本文關(guān)鍵詞：工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)環(huán)境污染的非線性影響　出處：《中國(guó)人口·資源與環(huán)境》2017年10期 　論文類(lèi)型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu) 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 環(huán)境污染 非線性影響 索洛增長(zhǎng)模型

【摘要】：本文從生產(chǎn)要素投入端將環(huán)境污染引至索洛增長(zhǎng)模型,理論考察工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)環(huán)境污染的非線性影響機(jī)制,基于1999—2014年我國(guó)30個(gè)省份的面板數(shù)據(jù),以SO_2排放量作為環(huán)境污染水平的代理變量,采用面板平滑遷移回歸(PSTR)模型檢驗(yàn)全國(guó)及分區(qū)域工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)環(huán)境污染的非線性影響效應(yīng)及區(qū)域差異性。研究結(jié)果表明:隨著工業(yè)化進(jìn)程的不斷加快,工業(yè)產(chǎn)出及污染排放均呈現(xiàn)不斷上升的趨勢(shì),但由于資本邊際收益遞減規(guī)律使得這種增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì)逐漸減弱,最終導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和環(huán)境污染增長(zhǎng)趨于穩(wěn)態(tài),當(dāng)污染排放增長(zhǎng)率降低為負(fù)時(shí),經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)環(huán)境污染的影響作用由正向轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)樨?fù)向。實(shí)證表明我國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與SO_2排放具有顯著的產(chǎn)出水平門(mén)檻效應(yīng),隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出水平由低區(qū)制平滑的過(guò)渡到高區(qū)制,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)SO_2排放的影響由正向促進(jìn)作用轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)樨?fù)向減排效應(yīng),但工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)SO_2排放呈現(xiàn)逐漸增強(qiáng)正向促進(jìn)作用,可見(jiàn)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)SO_2排放具有顯著的非線性影響。此外,研究發(fā)現(xiàn)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)SO_2排放的非線性影響存在顯著的區(qū)域差異性,東部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與SO_2排放呈現(xiàn)顯著的倒"U"型曲線關(guān)系,而在中西部地區(qū)表現(xiàn)出逐漸增強(qiáng)的促進(jìn)作用,中部地區(qū)的工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)SO_2排放的促進(jìn)作用最大,西部其次,東部最弱,研究還表明,減排技術(shù)水平以及環(huán)境治理投資增加對(duì)SO_2污染排放具有遏制作用,能源投資的增加加速了SO_2的排放。在未來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中,應(yīng)摒棄傳統(tǒng)"高投入、高消耗"的工業(yè)化模式,政府應(yīng)實(shí)施創(chuàng)新管理,完善環(huán)境保護(hù)立法,鼓勵(lì)企業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境污染治理方面的技術(shù),避免以環(huán)境容量過(guò)渡為代價(jià),追求工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)高質(zhì)量、可持續(xù)發(fā)展模式。
[Abstract]:In this paper, environmental pollution is introduced into Solow growth model from the input end of production factors, and the nonlinear influence mechanism of industrial economic structure and economic growth on environmental pollution is investigated theoretically. Based on panel data of 30 provinces in China from 1999 to 2014, SO_2 emissions are used as proxy variables of environmental pollution level. The panel smooth migration regression model is used to test the industrial economic structure of the whole country and sub-region. The nonlinear effects of economic growth on environmental pollution and regional differences. The results show that: with the acceleration of industrialization, industrial output and pollution emissions are on the rise. However, due to the law of diminishing marginal return of capital, this trend of growth gradually weakened, leading to the growth of economic growth and environmental pollution tend to steady, when the growth rate of pollution emissions decreased to negative. The effect of economic growth on environmental pollution has changed from positive to negative. The empirical results show that China's industrial structure, economic growth and SO_2 emissions have a significant threshold effect of output level. With the smooth transition of economic output from low region system to high area system, the effect of economic growth on SO_2 emissions changes from positive to positive to negative emission reduction. However, the industrial economic structure has a positive effect on SO_2 emissions. It can be seen that the industrial economic structure and economic growth have a significant nonlinear effect on SO_2 emissions. It is found that there are significant regional differences in the nonlinear effects of industrial economic structure and economic growth on SO_2 emissions, and the relationship between economic growth and SO_2 emissions in eastern China shows a significant inverted "U" curve. In the central and western regions, the industrial economic structure of the central region has the greatest contribution to SO_2 emissions, followed by the west, the weakest in the east, the study also shows that. The technical level of emission reduction and the increase of investment in environmental control have a restraining effect on SO_2 pollution emissions, and the increase of energy investment accelerates the emission of SO_2. In the future economic development, the traditional "high investment" should be abandoned. The government should implement innovative management, perfect the legislation of environmental protection, encourage enterprises to develop the technology of environmental pollution treatment, and avoid the cost of environmental capacity transition. The pursuit of high-quality industrial economy, sustainable development model.
【作者單位】： 吉林大學(xué)數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)研究中心;吉林大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】：吉林大學(xué)哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)研究重大課題培育項(xiàng)目“創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)發(fā)展與國(guó)家創(chuàng)新體系建設(shè)研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào):2015ZDPY09)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F124.1;F424.0;X22
【正文快照】： 自從1978年改革開(kāi)放30多年以來(lái),中國(guó)GDP年均增長(zhǎng)率達(dá)10%,人們的生活水平得到顯著改善,然而,在經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長(zhǎng)的同時(shí),中國(guó)環(huán)境污染日趨嚴(yán)重,生態(tài)環(huán)境受到嚴(yán)重破壞,使得經(jīng)濟(jì)遭受?chē)?yán)重?fù)p失。當(dāng)前,中國(guó)正處于重工業(yè)化發(fā)展的中后期階段,不少地方政府紛紛開(kāi)始以工業(yè)化為工作重點(diǎn),隨著工

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