本文選題：FDI　切入點(diǎn)：城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等　出處：《南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：當(dāng)今世界國(guó)際資本在各國(guó)間的流動(dòng)日益活躍,其中超過(guò)50%的資本都是以外商投資的形式存在的。改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),江蘇外商直接投資迅速增加的同時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)也飛速發(fā)展。但是,與高速增長(zhǎng)同時(shí)存在的卻是江蘇省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的不平衡,南高北低的態(tài)勢(shì)非常明顯,城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等問(wèn)題愈發(fā)嚴(yán)重,且這一分化呈日漸放大的趨勢(shì)。當(dāng)分配不均等的問(wèn)題使經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展受到制約,社會(huì)的穩(wěn)定受到阻礙時(shí),對(duì)外商直接投資與城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等之間的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究,并提出相應(yīng)的政策建議就顯得尤為必要和迫切。 本文主要從三個(gè)方面對(duì)外商直接投資與江蘇城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了研究：第一方面,本文構(gòu)建了外商直接投資與城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等的分析框架,包括直接影響的數(shù)學(xué)機(jī)理推導(dǎo)和間接影響的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制分析。第二方面,利用江蘇省的具體數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)外商直接投資和城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等進(jìn)行現(xiàn)狀分析,并通過(guò)協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、向量誤差修正模型、Granger因果檢驗(yàn)初步實(shí)證外商投資與城鄉(xiāng)收入不均等的關(guān)系第三方面,利用江蘇全省及13個(gè)市1990-2010年的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建動(dòng)態(tài)面板模型,運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)GMM方法具體分析江蘇全省、蘇南、蘇中和蘇北外商直接投資如何通過(guò)傳導(dǎo)變量(就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)、貿(mào)易開(kāi)放程度和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng))來(lái)影響各個(gè)地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等的。 研究結(jié)論有：第一,江蘇省FDI的發(fā)展特征表明,外商在江蘇的投資獨(dú)資化傾向明顯,且主要集中在第二產(chǎn)業(yè),在地域上呈現(xiàn)出由南到北逐漸減少的特征,實(shí)際利用的FDI約60%以上來(lái)自亞洲國(guó)家或地區(qū)。第二,江蘇城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的變化特征表明,城鄉(xiāng)居民的收入在不斷提高,但江蘇省總體及各地區(qū)城鄉(xiāng)收入的差距也卻在不斷擴(kuò)大。第三,兩變量通過(guò)協(xié)整分析和因果檢驗(yàn)后得出,江蘇省FDI與城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等之間存在負(fù)向的長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系,而短期影響是正向的作用關(guān)系；滯后期為3時(shí),城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與實(shí)際利用外資之間是互為因果關(guān)系的。第四,系統(tǒng)GMM模型直接影響結(jié)果為：江蘇省及蘇南、蘇中、蘇北三地區(qū)利用FDI減緩了城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均等的問(wèn)題。間接影響結(jié)果為：FDI通過(guò)影響就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)縮小了全省及三大地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入差距；通過(guò)推動(dòng)對(duì)外貿(mào)易加劇了全省和三大地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入不均等；通過(guò)調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)減緩了蘇南地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入不均等,卻擴(kuò)大了全省及蘇中、蘇北地區(qū)的城鄉(xiāng)收入差距問(wèn)題。 根究研究結(jié)論,就江蘇省面臨的城鄉(xiāng)收入分配不均衡問(wèn)題,從更合理利用外資、優(yōu)化投資結(jié)構(gòu)的角度提供相關(guān)意見(jiàn)佐證。
[Abstract]:The international capital in the world is increasingly active in various countries, of which more than 50% of the capital exists in the form of foreign investment. Since the reform and opening up, foreign direct investment in Jiangsu has increased rapidly and the economy has also developed rapidly. At the same time as the rapid growth, however, there is an imbalance in the regional economic growth in Jiangsu Province. The situation of high and north low in the south is very obvious, and the problem of income inequality between urban and rural areas is becoming more and more serious. When the economic development is restricted and the social stability is hindered, the dynamic relationship between FDI and urban-rural income distribution inequality is studied. And put forward the corresponding policy recommendations are particularly necessary and urgent. This paper studies the relationship between FDI and urban and rural income distribution inequality in Jiangsu Province from three aspects: first, this paper constructs an analytical framework of FDI and urban-rural income distribution inequality. It includes the mathematical mechanism derivation of direct influence and the analysis of transmission mechanism of indirect influence. Secondly, using the specific data of Jiangsu Province to analyze the current situation of foreign direct investment (FDI) and urban-rural income distribution inequality, and pass cointegration test. Vector error Correction Model Granger causality Test the third aspect of the relationship between foreign investment and urban-rural income inequality, using the economic data of Jiangsu province and 13 cities from 1990 to 2010 to construct the dynamic panel model. The systematic GMM method is used to analyze how foreign direct investment (FDI) in Jiangsu province, southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu province changes through conduction variables (change of employment structure). The degree of trade opening and the change of industrial structure affect the inequality of urban and rural income distribution in different regions. The conclusions are as follows: first, the development characteristics of FDI in Jiangsu Province indicate that the tendency of foreign investment in Jiangsu is obvious, and it is mainly concentrated in the secondary industry, showing the characteristics of decreasing from south to north. More than 60 percent of the FDI actually used comes from Asian countries or regions. Second, the changing characteristics of the urban-rural income gap in Jiangsu show that the income of urban and rural residents is constantly increasing. However, the gap between urban and rural income in Jiangsu Province as a whole and in different regions is also widening. Thirdly, through cointegration analysis and causality test, it is concluded that there is a negative long-term equilibrium relationship between FDI and urban and rural income distribution inequality in Jiangsu Province. But the short-term effect is positive, the lag is 3, the income gap between urban and rural areas and the actual utilization of foreign capital is causality. Fourth, the system GMM model directly affects the results: Jiangsu Province and southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu, The result of indirect influence is that the income gap between urban and rural areas is narrowed by the influence of FDI on the employment structure of the whole province and the three major regions. By promoting foreign trade, it intensifies the urban-rural income inequality in the whole province and the three major regions, slows down the urban-rural income inequality in southern Jiangsu by adjusting the industrial structure, but expands the urban-rural income gap between the whole province and the central and northern parts of Jiangsu. The conclusion of the study is that the problem of income distribution between urban and rural areas in Jiangsu Province is unbalanced, which can be proved from the angle of more rational utilization of foreign capital and optimization of investment structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F124.7;F832.6

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