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我國生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易國際競爭力影響因素的實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-08-04 13:59
【摘要】:生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)是連接制造業(yè)和服務(wù)業(yè)的關(guān)鍵橋梁,在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)內(nèi)的地位日益顯著。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的國際競爭力是一國服務(wù)貿(mào)易競爭力的重要組成部分,它的提高可以顯著提高一國的服務(wù)貿(mào)易競爭力水平,進(jìn)而提高國家整體的國際競爭力,F(xiàn)階段,我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易尤其是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易均長期陷于逆差地位,提升其國際競爭力是中國扭轉(zhuǎn)貿(mào)易格局的重要舉措。文章首先細(xì)致地闡述了我國生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀,然后對實際的競爭力水平(包括總體和部門)做了測量與剖析。結(jié)果表明生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的規(guī)模大,增速變化大,發(fā)展勢頭較好,但是進(jìn)出口部門的結(jié)構(gòu)不平衡,進(jìn)出口大量的勞動密集型服務(wù),對知識和技術(shù)密集型服務(wù)的進(jìn)出口明顯較小。競爭力總體水平較弱,但增速可觀,建設(shè)服務(wù)的國際競爭力最強,電信、計算機和信息服務(wù)的發(fā)展勢頭越來越強勁,知識產(chǎn)權(quán)使用費、金融服務(wù)、保險和養(yǎng)老金服務(wù)三個部門的國際競爭力較弱。為了考察與發(fā)達(dá)國家的差距,將我國生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)貿(mào)易的整體競爭力水平與美國進(jìn)行比較。隨后文章對影響因素做了理論說明,具體闡述了六個因素的作用機制。進(jìn)而運用1983-2015年的數(shù)據(jù)做回歸分析和VAR模型的脈沖響應(yīng),分別從靜態(tài)和動態(tài)兩個角度考察六個因素對競爭力的影響。實證研究發(fā)現(xiàn),收入水平和開放度對競爭力有顯著的積極影響,其他四個因素或者影響不顯著或者有負(fù)向影響,而這與我國的實際國情相關(guān)。最后一部分則憑借影響因素與模型運算結(jié)果,有針對性地提出了符合中國實際情況的相關(guān)建議。主要包括以下:提高人均收入水平,促進(jìn)需求多樣化;提升貿(mào)易開放度,增強國際市場交流;加快發(fā)展國內(nèi)服務(wù)業(yè),調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu);發(fā)揮貨物貿(mào)易帶動作用,推動協(xié)同發(fā)展;吸引外商直接投資,優(yōu)化外資利用結(jié)構(gòu);加強教育長期投入,培育優(yōu)質(zhì)人力資本。
[Abstract]:Producer service is the key bridge between manufacturing industry and service industry, and plays an increasingly important role in the national economy. The international competitiveness of productive trade in services is an important part of the competitiveness of a country's trade in services. Its improvement can significantly improve the level of competitiveness of a country's trade in services, and then enhance the overall international competitiveness of a country. At present, China's trade in services, especially the productive trade in services, has been in deficit position for a long time. To improve its international competitiveness is an important measure for China to reverse the pattern of trade. This paper first elaborates the present situation of China's productive service trade, and then measures and analyzes the actual competitiveness level (including the overall level and the department level). The results show that the scale of productive services trade is large, the growth rate is changing greatly, and the development momentum is good. However, the structure of import and export departments is unbalanced, a large number of labor-intensive services are imported and exported, and the import and export of knowledge-intensive services and technology-intensive services are obviously smaller. The overall level of competitiveness is weak, but the growth rate is considerable, the international competitiveness of construction services is the strongest, the development momentum of telecommunications, computer and information services is becoming stronger and stronger, intellectual property rights usage fees, financial services, The three sectors of insurance and pension services are less competitive internationally. In order to investigate the gap between China and developed countries, the overall competitive level of China's productive services trade is compared with that of the United States. Then the paper makes a theoretical explanation of the influencing factors, and expounds the action mechanism of the six factors in detail. Then using the data from 1983 to 2015 to do regression analysis and the impulse response of VAR model, we investigate the influence of six factors on competitiveness from static and dynamic angles respectively. The empirical study shows that the income level and openness have a significant positive impact on competitiveness, the other four factors have no significant or negative impact, which is related to the actual situation of our country. In the last part, based on the influence factors and the results of the model operation, the author puts forward some relevant suggestions in accordance with the actual situation in China. It mainly includes the following aspects: raising the level of per capita income and promoting diversification of demand; enhancing the openness of trade and enhancing the exchange of international markets; speeding up the development of domestic service industries and adjusting the industrial structure; giving full play to the role of goods trade as a driving force and promoting coordinated development; To attract foreign direct investment, optimize the structure of foreign capital utilization, strengthen long-term investment in education, and cultivate high-quality human capital.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:蘭州財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F752.68

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