本文選題：油菜籽 + 油菜籽價格��； 參考：《價格理論與實踐》2016年09期

【摘要】：2015年6月,國家取消了執(zhí)行7年之久的油菜籽臨儲收購政策,油菜籽價格開始隨行就市,完全由市場決定。然而,2015年取消臨儲政策以后,國內(nèi)油菜籽價格出現(xiàn)大幅下跌,農(nóng)民種植收益下降,種植意愿不高,油菜產(chǎn)業(yè)的健康發(fā)展面臨一定的風險。因此,本文在分析我國油菜籽市場短期風險的基礎上,探討建立油菜價格預警機制,通過分析油菜籽歷史價格數(shù)據(jù)設置油菜籽價格波動警度與警限,并建立警源分析模型;最后,對建立油菜籽價格預警機制給出相關政策建議。
[Abstract]:In June 2015, the country scrapped its seven-year rapeseed purchase policy and the price of rapeseed began to follow the market, which was entirely determined by the market. However, after the temporary storage policy was abolished in 2015, the domestic rapeseed price dropped sharply, the farmers' planting income decreased, the planting intention was not high, and the healthy development of rape industry was faced with certain risks. Therefore, on the basis of analyzing the short-term risk of rapeseed market in China, this paper discusses the establishment of rapeseed price early warning mechanism, sets up the warning degree and warning limit of rapeseed price fluctuation by analyzing the historical price data of rapeseed, and establishes the alarm source analysis model. Finally, the establishment of rapeseed price early-warning mechanism to give the relevant policy recommendations.
【作者單位】： 華中農(nóng)業(yè)大學經(jīng)濟管理學院;武漢城市職業(yè)技術學院;
【基金】：國家“現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)技術體系建設”專項(編號:CARS-0013) 國家自然科學基金(編號:71273103,71473100) 國家“萬人計劃”青年拔尖人才支持計劃
【分類號】：F323.7
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本文編號：1806321