需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存水平下的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避型報(bào)童模型及供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)調(diào)
本文選題:需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存 + 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避型報(bào)童模型��; 參考:《江蘇科技大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:目前,隨著需求市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的愈演愈烈,商家們通過(guò)各種手段想要刺激消費(fèi),通過(guò)增加商品庫(kù)存量以此拉動(dòng)消費(fèi)者需求已經(jīng)是商家們爭(zhēng)相追逐的手段,這樣的現(xiàn)象也引起了學(xué)術(shù)界的廣泛關(guān)注。但是隨著市場(chǎng)需求的角逐愈加激烈,商家們對(duì)于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的控制也更加重視,企業(yè)在與上下游企業(yè)合作過(guò)程中非常謹(jǐn)慎,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制也成為企業(yè)家們關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。而在目前的供應(yīng)鏈管理研究中,對(duì)于需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存的研究,學(xué)者為方便計(jì)算往往忽略了供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)中各成員的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)態(tài)度,這違背了現(xiàn)實(shí)情況。因此,在分析前人研究結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上,本文研究需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存量的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避型報(bào)童模型具有重要的理論意義和實(shí)際意義。本文將短周期易腐商品作為研究對(duì)象,把消費(fèi)者需求看作是由依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存水平的需求和與商品庫(kù)存量無(wú)關(guān)的隨機(jī)需求擾動(dòng)項(xiàng)兩部分構(gòu)成,進(jìn)而構(gòu)建需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存水平下的線性模型以及多項(xiàng)式模型,擴(kuò)充了經(jīng)典報(bào)童模型的需求信息。與此同時(shí),結(jié)合決策者的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)態(tài)度,構(gòu)建改進(jìn)后的報(bào)童模型。在改進(jìn)后的報(bào)童模型中,研究零售商的最優(yōu)訂貨策略以及需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存水平和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)態(tài)度對(duì)最佳訂購(gòu)量的影響。除此之外,將本文建立的報(bào)童模型作為零售商的行為策略,與一個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)中立型供應(yīng)商組成供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng),尋找能夠使供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)得到完美優(yōu)化的協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制。研究結(jié)果表明,當(dāng)不考慮期末缺貨懲罰成本時(shí),需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存水平的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避型零售商的最佳訂購(gòu)量隨需求依賴(lài)于庫(kù)存水平增加而增加,隨風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避程度加深而減少。另外,基于本文構(gòu)建的報(bào)童模型以及供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)的組成結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)現(xiàn),單一的批發(fā)價(jià)合同不能協(xié)調(diào)供應(yīng)鏈,而合理的回購(gòu)契約或者收益共享契約都能實(shí)現(xiàn)供應(yīng)鏈的完美優(yōu)化。
[Abstract]:At present, with the increasingly fierce competition in the demand market, merchants want to stimulate consumption through various means, and to stimulate consumer demand by increasing the stock of goods has been the means that merchants are chasing after each other. This phenomenon has also aroused the widespread concern of the academic community. However, with the increasingly fierce competition of market demand, businessmen pay more attention to risk control, enterprises are very cautious in the process of cooperation with upstream and downstream enterprises, risk control has become the focus of attention of entrepreneurs. In the current research of supply chain management, for the research of demand dependent on inventory, scholars often ignore the risk attitude of the members in the supply chain system for the convenience of calculation, which is contrary to the reality. Therefore, on the basis of analyzing the previous research results, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the risk-averse newsboy model with demand dependent on inventory. In this paper, the short-period perishable goods are regarded as two parts: demand dependent on inventory level and random demand disturbance which is independent of commodity inventory. Furthermore, the linear model and polynomial model of demand dependent on inventory level are constructed, and the demand information of classical newsboy model is extended. At the same time, the improved newsboy model is constructed according to the risk attitude of decision makers. In the improved newsboy model, the optimal ordering strategy of retailers and the effect of demand dependent on inventory level and risk attitude on the optimal order quantity are studied. In addition, the newsboy model proposed in this paper is taken as the behavior strategy of retailers, and a risk-neutral supplier is used to form the supply chain system to find out the coordination mechanism that can make the supply chain system optimize perfectly. The results show that the optimal order quantity of risk-averse retailers whose demand depends on inventory level increases with the increase of demand dependent on inventory level and decreases with the deepening of risk aversion. In addition, based on the newsboy model constructed in this paper and the structure of supply chain system, it is found that a single wholesale price contract can not coordinate the supply chain, and reasonable repurchase contract or revenue sharing contract can achieve the perfect optimization of the supply chain.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:江蘇科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F274
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