本文選題：關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng) + 金融脆弱性��； 參考：《中國海洋大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：在21世紀(jì)過去的十年里，“金磚五國”作為新興市場的典型代表，以快速的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長速度和巨大的市場潛力著稱，逐漸成為世界經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要引擎和推動世界多極化的主要力量。近年來，“金磚五國”越來越重視拓展和深化經(jīng)濟(jì)金融領(lǐng)域的合作，在國際金融體系改革方面建立多層次的溝通合作機(jī)制，尤其是此次國際金融危機(jī)以來，“金磚五國”對金融業(yè)的系列改革使得經(jīng)濟(jì)增長先實(shí)現(xiàn)了復(fù)蘇，金融脆弱性趨于弱化。探索金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系，對減少危機(jī)發(fā)生的可能性、推動金融改革和發(fā)展，促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長提供了有益參考。本文以金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系為研究對象，探討以下問題：1）五國金融脆弱度的水平；2）五國金融脆弱性對各自經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的時(shí)空效應(yīng)；3）五國系統(tǒng)內(nèi)部金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)；4）中國金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)研究。針對上述問題，本文的研究工作和主要貢獻(xiàn)集中在以下幾個(gè)方面： “金融脆弱性評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建”。本章參考多指標(biāo)綜合評價(jià)方法，運(yùn)用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)方法建立模型，對“金磚國家”金融脆弱性進(jìn)行了要素相關(guān)性分析，從而建立了金融脆弱性評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系，因受到量化應(yīng)用的局限性，，接續(xù)構(gòu)建了測評指標(biāo)體系。 “金融脆弱性測度模型構(gòu)建”。提出并設(shè)計(jì)了一套金融脆弱性的測度模型，比較分析了各種方法應(yīng)用于金融脆弱性測度的可能性，最終設(shè)計(jì)構(gòu)建了主客觀相結(jié)合的“金磚國家”金融脆弱性決策理論模型對五國金融脆弱性進(jìn)行動態(tài)測度和分析。 “金融脆弱性對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的時(shí)空效應(yīng)”。本章建立“金磚五國”的面板模型，客觀選取金融脆弱性的主要指標(biāo)，分析五國主要金融脆弱因素對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的差異化影響， “五國系統(tǒng)內(nèi)部金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)”。建立“金磚五國”聯(lián)結(jié)模型對五國金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行研究。分模塊研究了一國內(nèi)部金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的相互影響，并進(jìn)行了國別間效果比較。利用聯(lián)結(jié)模塊分析了二者關(guān)系中主要子環(huán)節(jié)的影響。從聯(lián)結(jié)模型系統(tǒng)角度，利用對外貿(mào)易和外國直接投資兩個(gè)承載模塊，結(jié)合利率、匯率、通貨膨脹率等主要聯(lián)系變量，總結(jié)分析了金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長在“金磚五國”間的三個(gè)主要傳導(dǎo)途徑。 “我國金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)”。在以上研究的基礎(chǔ)上，建立中國的聯(lián)立方程，全面分析金融脆弱性與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的相互影響。探明金融脆弱性因素與三大支出需求拉動作用的聯(lián)系、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與主要金融脆弱因素的相互影響。
[Abstract]:In the last decade of the 21st century, the BRICS, typical of emerging markets, have been known for their rapid economic growth and tremendous market potential. Gradually become an important engine of world economic growth and promote the main force of world multi-polarization. In recent years, the "BRICS" have attached more and more importance to expanding and deepening cooperation in the economic and financial fields, and have established multi-level communication and cooperation mechanisms in the reform of the international financial system, especially since the current international financial crisis. The BRICS 'series of reforms to the financial sector has led to a recovery in economic growth and a weakening of financial vulnerability. Exploring the relationship between financial fragility and economic growth provides a useful reference for reducing the possibility of crisis, promoting financial reform and development, and promoting economic growth. This paper focuses on the relationship between financial fragility and economic growth. Discussion on the Financial vulnerability of the five countries: (2) the temporal and Spatial effects of Financial fragility on their respective Economic growth 3) the correlation between Financial fragility and Economic growth in the five countries system 4) China's Financial vulnerability and economy Research on the correlation effect of growth. In view of the above problems, the research work and main contributions of this paper focus on the following aspects: Construction of financial vulnerability evaluation index system. Referring to the multi-index comprehensive evaluation method, this chapter establishes the model by using the explanatory structure method, and analyzes the correlation of the financial vulnerability of the "BRICS" countries, and then establishes the index system of the financial vulnerability evaluation. Because of the limitation of quantitative application, the evaluation index system is constructed. Financial vulnerability Measurement Model Construction. This paper proposes and designs a set of measurement models of financial vulnerability, and compares and analyzes the possibility of applying various methods to the measurement of financial vulnerability. Finally, the financial vulnerability decision model of BRICS countries is designed to measure and analyze the financial vulnerability of the five countries dynamically. The temporal and spatial effects of financial fragility on economic growth. In this chapter, the panel model of "BRICS" is established, and the main indicators of financial vulnerability are objectively selected to analyze the differential influence of the main financial fragility factors on economic growth in the five countries. The correlation effect between Financial fragility and Economic growth in the five countries system. This paper studies the conduction effect of financial fragility and economic growth in the five countries by establishing the BRICS five-nation linkage model. The influence of financial fragility and economic growth in a country is studied in this paper, and the effects are compared among different countries. The influence of the main sub-links in the relationship between the two is analyzed by using the connection module. From the point of view of linkage model system, using the two carrying modules of foreign trade and foreign direct investment, combining the main related variables such as interest rate, exchange rate, inflation rate and so on, Three main transmission routes between financial fragility and economic growth among BRICS countries are summarized and analyzed. The correlation effect between Financial fragility and Economic growth in China. On the basis of the above research, the simultaneous equation of China is established, and the interaction between financial fragility and economic growth is comprehensively analyzed. The relationship between financial vulnerability factors and three major expenditure demand pulling effects and the interaction between economic growth and major financial fragility factors are explored.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F831;F112;F224

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 何亞琴;敖飛;;金磚國家“應(yīng)急儲備基金”前景探討與分析[J];企業(yè)研究;2013年10期

2 劉陸宇;;金融市場脆弱性及信息差異性研究[J];中國商貿(mào);2013年21期

本文編號：1887256