本文選題：金融發(fā)展 + 外貿(mào)規(guī)模　； 參考：《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：現(xiàn)代金融和國際貿(mào)易是一國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長乃至世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的兩大重要組成部分。一直以來,金融發(fā)展、國際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系始終是國內(nèi)外學(xué)界頗為關(guān)注的重點(diǎn)研究課題。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化、一體化及市場化進(jìn)程的推進(jìn),金融與外貿(mào)的區(qū)際融合趨勢不斷增強(qiáng),二者的互動(dòng)關(guān)系日益顯著,金融發(fā)展及金融配套服務(wù)提升是推動(dòng)國際貿(mào)易發(fā)展、促進(jìn)外貿(mào)增長的關(guān)鍵要素。20世紀(jì)80年代以來,國內(nèi)外學(xué)者以金融發(fā)展和對(duì)外貿(mào)易的相互關(guān)系為研究對(duì)象,從理論和實(shí)證上開展了較為廣泛的研究。本文在國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)研究和實(shí)地調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上,采用規(guī)范研究與實(shí)證研究相結(jié)合、定性研究與定量研究相結(jié)合、理論分析與案例分析相結(jié)合等方法,系統(tǒng)揭示和闡釋了金融發(fā)展促進(jìn)外貿(mào)規(guī)模及結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的內(nèi)在機(jī)理、路徑,并以我國經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)省、貿(mào)易大省——浙江省的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),進(jìn)行了案例研究和實(shí)證分析,得出了相關(guān)結(jié)論并提出了若干針對(duì)性的政策建議,為促進(jìn)現(xiàn)代金融支持、配套對(duì)外貿(mào)易,以及浙江省對(duì)外貿(mào)易的健康、快速、可持續(xù)發(fā)展,提供一定的決策參考和政策啟示。 本文共分為六個(gè)部分。第一章為緒論,主要介紹選題背景、研究意義、研究方法以及技術(shù)路線圖；第二章對(duì)國內(nèi)外金融發(fā)展與國際貿(mào)易的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了回顧和綜述,梳理了金融發(fā)展、國際貿(mào)易以及金融發(fā)展影響國際貿(mào)易的相關(guān)理論,并篩選了國內(nèi)外具有代表性的金融發(fā)展和外貿(mào)發(fā)展指標(biāo),為本文研究奠定理論基礎(chǔ)；第三章揭示了金融發(fā)展促進(jìn)外貿(mào)發(fā)展的一般機(jī)理,引入帕加諾內(nèi)生增長模型(AK模型)來剖析金融發(fā)展如何影響資源稟賦和技術(shù)差異,進(jìn)而改變一國的比較優(yōu)勢,最終影響外貿(mào)規(guī)模增長及結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整；在此基礎(chǔ)上,進(jìn)一步厘清了金融發(fā)展促進(jìn)外貿(mào)發(fā)展的四條傳導(dǎo)路徑,即：風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分散及規(guī)避、改善比較優(yōu)勢、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)形成和匯率調(diào)整；第四章以浙江省為例,分析了其金融發(fā)展和外貿(mào)發(fā)展概況、特點(diǎn)等；第五章基于1993年以來浙江省金融發(fā)展與國際貿(mào)易的各類指標(biāo)測算,實(shí)證分析了金融發(fā)展影響外貿(mào)規(guī)模及結(jié)構(gòu)作用與程度；第六章在前文理論分析、實(shí)證分析和案例研究的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合浙江省情,提出了一些促進(jìn)金融與對(duì)外貿(mào)易協(xié)同發(fā)展的政策建議及啟示。 相較已有研究而言,本文可能存在以下三個(gè)方面的創(chuàng)新與不同之處：在研究視角上,本文從較微觀的角度研究了金融發(fā)展對(duì)國際貿(mào)易的影響,選取了典型案例——浙江省作為研究案例,這有別于已有研究過多聚焦于國家層面的傳統(tǒng)視角；在理論框架上,本文試圖用AK增長模型說明金融發(fā)展促進(jìn)國際貿(mào)易的一般機(jī)理,將金融發(fā)展影響國際貿(mào)易的路徑歸納為分散風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、比較優(yōu)勢、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)和匯率制度四種,較為系統(tǒng)地厘清了金融發(fā)展促進(jìn)國際貿(mào)易的路徑,構(gòu)建了初步的理論框架；在實(shí)證研究上,本文同時(shí)選取了分別代表金融中介發(fā)展規(guī)模和資本市場發(fā)展的若干指標(biāo),實(shí)證分析了其對(duì)外貿(mào)規(guī)模及結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。尤其是針對(duì)浙江是民間金融大省、民間金融資本非常發(fā)達(dá)的特點(diǎn),測量了1993年以來浙江省民間金融資本的規(guī)模,并將其作為衡量金融發(fā)展規(guī)模的一個(gè)重要指標(biāo)引入實(shí)證分析,這或許是本文所做的一項(xiàng)大膽嘗試和有益探索。 當(dāng)然,本文也具有不足之處：一是由于獲取金融發(fā)展與外貿(mào)發(fā)展相關(guān)最新前沿理論文獻(xiàn)的方法和水平有限,可能在跟蹤本領(lǐng)域尤其是國外最新前沿研究成果上存在不足；二是由于受數(shù)據(jù)采集的客觀限制,本文只能在借鑒已有研究方法的基礎(chǔ)上,大致估計(jì)出浙江民間金融數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,以期具有一定的參考價(jià)值。
[Abstract]:Modern finance and international trade are two important components of a country's economic growth and the development of the world economy. The relationship between financial development and international trade and economic growth has always been a major research topic of concern at home and abroad. With the economic globalization, integration and marketization process, finance and foreign trade The interregional integration trend is increasing, the interaction relationship between the two is becoming more and more significant. The financial development and the promotion of financial services are the key factors to promote the development of international trade and promote the growth of foreign trade. Since the 80s of.20, scholars both at home and abroad have taken the relationship between financial development and foreign trade as the research object, and have carried out a theoretical and empirical comparison. On the basis of relevant literature research and field research at home and abroad, the paper systematically reveals and explains the internal mechanism of financial development to promote the scale and structure adjustment of foreign trade by combining normative research and empirical research, combining qualitative research with quantitative research, combining theoretical analysis with case analysis. In order to promote modern financial support, support foreign trade, and provide a healthy, rapid and sustainable development of foreign trade in Zhejiang Province, we have carried out a case study and empirical analysis based on the relevant data of Zhejiang Province, a big province of China's economic province and a large province of trade, and drew some relevant conclusions and put forward some pertinent policy suggestions. Decision making reference and policy inspiration.
