FDI對中美和中歐貿易順差影響效應問題研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-26 23:19
本文選題:外商直接投資(FDI) + 美歐。 參考:《南京農業(yè)大學》2012年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著中國大陸對外開放的不斷深入,中國大陸吸收外資規(guī)模迅速增長,外資大量流入的同時中國大陸對外貿易順差快速增長。伴隨中國大陸對外貿易順差持續(xù)擴大,中國大陸在對外貿易中受到的反傾銷、反補貼案件屢見不鮮,人民幣也面臨較大的外部升值壓力。在這一背景下把外商對中國大陸投資和中國大陸貿易收支問題放在一個分析框架內,研究外商直接投資對中國大陸貿易失衡產生何種影響、程度如何以及不同國別(地區(qū))外資類型通過何種貿易效應對中國大陸對外貿易順差產生影響具有較強的理論價值和現(xiàn)實意義。 本文主要從國際直接投資理論和FDI與貿易收支理論兩個方面入手來探討中國大陸對外貿易順差問題,中國大陸對外貿易第一順差國是美國,其次是歐盟。近年來中國大陸對歐盟貿易順差增長迅速,所以本文在討論中美貿易順差同時,同樣對中歐貿易順差問題進行詳細分析,F(xiàn)有研究有關FDI與貿易順差之間相互關系主要集中在FDI與中國大陸對外貿易順差和FDI與中國大陸對美國貿易順差兩個方面,關于FDI與中歐貿易順差的研究較少,而本文在分析FDI與中美貿易順差關系時,也對FDI與中歐貿易順差進行分析。已有研究籠統(tǒng)的介紹了FDI與中國大陸對外貿易順差之間的關系,有關中國大陸對外貿易順差的國別(地區(qū))外資類型以及不同國別(地區(qū))外資類型對貿易順差產生何種貿易效應的研究較少,而本文則對影響中美和中歐貿易順差的國別(地區(qū))外資類型,以及不同國別(地區(qū))外資類型是通過何種貿易效應對中美和中歐貿易順差產生影響進行了詳細分析。 本文的結構和主要內容如下:第一部分主要介紹論文的選題依據(jù)、研究目的和意義、研究思路與研究內容以及論文的創(chuàng)新與不足。第二部分主要對本文的理論基礎進行闡述、對相關概念進行界定以及從FDI區(qū)位選擇和FDI與貿易收支關系兩個角度進行文獻綜述。第三部分分析中國大陸對外貿易和吸收外資現(xiàn)狀。分別從中國大陸對外貿易現(xiàn)狀、中國大陸吸收外資現(xiàn)狀以及中國大陸對外貿易順差構成三個方面進行闡述。第四部分主要分析外商對中國大陸直接投資與中國大陸對外貿易順差。首先分析外商對中國大陸直接投資與中國大陸貿易順差之間的相互關系。其次對影響中美和中歐貿易順差的主要國別(地區(qū))外資類型加以分析。第五部分重點分析不同國別(地區(qū))外資類型是通過何種貿易效應對中美和中歐貿易順差產生影響。第六部分是本文的研究結論與政策建議。 本文得出的主要結論有:外商對中國大陸直接投資流量和存量對中國大陸對外貿易順差影響顯著,中國大陸吸收外資流量和外資存量是中國大陸對外貿易順差的Granger原因。影響中美和中歐貿易順差的國別(地區(qū))外資類型有所不同,影響中美貿易順差的國別(地區(qū))外資類型主要是日韓、港澳臺和美國對中國大陸的直接投資,而影響中歐貿易順差的國別(地區(qū))外資類型主要是日韓和歐盟對中國大陸的直接投資。美國、日韓臺和港澳分別是通過貿易互補效應、貿易順差轉移效應和出口促進效應對中美貿易順差產生影響的。日本和韓國是通過貿易順差轉移效應,歐盟是通過貿易替代效應和貿易互補效應的相互作用對中歐貿易順差產生影響。本文最終從調整引進外資戰(zhàn)略,發(fā)展對外直接投資,區(qū)別不同外資類型,貿易政策和外資政策有效結合以及合理引導外資流向等方面提出政策建議。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's opening to the outside world, the scale of foreign investment in mainland China has increased rapidly, while the foreign trade surplus of China has increased rapidly. In this context, we put the foreign investment in mainland China and China's mainland trade balance in an analytical framework to study the impact of foreign direct investment on China's trade imbalance in mainland China. The impact of land trade surplus is of great theoretical and practical significance.
This article is mainly from the two aspects of the theory of international direct investment and the theory of FDI and the theory of trade and expenditure. The first surplus country of China's mainland foreign trade is the United States, followed by the European Union. In recent years, China's mainland has increased the trade surplus with the EU rapidly, so this article discusses the Sino US trade surplus and the same time. The relationship between China and EU trade surplus is analyzed in detail. The relationship between FDI and trade surplus is mainly concentrated in the two aspects of FDI and China's foreign trade surplus and FDI and China's trade surplus with the United States. There are few studies on the trade surplus between FDI and China and Europe, and this paper analyzes the trade surplus between FDI and China and the United States. The relationship between FDI and China EU trade surplus is also analyzed. The relationship between FDI and the foreign trade surplus of mainland China is introduced in general. The types of foreign trade surplus of China mainland and the types of foreign investment in different countries (regions) have less research on the trade effect of the trade surplus. This paper makes a detailed analysis of the types of foreign investment which affects the trade surplus between China and the United States and China and Europe, as well as the effects of the types of foreign investment on the trade surplus of China and the central Europe and China.
The structure and main contents of this paper are as follows: the first part mainly introduces the basis of the topic, the purpose and significance of the research, the research ideas and research content, and the innovation and deficiency of the paper. The second part mainly expounds the theoretical basis of this paper, defines the related concepts, and the relationship between the location selection of FDI and the relationship between FDI and trade balance. Two aspects of the literature review. The third part analyses the current situation of foreign trade and foreign capital absorption in mainland China. The present situation of foreign trade in mainland China, the current situation of foreign investment in mainland China and the surplus of China's mainland foreign trade are expounded respectively. The fourth part mainly analyzes the direct investment of foreign businessmen to China and China. China's foreign trade surplus. First, analyze the relationship between foreign direct investment and China mainland trade surplus. Secondly, analyze the types of foreign investment in the main countries (regions) which affect the trade surplus between China and the United States. The fifth part focuses on the analysis of the types of foreign investment in different countries (land areas). The sixth part is the conclusions and policy recommendations of this paper.
The main conclusions are as follows: foreign direct investment flow and stock of foreign businessmen have significant influence on China mainland's foreign trade surplus. China's mainland absorption of foreign capital flow and foreign capital stock is the Granger cause of China mainland's foreign trade surplus. The type of foreign investment that affects the trade surplus of China and the United States is mainly the direct investment of Japan and South Korea, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and the United States to the mainland of China. The foreign types of foreign capital which affect the trade surplus of China and Europe are mainly the direct investment of Japan and South Korea and the European Union. Difference transfer effect and export promotion effect on Sino US trade surplus effect. Japan and South Korea are through trade surplus transfer effect, the EU is through the interaction of trade substitution effect and trade complementation effect on China EU trade surplus. This article finally from the adjustment of foreign investment strategy, the development of foreign direct investment, difference is not Policy recommendations are put forward in connection with the types of foreign investment, effective combination of trade policies and foreign investment policies, and rational guidance of foreign capital flows.
【學位授予單位】:南京農業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F832.6;F752.7
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