本文關(guān)鍵詞： 艾滋病 流行趨勢(shì) 疫情估計(jì)　出處：《中國(guó)艾滋病性病》2017年10期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：目的分析成都市艾滋病(AIDS)疫情流行特點(diǎn),預(yù)測(cè)未來疫情走勢(shì),為制定有效的艾滋病防控策略提供依據(jù)。方法從國(guó)家艾滋病綜合防治信息系統(tǒng)中,獲取成都市2010-2015年艾滋病報(bào)告病例的基本情況、隨訪和抗病毒治療信息,各類人群的哨點(diǎn)監(jiān)測(cè)、自愿咨詢檢測(cè)(VCT)等數(shù)據(jù)。利用Excel統(tǒng)計(jì)軟件進(jìn)行描述性分析,運(yùn)用Workbook法對(duì)高危人群基數(shù)和艾滋病疫情進(jìn)行估計(jì)。結(jié)果2010-2015年新報(bào)告艾滋病病毒(HIV)感染者/AIDS病例16 401例,各年病例分別為1 307、1 913、2 356、2 944、3 638和4 243例;各年新報(bào)告的艾滋病病例增長(zhǎng)率分別為31.09%、46.37%、23.16%、24.96%、23.57%和16.63%。估計(jì)截止到2015年底,成都市現(xiàn)存活的艾滋病病毒感染者及病人共19 961例,全人群感染率為0.14%(19 961/14 317 647)。新報(bào)告病例的首次CD4+T淋巴細(xì)胞(簡(jiǎn)稱CD4細(xì)胞)計(jì)數(shù)350個(gè)/μL所占比例在51.75%(990/1 913)~59.47%(1 401/2 356)之間,CD4細(xì)胞計(jì)數(shù)在500個(gè)/μL的病例占9.31%(274/2 944)~11.83%(502/4 243)。在社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)水平高的一圈城,流動(dòng)病例占46.76%,同性性傳播感染病例占51.42%;在社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)水平低的三圈城,流動(dòng)病例占12.36%,異性性傳播病例占82.34%。戶籍地病例占87.64%。結(jié)論近3年來成都市艾滋病疫情增長(zhǎng)率有所降低,疫情雖處于低流行狀態(tài),但病例晚發(fā)現(xiàn)情況較為嚴(yán)重;一圈城艾滋病防治工作重點(diǎn)為流動(dòng)和同性性行為人群、三圈城為戶籍地和異性性行為人群。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the epidemic of AIDS in Chengdu city (AIDS) to predict the future trend of the epidemic characteristics of the outbreak, and provide the basis for the development of AIDS prevention and control strategies. From the comprehensive national AIDS prevention and control information system, for 2010-2015 years in Chengdu City, the basic situation of AIDS cases, follow-up information and antiviral treatment, sentinel surveillance of all types of people, voluntary counseling and testing (VCT). The data were analyzed by Excel statistical software, using Workbook method for high risk population base and the AIDS epidemic is estimated. The result of 2010-2015 years of the new report of AIDS virus (HIV) infection in 16401 cases of /AIDS patients, the cases were 1 307,1 913,2 638 356,2 944,3 and 4243 cases each year; the new report of AIDS cases growth rates were 31.09%, 46.37%, 23.16%, 24.96%, 23.57% and 16.63%. estimated by the end of 2015, the survival of AIDS in Chengdu City Virus infected patients and a total of 19961 cases, the infection rate was 0.14% (19 961/14 317647). The new report cases of the first CD4+T cell (CD4 cell) count of 350 / L in the proportion of 51.75% (990/1 913) ~59.47% (1 401/2 356), CD4 cell count in 500 / mu L cases accounted for 9.31% (274/2 944) ~11.83% (502/4 243). In a circle of city social economic level is high, the flow of cases accounted for 46.76%, homosexual transmission of infection accounted for 51.42%; in the three circle of city social economic level is low, the flow of cases accounted for 12.36% of heterosexual transmission cases 82.34%. domicile cases accounted for 87.64%. conclusions in the past 3 years the growth rate of the AIDS epidemic in Chengdu city decreased, although in a low prevalence state, but were later found that the situation is more serious; a city the focus of AIDS prevention and control for flow and crowd sex, three ring city household registration and heterosexuals.

【作者單位】： 成都市疾病預(yù)防控制中心;
【基金】：成都市科技局科技項(xiàng)目(2015-HM02-00018-SF)~~
【分類號(hào)】：R181.3;R512.91
，

本文編號(hào)：1538817