)性與穩(wěn)定性。
[Abstract]:Inflation has always been one of the core problems in macroeconomics. The reasons for its formation and future trend are not only related to the sustained and stable growth of our economy, but also to the welfare level of our residents, and are important factors affecting the national economy and the people's livelihood. Since 2008, it has been affected by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States. The global financial crisis broke out. In order to deal with the crisis, the governments of various countries injected liquidity into the market one after another. The Chinese government responded quickly and avoided the spread of the crisis at home and abroad, but with the change of the domestic and foreign situation, The price index of our country, which is mainly driven by food price, is rising all round, and the average price index of consumer price in 2011 is 5.44.The pressure of inflation is increasing. This article is completed under this background. In the classical macroeconomic theory, the causes of inflation are divided into demand-driven, cost-driven and structural inflation. Through the analysis of the existing economic schools on the theory of inflation, this paper makes a thorough and detailed study of the causes of inflation in our country at present. By using quantitative and qualitative analysis, the author points out that the main factors influencing inflation in China at present are: excess money supply, excessive expectation of inflation, rising price of factors of production and imported inflation. It is also pointed out that the four interact with each other. Based on the analysis of the causes of inflation in China, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions, and points out that the comprehensive use of monetary policy and fiscal policy should be carried out on the basis of ensuring the implementation of prudent monetary policy. Tax policy and financial policy give full play to the role of fiscal policy in macroeconomic regulation and control. The innovation of this paper lies in closely following current events and analyzing the causes of inflation in our country at the present stage, which has a strong logic. And consulted a large number of materials and data, has a strong persuasive. In the case of the reduction of monetary policy control space, the paper emphatically discusses the effect of fiscal policy on the suppression of inflation, and puts forward some policy suggestions from the aspects of strengthening taxation, optimizing financial investment, increasing financial subsidies, establishing material reserves, and so on. Rich strong pertinence and feasibility. Finally, it is pointed out that in the long run, it is necessary to give full play to the financial functions, optimize the industrial structure, promote the transformation of the mode of economic development, implement fiscal and tax policies that encourage technological progress and technological innovation, and promote exports. Consumption and investment troika coordinated development to achieve the sustainability and stability of economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F822.5
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