天堂国产午夜亚洲专区-少妇人妻综合久久蜜臀-国产成人户外露出视频在线-国产91传媒一区二区三区

當前位置:主頁 > 管理論文 > 貨幣論文 >

湖北FDI、國際貿易與經濟增長的相關性研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-03 19:38

  本文關鍵詞:湖北FDI、國際貿易與經濟增長的相關性研究 出處:《中南民族大學》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文


  更多相關文章: 湖北 外商直接投資 國際貿易 經濟增長


【摘要】:縱觀全國,改革開放三十年來,中國經濟快速增長,而貿易對于中國經濟的增長起到重要作用。與此同時,外國直接投資一直穩(wěn)居世界第二,大量的外國直接投資有效緩解了中國在經濟發(fā)展初期資本和技術的匱乏。 自上個世紀八十年代以來,特別是2000年以后,湖北省的經濟得到了較快的發(fā)展,國際貿易和外國直接投資水平也有了長足的進步。1981-2010年湖北生產總值年均增幅高達23.82%,2011年達到19594.19億元,與2010年的15967.61億元相比增幅13.8%。在三大產業(yè)中增長最快的是第二產業(yè),增幅17.9%,產值達9818.76億元。進出口總額335.19億元,增幅29.1%,其中出口195.35億元,進口139.84億元,增幅分別為35.3%和21.5%。實際外商直接投資46.5億元,增幅14.9%。 不可否認,貿易和外國直接投資對中國經濟,尤其是東部沿海地區(qū)經濟的高速增長起到重要作用。但是,湖北省國際貿易、外國直接投資的高速增長與經濟增長之間是否存在必然的聯(lián)系,國際貿易和外國直接投資對經濟增長有怎樣的影響?本文將就這些問題展開探討,并利用湖北省近三十年的相關數據分析湖北省近些年來國際貿易、外商直接投資和經濟增長的發(fā)展趨勢,然后基于VAR模型的動態(tài)實證分析方法分析湖北FDI、進出口貿易對經濟增長影響的相關性。 文章首先總結了國內外學者關于國際貿易和外國直接投資與經濟增長之間的關系和國際貿易、外國直接投資與經濟增長相關性的研究成果,并對關于國際貿易、外國直接投資和經濟增長的理論進行了總結分析,在此基礎上分析了近年來湖北省國際貿易、外國直接投資和經濟增長的發(fā)展情況和趨勢,并運用VAR模型的動態(tài)實證分析方法,通過進行格蘭杰因果關系檢驗、建立廣義脈沖響應函數和方差分解模型,得出了國際貿易是湖北經濟增長的原因,而外國直接投資對經濟增長的貢獻并不十分顯著的結論。
[Abstract]:Throughout the country, during the past 30 years of reform and opening up, China's economy has grown rapidly, while trade has played an important role in China's economic growth. At the same time, foreign direct investment (FDI) has consistently ranked second in the world. Foreign direct investment (FDI) has effectively alleviated China's lack of capital and technology in the early stages of its economic development. Since -20s, especially after 2000, the economy of Hubei Province has been developing rapidly. The level of international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) has also made great progress. The average annual growth rate of Hubei's GDP reached 23.82 yuan in 1981-2010, reaching one tillion nine hundred and fifty-nine billion four hundred and eighteen million nine hundred and ninety-nine thousand and nine hundred and ninety-nine yuan in 2011. In 2010, compared with one tillion five hundred and ninety-six billion seven hundred and sixty-one million yuan, the growth rate was 13.8%. Among the three major industries, the second industry had the fastest growth, with an increase of 17.9%. The output value reached nine hundred and eighty-one billion eight hundred and seventy-six million yuan. The total import and export value was thirty-three billion five hundred and nineteen million yuan, an increase of 29.1 yuan, of which nineteen billion five hundred and thirty-five million yuan was exported and thirteen billion nine hundred and eighty-four million yuan was imported. The real foreign direct investment was 4.65 billion yuan, an increase of 14.9 yuan. There is no denying that trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) play an important role in the rapid growth of China's economy, especially in the eastern coastal areas. However, international trade in Hubei Province. Is there an inevitable link between the rapid growth of foreign direct investment and economic growth, and how does international trade and foreign direct investment affect economic growth? This paper will discuss these problems and analyze the development trend of international trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth of Hubei Province in recent years by using the relevant data of Hubei Province in the past 30 years. Then the dynamic empirical analysis method based on VAR model is used to analyze the correlation between import and export trade and economic growth. This paper first summarizes the research results of the relationship between international trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth and the correlation between foreign direct investment and economic growth. On the basis of summarizing and analyzing the theories of international trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth, this paper analyzes the development and trend of international trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Hubei Province in recent years. Using the dynamic empirical analysis method of VAR model, through Granger causality test, the generalized impulse response function and variance decomposition model are established, and international trade is the reason of Hubei economic growth. The contribution of FDI to economic growth is not very significant.
【學位授予單位】:中南民族大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F832.6;F752.7;F127;F224

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 宋可欣;鐘睿;;FDI吸收能力與經濟增長的研究綜述[J];當代經濟;2011年03期

2 梁華;外商在華直接投資問題研究綜述[J];當代經濟科學;2004年05期

3 張宗益,李建春,孫忠艷;外商直接投資對我國進出口貿易影響實證分析[J];當代經濟科學;2005年02期

4 袁立科;;區(qū)域外部性、對外開放與中國經濟增長條件收斂[J];當代經濟科學;2010年04期

5 楊柳勇;陳立慧;樓惠新;;外商直接投資與經濟增長的關系研究——基于分省和分區(qū)數據的檢驗[J];地球信息科學;2008年03期

6 蘭宜生;孔炯炯;;貿易自由化與中國經濟增長關系的實證分析[J];國際商務.對外經濟貿易大學學報;2006年03期

7 田素華;尹翔碩;;論經濟增長過程中的要素約束與發(fā)展對外貿易[J];復旦學報(社會科學版);2006年02期

8 黃凌云;范艷霞;許林;;國際貿易與FDI的技術溢出[J];重慶大學學報(自然科學版);2007年12期

9 毛新雅;姚宇;;外商直接投資、對外貿易與經濟增長——中國東部地區(qū)的實證[J];工業(yè)技術經濟;2009年09期

10 康贊亮;張必松;;FDI、國際貿易及我國經濟增長的協(xié)整分析與VECM模型[J];國際貿易問題;2006年02期

相關碩士學位論文 前2條

1 魏婷;國際貿易技術溢出對中國經濟增長的促進作用研究[D];廈門大學;2007年

2 鄒宗森;國際貿易、FDI對日照經濟增長作用的實證研究[D];山東大學;2008年



本文編號:1375323

資料下載
論文發(fā)表

本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/guanlilunwen/huobilw/1375323.html


Copyright(c)文論論文網All Rights Reserved | 網站地圖 |

版權申明:資料由用戶7bf24***提供,本站僅收錄摘要或目錄,作者需要刪除請E-mail郵箱bigeng88@qq.com