發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-02 11:50

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)紡織服裝行業(yè)出口的影響研究　出處：《華東交通大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 人民幣匯率 匯率升值 紡織服裝出口 實(shí)證分析

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和貿(mào)易自由化的發(fā)展，世界各國(guó)之間的聯(lián)系越來(lái)越密切。匯率成為各國(guó)之間貿(mào)易結(jié)算的重要媒介，經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)通過(guò)匯率的傳遞影響世界各國(guó)，匯率的變動(dòng)成為影響一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定的重要因素之一。 隨著中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的發(fā)展，人民幣匯率的變動(dòng)成為國(guó)際社會(huì)和學(xué)術(shù)界的普遍關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。特別是人民幣匯率改革以后，人民幣一直處于升值趨勢(shì)之中，有關(guān)人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的研究日益受到學(xué)者的關(guān)注。但是，就目前的研究來(lái)看，主要是集中在人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響，比如對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、對(duì)外貿(mào)易、就業(yè)水平，以及整體的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和穩(wěn)定的影響。對(duì)于人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)某一個(gè)具體行業(yè)的影響的研究還很匱乏。 作為傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的紡織服裝業(yè)是我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)，，在繁榮經(jīng)濟(jì)、穩(wěn)定就業(yè)、擴(kuò)大經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易、增加國(guó)民收入等方面發(fā)揮著重要的作用。但隨著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，特別是外部金融危機(jī)以及國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)要素價(jià)格的上升、人民幣匯率的不斷升值等方面的影響，原由依賴廉價(jià)勞動(dòng)力、原材料和國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)等比較優(yōu)勢(shì)已不復(fù)存在。我國(guó)紡織服裝行業(yè)的發(fā)展面臨著前所未有的困境。 本文從人民幣匯率升值的角度，分析人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)紡織服裝出口行業(yè)所帶來(lái)的的影響。首先通過(guò)對(duì)匯率相關(guān)理論的介紹，論述了我國(guó)匯率的改革歷程，分析影響人民幣匯率升值的背景因素。然后，簡(jiǎn)要分析我國(guó)紡織服裝出口行業(yè)的現(xiàn)實(shí)環(huán)境、行業(yè)特點(diǎn)以及對(duì)紡織服裝行業(yè)相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。最后，通過(guò)理論和實(shí)證兩個(gè)方面分析人民幣升值如何對(duì)我國(guó)紡織出口行業(yè)產(chǎn)生影響。 在理論方面，通過(guò)國(guó)際貿(mào)易的相關(guān)理論，分析人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)紡織服裝出口行業(yè)影響的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制，在通過(guò)簡(jiǎn)單的貿(mào)易供需模型分析人民幣升值的影響。在實(shí)證方面，本文利用協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)技術(shù)和ECM模型分析人民幣升值與我國(guó)紡織服裝出口之間的關(guān)系。說(shuō)明人民幣升值是導(dǎo)致我國(guó)紡織服裝出口變化的重要原因。 通過(guò)以上的研究分析，就人民幣升值對(duì)我國(guó)紡織服裝出口行業(yè)的影響，提出一些建議和措施，希望我國(guó)的紡織服裝出口企業(yè)借此機(jī)會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)企業(yè)的科技創(chuàng)新和技術(shù)升級(jí)，提高企業(yè)的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力，進(jìn)而提高我國(guó)整個(gè)紡織服裝出口行業(yè)的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。
[Abstract]:With the development of economic globalization and trade liberalization, the relationship between countries in the world is getting closer and closer. The exchange rate has become an important medium of trade settlement between countries, and the economic crisis has affected the countries of the world through the transmission of exchange rate. The change of exchange rate has become one of the important factors affecting a country's economic stability. With the development of China's economic globalization, the change of RMB exchange rate has become the focus of the international community and academic circles, especially after the RMB exchange rate reform, the RMB has been in the trend of appreciation. Scholars pay more and more attention to the impact of RMB appreciation on China's economy. However, as far as the current research is concerned, it is mainly focused on the impact of RMB appreciation on China's macro economy. For example, the impact on China's economic structure, foreign trade, employment level, and overall economic development and stability. As a traditional economy, textile and clothing industry is the pillar industry of our national economy. It is developing economy, stabilizing employment and expanding economic trade. Increasing national income plays an important role, but with the development of our economy, especially the external financial crisis and the rise of the price of domestic factors of production, the RMB exchange rate continues to appreciate and so on. Due to the reliance on cheap labor, the comparative advantages of raw materials and domestic market no longer exist. The development of textile and clothing industry in China is facing unprecedented difficulties. From the perspective of RMB exchange rate appreciation, this paper analyzes the impact of RMB appreciation on China's textile and clothing export industry. Firstly, through the introduction of exchange rate theory, it discusses the course of exchange rate reform in China. This paper analyzes the background factors that affect the appreciation of RMB exchange rate. Then, it briefly analyzes the real environment, industry characteristics and the development of the textile and clothing industry related industry chain in China's textile and clothing export industry. This paper analyzes how RMB appreciation affects China's textile export industry through theoretical and empirical analysis. In theory, through the relevant theories of international trade, this paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of the impact of RMB appreciation on China's textile and clothing export industry. Through a simple trade supply and demand model to analyze the impact of RMB appreciation. This paper analyzes the relationship between RMB appreciation and China's textile and clothing exports by using cointegration test and ECM model, which shows that RMB appreciation is an important reason for the change of China's textile and garment exports. Through the above research and analysis, this paper puts forward some suggestions and measures on the impact of RMB appreciation on China's textile and clothing export industry. It is hoped that the textile and garment export enterprises of our country will take this opportunity to realize the scientific and technological innovation and technological upgrading of the enterprises, improve the international competitiveness of the enterprises, and then enhance the international competitiveness of the whole textile and clothing export industry of our country.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華東交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6;F426.81;F752.62;F224

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