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  本文選題：供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性　切入點(diǎn)：供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險　出處：《南京大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化,供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性顯著增加,風(fēng)險也隨之上升并愈難控制。事實(shí)上,復(fù)雜性與風(fēng)險是密不可分、緊密關(guān)聯(lián)的,然而當(dāng)前對供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性與風(fēng)險的研究是互相割裂的,極少文獻(xiàn)深入分析它們之間的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系。在此背景下,本文研究基于復(fù)雜性視角的供應(yīng)鏈的風(fēng)險控制,十分必要且有著積極的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文主要包括六章：第一章緒論；第二章供應(yīng)鏈系統(tǒng)及其復(fù)雜性分析；第三章供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性度量方法；第四章供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性與風(fēng)險的關(guān)系；第五章基于MAS的供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險控制研究；第六章總結(jié)與展望。本文在歸納了兩大類供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性度量方法之后,通過對它們的多維度的比較分析,總結(jié)各自的適用范圍與優(yōu)缺點(diǎn),并利用結(jié)構(gòu)復(fù)雜性的度量方法評估了WXTP葉片公司在供應(yīng)重組之后的供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性變化。在研究供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性對供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險的影響機(jī)制時,本文分析了大量文獻(xiàn)資料,歸納出了供應(yīng)鏈復(fù)雜性對風(fēng)險的直接影響路徑和以管理模式為中間變量的間接影響路徑。在這基礎(chǔ)上構(gòu)建了基于復(fù)雜性的供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險評估指標(biāo)體系,通過使用AHP方法,定量評價了WXTP葉片公司的供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險。為了從源頭控制供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險,本文從復(fù)雜性的視角,結(jié)合復(fù)雜性度量和供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險評估等理論方法,提出了基于MAS的供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險控制方法。該風(fēng)險控制方法首先定義5個Agent并賦予它們各自功能,然后設(shè)計(jì)了一個風(fēng)險識別、復(fù)雜性識別、措施評估、風(fēng)險控制的流程。結(jié)合實(shí)際應(yīng)用模擬仿真表明,該方法對于控制供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險具有較好的價值。
[Abstract]:With the economic globalization, supply chain complexity significantly increased, also increased the risk and more difficult to control. In fact, complexity and risk are inextricably linked, closely related, but current research on supply chain complexity and risk are mutually separated, few literature deeply analysis of internal relations between them. Under this background, the complexity of risk from the perspective of supply chain control based on this research, it is necessary and has a positive practical significance. This paper mainly includes six chapters: the first chapter is introduction; the second chapter analysis of supply chain system and the complexity of the supply chain; the third chapter complexity measure method; the fourth chapter is the relationship between supply chain complexity and risk; the fifth chapter is based on the supply of MAS risk control chain; the sixth chapter is summary and prospect. In this paper summarized two categories of supply chain complexity measure method, through multiple dimensions of their ratio Compared with the analysis, summed up the scope of their respective advantages and disadvantages, and the use of methods to measure the structural complexity assessment of changes in the complexity of supply chain in the supply after the reorganization of WXTP company. The leaves on the research of supply chain complexity influence mechanism on the supply chain risk, this paper analyzes a large number of literature, summed up the path directly affects the complexity of supply chain the risk and management mode for the intermediate variables indirectly influence path. On the basis of building a supply chain risk evaluation index system based on complexity, by using the AHP method, the quantitative evaluation of supply chain risk WXTP leaves the company. In order to control the source of supply chain risk, this paper from the angle of view of complexity, the complexity measurement and evaluation of supply chain risk theory, puts forward the supply chain risk control method based on MAS. The risk control method defines 5 Agent and Fu Each function is given, and then a risk identification, complexity identification, measure evaluation and risk control process are designed. Combined with practical application, simulation shows that this method is of great value for controlling supply chain risk.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F274

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本文編號：1663887