本文關鍵詞： 供應鏈貿(mào)易 產(chǎn)業(yè)升級 全球價值鏈 資源重置　出處：《浙江大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：供應鏈貿(mào)易是國際貿(mào)易研究的一個新視野,這一視野綜合了中間產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易和全球價值鏈貿(mào)易兩個范疇。已有研究顯示,積極參與全球供應鏈貿(mào)易,對于一國企業(yè)效率提升進而產(chǎn)業(yè)升級起著重要作用。產(chǎn)業(yè)升級是經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長的重要基礎與結果,也是中國近年產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展必須跨越的一道坎。產(chǎn)業(yè)升級有兩種內(nèi)涵,分別為結構變化和附加值增加。供應鏈貿(mào)易同時涉及這兩個內(nèi)涵。本文主旨,就在于從全球供應鏈貿(mào)易視角切入,審視中國產(chǎn)業(yè)升級的約束條件與可能的路徑選擇,將供應鏈貿(mào)易最新的理論研究和中國產(chǎn)業(yè)現(xiàn)實對接,拓展中國產(chǎn)業(yè)升級研究。 理論上,本文梳理了供應鏈貿(mào)易和產(chǎn)業(yè)升級的相關概念與實證研究,發(fā)現(xiàn)與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級相比,對供應鏈貿(mào)易的學術探討并不系統(tǒng),尚待完善。在文獻整理的基礎上較系統(tǒng)地梳理了供應鏈貿(mào)易對產(chǎn)業(yè)效率增進因而升級的四個機制,即技術溢出、專業(yè)化、競爭、資源重置以及鎖定效應,并提出了一個機理系統(tǒng)。 實證方面,基于世界投入產(chǎn)出表,選取了15個行業(yè)11年的面板數(shù)據(jù),以勞動生產(chǎn)率作為產(chǎn)業(yè)升級代理變量,測度了I2P、I2E以及附加值貿(mào)易對行業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),對全部15個行業(yè)樣本,回歸模型中I2P和附加值貿(mào)易增長對勞動生產(chǎn)率的增長呈現(xiàn)二次指數(shù)關系,而I2E增長對勞動生產(chǎn)率增長則是先升后降的開口向下的拋物線關系,即I2P和附加值貿(mào)易對勞動生產(chǎn)率的促進作用更加明顯,而I2E對勞動生產(chǎn)率的促進存在一個“拐點”。從行業(yè)分類樣本來看,I2P對科技含量較高的行業(yè)(不論是資本密集型還是勞動密集型)的影響比低科技含量的行業(yè)要大,I2E對科技含量較高的資本密集型行業(yè)勞動生產(chǎn)率的影響最強,而附加值貿(mào)易對四類行業(yè)勞動生產(chǎn)率的增長均具有顯著的正向影響。 基于機理分析和實證檢驗,本文提出了相應的政策建議,包括融入供應鏈貿(mào)易,深化國際分工；利用中間產(chǎn)品進口,轉化先進技術；拓寬加工貿(mào)易內(nèi)涵,建立自主產(chǎn)權；把握行業(yè)發(fā)展特征,優(yōu)化服務體系；加快產(chǎn)品升級換代,創(chuàng)造價值增值；突破發(fā)達國家鉗制,構建國家價值鏈等。
[Abstract]:Supply chain trade is a new vision of international trade research, which integrates the trade of intermediate goods and global value chain trade. It plays an important role in improving the efficiency of a country's enterprises and then upgrading the industry. Industrial upgrading is an important foundation and result of sustained economic growth. Industrial upgrading has two connotations, one is structural change and the other is added value increase. Supply chain trade involves these two connotations at the same time. From the perspective of global supply chain trade, this paper examines the constraints and possible path choices of China's industrial upgrading, and connects the latest theoretical research of supply chain trade with China's industrial reality. To expand the study of industrial upgrading in China. In theory, this paper combed the supply chain trade and industrial upgrading related concepts and empirical research, found that compared with industrial upgrading, the academic discussion of supply chain trade is not systematic. On the basis of literature review, this paper systematically combs the four mechanisms of supply chain trade to enhance industrial efficiency, namely technology spillover, specialization, competition, resource resetting and locking effect. A mechanism system is proposed. Empirical analysis, based on the world input-output table, selected 15 industries for 11 years of panel data, labor productivity as a proxy variable for industrial upgrading, the measurement of I2P. I2E and the impact of value-added trade on industry upgrading. The study found that all 15 industry samples. In the regression model, I _ 2P and added value trade growth have a quadratic exponential relationship to the growth of labor productivity, while I _ 2E growth is a parabola relation between the first rise and then the decline. That is, I2P and added value trade promote labor productivity more obviously, while I2E has a "inflection point" to promote labor productivity. I2P has a greater impact on industries with higher scientific and technological content (whether capital-intensive or labor-intensive) than those with low technological content. I2E has the strongest influence on labor productivity in capital-intensive industries with high scientific and technological content, while value-added trade has a significant positive effect on the growth of labor productivity in four industries. Based on the mechanism analysis and empirical test, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations, including the integration of supply chain trade, deepening the international division of labor; Import of intermediate products and transformation of advanced technology; Widening the connotation of processing trade and establishing independent property rights; Grasp the characteristics of industry development, optimize the service system; Speed up the upgrading of products, create value added; Break through the restraint of developed countries and build national value chain.
【學位授予單位】：浙江大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F224;F124;F752.6

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