【摘要】：全球一體化的浪潮推動(dòng)著世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，也帶來了世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式的變革，企業(yè)的發(fā)展從傳統(tǒng)的各自為政邁向了集群化的供應(yīng)鏈運(yùn)作，一方面，供應(yīng)鏈體系的運(yùn)作為各企業(yè)帶來了更多的收益，另一方面，日趨復(fù)雜的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)環(huán)境也為企業(yè)帶來了更多的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，致使供應(yīng)鏈中斷事件屢有發(fā)生，造成重要的損失。市場(chǎng)對(duì)于一套完備供應(yīng)鏈中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范體系的需求日益迫切。 針對(duì)上述情況，，基于已有的研究成果，中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素防范和供應(yīng)鏈魯棒性問題成為本次研究的主要內(nèi)容，并提出了針對(duì)中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的魯棒性管理體系，優(yōu)化了供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的運(yùn)作方法，有效的扼制了中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素對(duì)供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的影響。該體系主要包括三個(gè)方面。 (1)現(xiàn)有的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范機(jī)制大多是討論風(fēng)險(xiǎn)發(fā)生后的管理和應(yīng)對(duì)，卻忽略了外部中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)對(duì)于供應(yīng)鏈有著先天的影響，雖然可以通過風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理對(duì)中斷的影響進(jìn)行控制，但是造成的損失卻是無法挽回的。對(duì)此，本文提出了針對(duì)外部中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的魯棒性供應(yīng)鏈設(shè)計(jì)算法，通過兼顧效益與魯棒性，求取運(yùn)營(yíng)與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)成本的最小值，從而實(shí)現(xiàn)系統(tǒng)的最優(yōu)化。 (2)基于多模型預(yù)測(cè)控制的供應(yīng)鏈管理系統(tǒng)，結(jié)合了供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的特性，優(yōu)化了控制系統(tǒng)的算法，能夠使得系統(tǒng)在利潤(rùn)最大化的前提下，確保系統(tǒng)魯棒性，系統(tǒng)得出的方案可以有效的為系統(tǒng)的信息處理、生產(chǎn)計(jì)劃和物流配送提供有力的借鑒。 (3)針對(duì)于嚴(yán)重的中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，本文以多模型預(yù)測(cè)控制的管理方法為基礎(chǔ)，采用了模型切換的方法，充分發(fā)揮了系統(tǒng)信息化、集群化的特點(diǎn)，能夠在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)發(fā)生之初就進(jìn)行響應(yīng)，以最快的速度恢復(fù)供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的運(yùn)作。 以上三個(gè)方面分別考慮了中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)發(fā)生的過程、內(nèi)外部結(jié)構(gòu)與恢復(fù)措施的機(jī)理，充分協(xié)調(diào)供應(yīng)鏈上各企業(yè)，形成一套有機(jī)的整體，從而實(shí)現(xiàn)了對(duì)供應(yīng)鏈中斷的防范。 本文還通過Matlab對(duì)系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行了仿真，進(jìn)一步對(duì)本文所提出方法的有效性進(jìn)行了驗(yàn)證，仿真結(jié)果表明，該體系能夠有效的消除中斷風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素對(duì)于系統(tǒng)的影響，表現(xiàn)出良好的魯棒性。
[Abstract]:The tide of global integration has promoted the development of the world economy and brought about the transformation of the development mode of the world economy. The development of enterprises has moved from the traditional management to the operation of the cluster supply chain, on the one hand, The operation of supply chain system brings more profits to the enterprises, on the other hand, the increasingly complex competition environment also brings more risks to the enterprises, which leads to the frequent occurrence of supply chain interruptions, resulting in important losses. The market for a complete supply chain interruption risk prevention system is increasingly urgent. In view of the above situation, based on the existing research results, the prevention of interruption risk factors and supply chain robustness become the main content of this study, and a robust management system for interruption risk factors is proposed. The operation method of supply chain system is optimized and the influence of interruption risk factor on supply chain system is effectively restrained. The system mainly includes three aspects. (1) most of the existing risk prevention mechanisms discuss the management and response after the occurrence of risk, but ignore the inherent impact of the external interruption risk on the supply chain. Although the impact of interruptions can be controlled through risk management, the damage caused is irreparable. In this paper, a robust supply chain design algorithm for external interruption risk is proposed. The minimum value of operation and risk cost can be obtained by taking both benefit and robustness into account. Thus the optimization of the system is realized. (2) the supply chain management system based on multi-model predictive control combines the characteristics of the supply chain system and optimizes the algorithm of the control system, which can make the system under the premise of maximizing the profit. To ensure the robustness of the system, the system can effectively provide information processing, production planning and logistics distribution to provide a strong reference. (3) for the serious interruption risk, Based on the management method of multi-model predictive control and the method of model switching, this paper gives full play to the characteristics of system information and cluster, and can respond at the beginning of risk. Resume the operation of the supply chain system as quickly as possible. The above three aspects consider the process of interruption risk, the mechanism of internal and external structure and recovery measures, and fully coordinate the enterprises in the supply chain to form an organic whole, thus realizing the prevention of supply chain disruption. This paper also simulates the system by Matlab, and further validates the effectiveness of the proposed method. The simulation results show that the system can effectively eliminate the impact of interruption risk factors on the system, and show good robustness.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：武漢紡織大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：TP13;F274

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 劉劍平,潘德惠;控制理論在最優(yōu)產(chǎn)品庫(kù)存上的應(yīng)用[J];系統(tǒng)工程;1995年04期

2 周艷菊;邱莞華;王宗潤(rùn);;供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究進(jìn)展的綜述與分析[J];系統(tǒng)工程;2006年03期

3 周建頻,杜文;供應(yīng)鏈分銷系統(tǒng)的自適應(yīng)庫(kù)存控制[J];工業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2005年05期

4 陳偉軍,張紅,徐學(xué)軍;IBM公司跨國(guó)供應(yīng)鏈管理[J];工業(yè)工程與管理;2002年03期

5 任鳴鳴;楊超;何波;;生產(chǎn)成本規(guī)模遞減的工廠選址和規(guī)模決策[J];工業(yè)工程與管理;2007年06期

6 宋英娜;;戴爾直銷戰(zhàn)略在中國(guó)市場(chǎng)的本土化[J];黑龍江對(duì)外經(jīng)貿(mào);2006年12期

7 劉會(huì)新,王紅衛(wèi),費(fèi)奇;一類庫(kù)存控制系統(tǒng)的穩(wěn)定性分析[J];計(jì)算機(jī)集成制造系統(tǒng);2004年11期

8 黎繼子;馬士華;郭培林;劉春玲;;基于BOM-Supply Hub的供應(yīng)鏈設(shè)計(jì)模型[J];計(jì)算機(jī)集成制造系統(tǒng);2009年07期

9 ;大氣科學(xué)名詞(第三版)[J];中國(guó)科技術(shù)語;2009年01期

10 許健;;供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別與控制對(duì)策分析[J];品牌(理論月刊);2011年05期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 任鳴鳴;供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)節(jié)點(diǎn)設(shè)施選址研究[D];華中科技大學(xué);2008年

本文編號(hào)：2236196