生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)異質(zhì)利益主體協(xié)同研究
本文選題:生物質(zhì)發(fā)電 + 秸稈資源 ; 參考:《華北電力大學(xué)(北京)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:大力發(fā)展新能源,實(shí)現(xiàn)能源結(jié)構(gòu)多元化是我國(guó)緩解日益增長(zhǎng)的能源消費(fèi)需求與日漸衰竭的傳統(tǒng)能源資源的矛盾,治理日益嚴(yán)重的生態(tài)環(huán)境污染的必然路徑。我國(guó)生物質(zhì)能源豐富,合理利用和發(fā)展生物質(zhì)能源是我國(guó)實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳目標(biāo),保障能源安全,優(yōu)化能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的有效途徑。生物質(zhì)發(fā)電是生物質(zhì)能源利用的重要方向,我國(guó)一直致力于促進(jìn)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。自2006年首座生物質(zhì)發(fā)電廠投產(chǎn)以來(lái),我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)初步形成了從燃料收集到電能產(chǎn)出的生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈模式。但是,由于我國(guó)主要以家庭為種植單位、農(nóng)田散布,生物質(zhì)秸稈具有季節(jié)性等原因,生物質(zhì)發(fā)電燃料成本負(fù)擔(dān)重、農(nóng)作物秸稈收集困難等成為限制生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的瓶頸。因此,我國(guó)應(yīng)如何突破生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展困境,促進(jìn)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈良好地協(xié)同運(yùn)作,就成為我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)健康發(fā)展的重要課題。本文圍繞這一課題,基于協(xié)同學(xué)理論,輔以供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)同理論和復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)理論,對(duì)“農(nóng)戶-中間商-生物質(zhì)發(fā)電廠”燃料收購(gòu)模式下的生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)異質(zhì)利益主體進(jìn)行了協(xié)同研究。首先,結(jié)合我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)和政策特點(diǎn),明確了農(nóng)戶、中間商、生物質(zhì)發(fā)電廠和省級(jí)政府是相對(duì)積極參與生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)協(xié)同運(yùn)作的異質(zhì)利益主體。其次,基于對(duì)我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)的實(shí)地調(diào)研和資料收集,建立了生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)協(xié)同度指標(biāo)體系和協(xié)同度定量模型,以準(zhǔn)確測(cè)度我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)異質(zhì)利益主體協(xié)同狀態(tài)。再者,分析了我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的協(xié)同學(xué)特性,發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)是具有混沌性、復(fù)雜性和不穩(wěn)定性的非平衡開(kāi)源系統(tǒng),是協(xié)同學(xué)理論所研究的系統(tǒng)范疇。最后,基于探索圖的方法,深入探析了控制我國(guó)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)協(xié)同演化的參量,確定了生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)協(xié)同演化的初始控制協(xié)同參量為秸稈售賣價(jià)格、燃料發(fā)電轉(zhuǎn)化率、電價(jià)補(bǔ)貼(省政府)等8個(gè)參量,并在此基礎(chǔ)上,提出了生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)協(xié)同學(xué)定量模型,以識(shí)別生物質(zhì)發(fā)電供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的序參量,探究其協(xié)同演化規(guī)律,為我國(guó)促進(jìn)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展提供理論支撐和決策參考。
[Abstract]:Vigorously developing new energy and realizing the diversification of energy structure are the inevitable ways to alleviate the contradiction between the increasing energy consumption demand and the declining traditional energy resources and to deal with the increasingly serious pollution of ecological environment in China. Our country is rich in biomass energy. Rational utilization and development of biomass energy is an effective way to achieve the goal of low carbon, ensure energy security and optimize the structure of energy consumption. Biomass power generation is an important direction of biomass energy utilization. China has been committed to promote the development of biomass power generation industry. Since the first biomass power plant was put into production in 2006, the biomass power generation supply chain model from fuel collection to power output has been initially formed in China's biomass power generation industry. However, because the family is the main planting unit in our country, the farmland is scattered, the biomass straw has seasonal and other reasons, the cost of biomass power generation is heavy, and the difficulty of collecting crop straw becomes the bottleneck to restrict the development of biomass power generation industry. Therefore, how to break through the plight of biomass power generation industry development and promote the biomass power supply chain to work well in coordination has become an important issue for the healthy development of biomass power generation industry in China. This paper focuses on this subject, based on the synergetic theory, supplemented by supply chain coordination theory and complex system theory. In this paper, the heterogeneous stakeholders of biomass power supply chain system under the mode of "peasant household, middleman and biomass power plant" are studied. Firstly, according to the characteristics of biomass power generation industry and policy in China, it is clear that farmers, middlemen, biomass power plants and provincial governments are the heterogeneous stakeholders who participate in the cooperative operation of biomass power supply chain system. Secondly, based on the field investigation and data collection of biomass power generation industry in China, a collaborative index system and a quantitative model of biomass power supply chain system are established. In order to accurately measure the coordination of heterogeneous stakeholders in biomass power supply chain system in China. Furthermore, the synergetic characteristics of the biomass power supply chain system in China are analyzed, and it is found that the biomass power supply chain system in China is a non-equilibrium open source system with chaos, complexity and instability. It is a systematic category studied by Synergetics theory. Finally, based on the method of exploration diagram, the parameters controlling the co-evolution of biomass power supply chain system in China are analyzed, and the initial control coordination parameter of biomass power supply chain system is determined as straw selling price. On the basis of eight parameters, such as fuel generation conversion rate, electricity price subsidy (provincial government) and so on, a quantitative model of biomass power supply chain system is proposed to identify the order parameters of biomass power supply chain system. It provides theoretical support and decision reference for promoting the development of biomass power generation industry in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F274;F426.61
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