本文選題：經常項目　切入點：資本項目　出處：《華東師范大學》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著全球經濟、金融一體化進程的加快,中國對外開放程度越來越高,實現人民幣完全自由兌換,即資本項目下的自由兌換己成為中國市場經濟發(fā)展的必然趨勢。 自人民幣經常項目開放以來,并沒有對我國經濟的穩(wěn)定增長造成不利影響,近年來我國的國際貿易量逐年增加,貿易結構不斷改善,經濟增長強勁。隨后我國實施了QFII制度,加入世界貿易組織以及人民幣匯率改革,我們不難發(fā)現人民幣資本項目開放的腳步明顯加快,實現人民幣資本項目下的可自由兌換的呼聲己越來越高,同時客觀條件上也日趨成熟。 本文總共分為六章。第一章導論部分,介紹了論文的寫作背景、目的、意義。第二章概述貨幣自由兌換理論,并通過對發(fā)達國家和發(fā)展中國家貨幣自由兌換的國際實踐的分析,總結了不同類型國家的開放經驗。第三章介紹了我國自匯改以來人民幣自由兌換進程的政策推進,分析人民幣自由兌換政策的有效性,論述了我國經常項目和資本項目政策推進的成就和不足。第四章分析人民幣自由兌換的國內風險和外部隱患,并參照KLR模型,建立人民幣自由兌換過程中的貨幣危機預警體系。第五章介紹人民幣自由兌換必要性和條件分析,并提出了加強人民幣自由兌換政策推進的建議。 取消目前尚存在的資本自由流動的限制,實現人民幣在資本項目下的自由兌換,對我國經濟發(fā)展和外匯體制改革具有重要的意義。但是資本開放是一把“雙刃劍”,在帶來收益的同時,同時面臨的風險也將會增大,嚴重的還可能在整個金融體系引發(fā)巨大動蕩。面對這把“雙刃劍”,只有制定更為穩(wěn)妥的政策,積極創(chuàng)造實現資本項目的前提條件和確立合理開放步驟,才能規(guī)避改革進程中出現的風險。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of global economy and financial integration, the degree of China's opening to the outside world is becoming higher and higher. The realization of full convertibility of RMB, that is, free convertibility under the capital account, has become an inevitable trend in the development of China's market economy.Since the opening of the RMB current account, there has been no adverse impact on the steady growth of China's economy. In recent years, the volume of international trade in China has increased year by year, the trade structure has been continuously improved, and the economic growth has been strong.Subsequently, China implemented the QFII system, joined the World Trade Organization and the RMB exchange rate reform. It is not difficult to find that the pace of opening up the RMB capital account has been obviously accelerated, and the voice of realizing free convertibility under the RMB capital account has become increasingly high.At the same time, the objective conditions are also maturing day by day.This paper is divided into six chapters.The first chapter introduces the background, purpose and significance of the thesis.The second chapter summarizes the theory of currency convertibility and summarizes the open experience of different types of countries through the analysis of the international practice of currency convertibility in developed and developing countries.The third chapter introduces the policy advancement of RMB convertibility process since China's exchange rate reform, analyzes the effectiveness of RMB convertibility policy, and discusses the achievements and shortcomings of China's current account and capital account policies.Chapter four analyzes the domestic risk and external hidden danger of RMB convertibility, and establishes the currency crisis warning system in the process of RMB free convertibility by referring to KLR model.Chapter five introduces the necessity and condition of RMB convertibility, and puts forward some suggestions on how to promote the policy of RMB convertibility.It is of great significance for China's economic development and the reform of foreign exchange system to remove the existing restrictions on the free flow of capital and to realize the free convertibility of RMB under capital account.But capital opening is a "double-edged sword", which brings benefits and risks, which could lead to great turbulence in the whole financial system.In the face of this "double-edged sword", only by formulating more stable policies, actively creating the preconditions for the realization of capital accounts and establishing reasonable steps of opening up can the risks in the reform process be avoided.
【學位授予單位】：華東師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F832.6

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