南寧市旅游業(yè)發(fā)展對擴大內(nèi)需的效應評價
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-07 02:38
本文選題:南寧市 + 旅游業(yè); 參考:《廣西師范學院》2010年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著社會經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展和人民生活水平的提高,旅游消費作為直接層次上的最終消費,在促進居民消費、啟動社會資金、帶動民間投資和拉動經(jīng)濟增長中發(fā)揮重要的作用,為國家和地區(qū)擴大內(nèi)需做出積極的貢獻。 南寧市是廣西壯族自治區(qū)首府,北部灣經(jīng)濟區(qū)的核心城市,憑其地理位置和資源優(yōu)勢已經(jīng)成為國內(nèi)旅游發(fā)展比較成熟的城市,旅游業(yè)作為南寧市的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)之一,對擴大南寧市內(nèi)需,拉動經(jīng)濟增長有明顯的效應。 本文利用經(jīng)濟學中的需求理論和乘數(shù)理論,采用投入產(chǎn)出分析法和旅游衛(wèi)星賬戶法,借助EXCEL統(tǒng)計分析工具,分別從旅游產(chǎn)出效應、旅游就業(yè)效應、旅游創(chuàng)匯效應、旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)關聯(lián)和產(chǎn)業(yè)波及效應四個方面來分析南寧旅游業(yè)發(fā)展對擴大內(nèi)需的影響程度。對旅游產(chǎn)出效應的分析,主要借助旅游消費結構和完全消耗系數(shù)計算旅游直接產(chǎn)出效應和綜合產(chǎn)出效應;對旅游就業(yè)效應的分析,通過對就業(yè)系數(shù)的計算得出旅游直接就業(yè)效應和綜合就業(yè)效應;對旅游創(chuàng)匯效應的分析,在比較旅游外匯收入相當于出口總額的比重的基礎上得出相應的結論;對旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)關聯(lián)和產(chǎn)業(yè)波及效應的分析,從投入結構、銷路結構、中間投入率和中間需求率四個角度得出旅游業(yè)與相關產(chǎn)業(yè)的關聯(lián)程度,又通過逆向、順向和橫向三種途徑計算出旅游業(yè)對南寧市國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的貢獻水平。 通過全文的分析得出的結論是:南寧旅游業(yè)的產(chǎn)出效應、就業(yè)效應和產(chǎn)業(yè)波及效應明顯,產(chǎn)業(yè)關聯(lián)度較強,屬于最終消費型產(chǎn)業(yè),但創(chuàng)匯效應尚不明顯。為了充分發(fā)揮旅游業(yè)在擴大南寧市內(nèi)需的積極作用,本文提出加快旅游基礎配套服務設施建設、打造特色旅游品牌、發(fā)展商務會展旅游、增加旅游消費和拓展入境客源市場等對策建議。
[Abstract]:With the development of social economy and the improvement of people's living standard, tourism consumption, as the final consumption on the direct level, plays an important role in promoting residents' consumption, starting social funds, promoting private investment and stimulating economic growth. We will make positive contributions to the expansion of domestic demand in the country and the region. Nanning is the capital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region and the core city of Beibu Gulf Economic Zone. By virtue of its geographical location and resource advantages, Nanning has become a relatively mature city in domestic tourism development. Tourism is one of the pillar industries in Nanning. Nanning to expand domestic demand, stimulating economic growth has an obvious effect. Based on the demand theory and multiplier theory in economics, the paper uses the input-output analysis method and the tourism satellite account method, with the help of EXCEL statistical analysis tools, from the tourism output effect, tourism employment effect, tourism foreign exchange earning effect, respectively. This paper analyzes the influence of tourism development on the expansion of domestic demand in Nanning from four aspects: tourism industry association and industry ripple effect. Based on the analysis of tourism output effects, the direct and comprehensive output effects of tourism are calculated by means of tourism consumption structure and complete consumption coefficient, and the effects of tourism employment are analyzed. Through the calculation of the employment coefficient, the direct employment effect and the comprehensive employment effect of tourism are obtained, and the corresponding conclusions are drawn on the basis of comparing the proportion of tourism foreign exchange income to total export. Based on the analysis of tourism industry correlation and industry ripple effect, from the four angles of input structure, marketing structure, intermediate input rate and intermediate demand rate, the correlation degree between tourism and related industries is obtained. The contribution level of tourism to the development of Nanning's national economy is calculated by three ways: forward and lateral. The conclusion is that the output effect, employment effect and industry ripple effect of Nanning tourism industry are obvious, and the industrial correlation degree is strong, which belongs to the final consuming industry, but the effect of foreign exchange earning is not obvious. In order to give full play to the positive role of tourism in expanding Nanning's domestic demand, this paper proposes to speed up the construction of basic tourism services, to create special tourism brands, and to develop business mice tourism. Increase tourism consumption and expand the market for inbound tourists and other countermeasures.
【學位授予單位】:廣西師范學院
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2010
【分類號】:F592.7;F127
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