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北京金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)聯(lián)性研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-13 10:13

  本文選題:金融發(fā)展 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。 參考:《北京工業(yè)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文


【摘要】:金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系始終是理論研究與實(shí)證分析的熱點(diǎn)問(wèn)題之一。近年來(lái),隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的發(fā)展趨勢(shì)不斷擴(kuò)大,一國(guó)出現(xiàn)的金融危機(jī)在聯(lián)系日趨緊密的各國(guó)和各經(jīng)濟(jì)體之間能夠得以迅速傳播,金融沖擊會(huì)導(dǎo)致別國(guó)金融體系的不穩(wěn)定以及金融危機(jī),甚至引發(fā)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展緩滯。由于我國(guó)各個(gè)區(qū)域的金融、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展具有較大的差異性,因此,將西方的金融、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展理論與地區(qū)的實(shí)際情況相結(jié)合,探討北京地區(qū)金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)聯(lián)性,是北京經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)的迫切需要,同時(shí)也為北京地區(qū)金融體系的發(fā)展、金融結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整提供實(shí)證依據(jù)。 首先,在梳理、歸納金融發(fā)展理論、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展理論、金融與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展作用機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合北京金融、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的實(shí)際情況,采用相關(guān)分析進(jìn)行指標(biāo)的篩選,主成分分析方差的思想確保指標(biāo)體系建立的合理性,采用熵值法計(jì)算指標(biāo)的權(quán)重系數(shù),從而計(jì)算出北京金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展指數(shù),并詳細(xì)地分析了各個(gè)子系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r,便于從整體上把握北京金融、經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。 接著,在確定指數(shù)計(jì)算科學(xué)性的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)北京金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了探討。格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)表明:金融發(fā)展是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的格蘭杰原因,但是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不是金融發(fā)展的格蘭杰原因,這在一定程度上說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)金融的基礎(chǔ)性作用并不明顯,而金融體系卻可以對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生較大的影響。 最后,把灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度的方法引入到了金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展關(guān)聯(lián)性的研究應(yīng)用中來(lái),結(jié)果顯示:金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間存在較高的關(guān)聯(lián)度,,這也在一定程度上對(duì)格蘭杰檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果提供了一定的支持。
[Abstract]:The relationship between financial development and economic development has always been one of the hot issues in theoretical research and empirical analysis.In recent years, as the trend of economic globalization continues to expand, the financial crisis that occurs in a country can spread rapidly among countries and economies that are increasingly connected.Financial shocks can lead to instability and financial crisis in other countries' financial systems, and even slow global economic development.Since the financial and economic development of various regions in China is quite different, the theory of financial and economic development in the West is combined with the actual situation in the region to explore the relevance between financial development and economic development in Beijing.It is an urgent need for Beijing's economic construction, and also provides an empirical basis for the development of financial system and the adjustment of financial structure in Beijing.First of all, on the basis of combing and summing up the theory of financial development, the theory of economic development, the mechanism of financial and economic development, and combining the actual situation of Beijing's financial and economic development, we adopt relevant analysis to screen the indicators.The idea of principal component analysis (PCA) variance ensures the rationality of the establishment of the index system. The weight coefficient of the index is calculated by the entropy method, and the index of financial and economic development in Beijing is calculated, and the development status of each subsystem is analyzed in detail.To facilitate the overall grasp of Beijing's financial and economic development.Then, the relationship between financial development and economic development in Beijing is discussed on the basis of determining the scientific nature of index calculation.Granger causality test shows that financial development is the Granger cause of economic development, but economic development is not the Granger cause of financial development, which to some extent shows that the basic role of economy to finance is not obvious.However, the financial system can have a greater impact on the economy.Finally, the method of grey correlation is introduced into the research and application of the relationship between financial development and economic development. The results show that there is a high degree of correlation between financial development and economic development.This also provides certain support to Granger test results to a certain extent.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F224;F832.7;F127

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