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影響我國大豆價格變動的因素分析

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-06 19:53

  本文選題:大豆 + 計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)模型; 參考:《中國油脂》2017年06期


【摘要】:近些年我國大豆價格變動比較顯著,并且呈現(xiàn)不規(guī)則性,其原因是國內(nèi)外的環(huán)境越來越趨于復(fù)雜化,經(jīng)濟形勢日益嚴(yán)峻,行業(yè)間的競爭逐漸激烈,并且大多數(shù)加工企業(yè)過分地依賴進口大豆,導(dǎo)致目前國內(nèi)對國產(chǎn)大豆供過于求。運用計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)和統(tǒng)計學(xué)的原理對影響大豆價格變動的因素進行分析和檢驗,結(jié)果顯示玉米油價格和大豆消費量對大豆價格有顯著影響,與大豆價格呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系。研究結(jié)果可為相關(guān)政策部門判斷大豆價格的變化趨勢和制定相關(guān)的政策提供依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the price changes of soybean in China are obvious and irregular. The reason is that the environment at home and abroad is becoming more and more complicated, the economic situation is becoming more and more severe, and the competition among industries is becoming more and more fierce. And most of the processing enterprises rely excessively on imported soybeans, leading to the domestic supply of domestic soybean exceeds demand. Based on the principles of econometrics and statistics, the factors influencing the price change of soybean were analyzed and tested. The results showed that the price of corn oil and the consumption of soybean had significant influence on the price of soybean, and there was a positive correlation between the price of soybean and the price of soybean. The results can provide evidence for the relevant policy departments to judge the changing trend of soybean prices and to formulate relevant policies.
【作者單位】: 哈爾濱工程大學(xué)經(jīng)濟管理學(xué)院危機管理研究所;
【基金】:哈爾濱工程大學(xué)中央高;究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費專項(HEUCF150907) 哈爾濱工程大學(xué)2015級研究生培養(yǎng)基金
【分類號】:F323.7

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1 王德華;;我國城鎮(zhèn)居民豬肉需求量的計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)模型[J];硅谷;2008年09期

2 ;[J];;年期



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