This article is divided into six parts. The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly introduces the background of topic selection, research significance, research methods and technical roadmap. The second chapter reviews and summarizes the relevant literature on financial development and international trade at home and abroad, and combs the related theories of financial development, international trade and financial development affecting international trade. The representative financial development and foreign trade development indicators are screened at home and abroad, which lays a theoretical foundation for this study. The third chapter reveals the general mechanism of financial development to promote foreign trade development, and introduces the AK model to analyze how financial development affects resource endowments and technical differences, and then changes the ratio of a country. On the basis of this, it further clarifies the four transmission routes of financial development to promote foreign trade development, namely: risk dispersion and evasion, improvement of comparative advantage, scale economy formation and exchange rate adjustment; the fourth chapter takes Zhejiang Province as an example to analyze its financial development and foreign trade development almost. The fifth chapter, based on the measurement of various indexes of financial development and international trade in Zhejiang province since 1993, empirically analyses the impact of financial development on the scale and structure of foreign trade and the extent of its structure. The sixth chapter, on the basis of the theoretical analysis, empirical analysis and case study in the previous article, combined with the situation of Zhejiang Province, puts forward some promotion of Finance and the other. Policy suggestions and inspiration for the coordinated development of foreign trade.
Compared with the previous research, this paper may exist in the following three aspects of innovation and difference: from the perspective of research, this paper studies the impact of financial development on international trade from a more micro perspective, and selects a typical case - Zhejiang Province as a case study, which is different from the traditional view that has focused on the national level too much. On the theoretical framework, this paper attempts to illustrate the general mechanism of financial development to promote international trade with the AK growth model, and concludes that the path of financial development affecting international trade is divided into four kinds, namely, decentralization risk, comparative advantage, scale economy and exchange rate system, which systematically clarifies the path of gold and thaw development to promote international trade. In the case of empirical research, this paper selects several indicators that represent the scale of the development of financial intermediaries and the development of the capital market respectively, and empirically analyses the influence on the scale and structure of foreign trade. Especially, the characteristics of Zhejiang is a large private financial province, and the characteristics of the non-governmental financial capital are very developed, and the people of Zhejiang province have been measured since 1993. The scale of financial capital and the introduction of an empirical analysis as an important indicator of the scale of financial development may be a bold attempt and useful exploration in this article.
Of course, this paper also has shortcomings: one is that the methods and levels of the latest frontier theory of the acquisition of financial development and foreign trade development are limited, and there may be shortcomings in tracking this field, especially the latest frontier research in foreign countries. Two, because of the limitations of the view of the data collection, this article can only be used for reference to the existing research parties. On the basis of the law, we can roughly estimate the empirical analysis of Zhejiang's non-governmental financial data, so as to have certain reference value.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832.7;F752.8;F224

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