發(fā)布時間：2019-02-19 19:55

【摘要】：近年來,隨著煤炭市場的大幅波動和電力市場的持續(xù)低迷,煤電間的矛盾不斷凸顯,能源供應形勢愈加嚴峻,燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)為降低供電煤耗成本不得不摻燒劣質煤,這就使得電廠進煤來源復雜化、煤種多樣化,并且由于市場煤受煤礦、鐵路、港口、中間商等中間物流環(huán)節(jié)種種復雜因素的限制,使得煤炭供應形勢變得異常復雜,煤炭供應風險對企業(yè)生產經營過程的影響更加深化,同時煤炭作為燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)的最重要的生產要素,燃料成本影響企業(yè)盈虧的風險明顯動態(tài)化。本文站在燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)的角度,運用風險管理及供應鏈風險管理理論,從電煤供應的業(yè)務流程和價值鏈環(huán)節(jié)進行煤炭供應風險識別,并在對其風險因素全方位識別的基礎上進行電煤供應風險分析。然后,根據(jù)當前電煤供應的實際形勢將燃料成本、供需結構及庫存方案為風險分析研究的核心,結合燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)實際經營情況建立火電機組成本一利潤動態(tài)模型、原煤混配經濟模型及燃煤庫存風險控制模型并進行分析。最后,根據(jù)電煤供應鏈特點和企業(yè)經營實踐經驗運用風險應對理論,提出了燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)煤炭供應風險防控策略、方法及建議。本文研究貼合燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)煤炭供應實際狀況,對燃煤發(fā)電企業(yè)如何更好的進行煤炭供應風險防范、規(guī)避燃煤價格風險,加強發(fā)供電成本控制,提高企業(yè)盈利能力具有重要意義。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the large fluctuation of coal market and the continuous downturn of electricity market, the contradiction between coal and electricity is becoming increasingly prominent, and the situation of energy supply is becoming more and more severe. In order to reduce the cost of coal consumption, coal-fired power generation enterprises have to burn inferior coal. This has complicated the sources of coal intake in power plants, diversified the types of coal, and because the market coal is restricted by various complicated factors such as coal mines, railways, ports, middlemen and other intermediate logistics links, the coal supply situation has become extremely complex. The influence of coal supply risk on enterprise production and management process is deepened. Meanwhile, as the most important production factor of coal-fired power generation enterprise, the risk of fuel cost influencing enterprise profit and loss is obviously dynamic. Based on the theory of risk management and supply chain risk management, this paper identifies the coal supply risk from the business process and value chain of coal supply. On the basis of identifying the risk factors, the risk of coal supply is analyzed. Then, according to the actual situation of power coal supply at present, the fuel cost, supply and demand structure and inventory plan are taken as the core of risk analysis and research, and a dynamic model of coal-fired unit cost-profit is established according to the actual operating conditions of coal-fired power generation enterprises. Raw coal mixed economic model and coal inventory risk control model and analysis. Finally, according to the characteristics of coal supply chain and the practical experience of enterprises, the paper puts forward the coal supply risk prevention and control strategy, methods and suggestions based on the theory of risk response. This paper studies the actual situation of coal supply in coal-fired power generation enterprises, how to better prevent coal supply risks, avoid the price risks of coal, and strengthen the cost control of power generation. It is of great significance to improve the profitability of enterprises.
【學位授予單位】：華北電力大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F274;F426.21

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 譚忠富;侯建朝;曹福成;葛旭波;;發(fā)電企業(yè)業(yè)務流程分析的價值鏈模型[J];電力學報;2006年04期

2 張娟;譚忠富;;發(fā)電企業(yè)風險識別與評價[J];電力技術經濟;2003年06期

3 宋永華;孫靜;;美國電煤市場及其對我國的啟示[J];電力技術經濟;2009年03期

4 張少華,李渝曾,周永興,江峰青;考慮電力差價合同的發(fā)電廠報價策略研究[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2000年08期

5 李碩;周麗;;煤電價格聯(lián)動機制若干問題的探討——基于火電競價上網的視角[J];價格理論與實踐;2009年02期

6 黨興華;黃正超;趙巧艷;;基于風險矩陣的風險投資項目風險評估[J];科技進步與對策;2006年01期

7 姜陽光;;我國電煤供應鏈的特點與優(yōu)化策略探析[J];物流科技;2012年12期

8 汪忠,黃瑞華;國外風險管理研究的理論、方法及其進展[J];外國經濟與管理;2005年02期

9 劉達;牛東曉;楊光;;電力市場中的電價影響因素[J];陜西電力;2009年01期

10 丁樂群;翟繪景;黃興;任妍;黃萍力;;煤電價格聯(lián)動機制對發(fā)電成本-利潤影響分析[J];中國電力;2007年09期

，

本文編號：2426819