世界大豆出口格局變遷研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-04 06:21
本文關(guān)鍵詞:世界大豆出口格局變遷研究 出處:《上海經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》2017年10期 論文類型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 南北半球季節(jié)差異 出口格局 大豆 世界
【摘要】:近幾十年來(lái),世界大豆出口格局變化顯著,由美國(guó)絕對(duì)主導(dǎo)逐漸轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)槊绹?guó)、巴西、阿根廷"三國(guó)鼎立"的格局。該文從理論上和實(shí)證上分析了南北半球的季節(jié)差異對(duì)一國(guó)大豆比較優(yōu)勢(shì)及出口的影響,并據(jù)此解釋世界大豆出口格局的變遷。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),一國(guó)大豆出口數(shù)量在大豆收獲季節(jié)后,將隨著庫(kù)存時(shí)間的延長(zhǎng)顯著下降。與非收獲季節(jié)相比,處于收獲季節(jié)的大豆更具比較優(yōu)勢(shì)。由于中國(guó)、歐盟等世界主要大豆進(jìn)口國(guó)集中于北半球,在其大豆生產(chǎn)淡季、進(jìn)口需求旺盛時(shí),同位于北半球的美國(guó)也處于大豆生產(chǎn)淡季,大豆出口供給有限,而位于南半球的巴西和阿根廷則處于大豆生產(chǎn)旺季,大豆庫(kù)存持有成本及出口成本較低,具有較強(qiáng)的比較優(yōu)勢(shì),從而得以不斷擴(kuò)大大豆出口規(guī)模。在此激勵(lì)下,南美利益相關(guān)者進(jìn)一步通過(guò)改進(jìn)技術(shù)、改善物流設(shè)施等途徑大力發(fā)展本國(guó)大豆產(chǎn)業(yè),助力本國(guó)土地及勞動(dòng)力等資源優(yōu)勢(shì),進(jìn)一步協(xié)同兩國(guó)大豆出口規(guī)模的提升,由此改變了世界大豆出口格局。
[Abstract]:In recent decades, the world soybean export pattern changed significantly, by the dominant gradually transformed into the United States, Brazil, Argentina "Three Kingdoms" pattern. This paper analyzes the influence of comparative advantage between the two hemispheres of the season on a country's exports of soybean and theoretically and empirically, which explain the changes in the world soybean exports the pattern of a country. The study found that the number of soybean exports in soybean harvest, with prolonged inventory time decreased significantly. Compared with the harvest season, is the harvest season of soybean more comparative advantage. Because of Chinese, the European Union and other major world soybean importer in the northern hemisphere, in the off-season soybean production, imports demand, with the United States is located in the northern hemisphere in soybean production season, soybean exports limited supply, and in the southern hemisphere in Brazil and Argentina are in the soybean production season, soybean stocks The cost of holding export and low cost, has a strong comparative advantage, thereby expanding soybean exports scale. Under the stimulus, the South American stakeholders through further improvements in technology, improve the logistics facilities and other ways to stimulate the development of soybean industry, boosting the land and labor resources, to further enhance bilateral cooperative soybean export scale thus, changed the world soybean export pattern.
【作者單位】: 南京理工大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;江蘇產(chǎn)業(yè)集群決策咨詢研究基地;南京理工大學(xué)國(guó)際經(jīng)貿(mào)問題研究中心;江蘇糧食安全研究中心;
【基金】:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目:”糧食進(jìn)口來(lái)源布局對(duì)中國(guó)糧食進(jìn)口波動(dòng)的影響研究——基于地域季節(jié)差異視角”(批準(zhǔn)編號(hào):71503127) 國(guó)家社科基金重大項(xiàng)目:“完善國(guó)家糧食安全保障體系研究”(批準(zhǔn)編號(hào):14ZDA038)和“新常態(tài)下產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的環(huán)境效應(yīng)與調(diào)控政策研究”(批準(zhǔn)編號(hào):15ZDA053) 江蘇省社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目:“江蘇開放型農(nóng)業(yè)對(duì)外投資發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略研究”(批準(zhǔn)編號(hào):16EYC005) 江蘇省教育廳高校哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目:“基于農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的江蘇新型比較優(yōu)勢(shì)培育研究”(批準(zhǔn)編號(hào):2016SJD790003) 江蘇高校哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)重點(diǎn)研究基地基金項(xiàng)目:“農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群對(duì)中國(guó)及江蘇糧食比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的影響研究”(批準(zhǔn)編號(hào):2015JDXM010)的資助
【分類號(hào)】:F313.7;F746.12
【正文快照】: 2江蘇產(chǎn)業(yè)集群決策咨詢研究基地,江蘇南京210094;3南京理工大學(xué)國(guó)際經(jīng)貿(mào)問題研究中心,江蘇南京210094;4江蘇糧食安全研究中心,江蘇南京210095)資助。一、引言大豆富含植物蛋白質(zhì),營(yíng)養(yǎng)價(jià)值很高,被譽(yù)為“豆中之王”、“田中之肉”等,是數(shù)百種天然食物中最受營(yíng)養(yǎng)學(xué)家推崇的食物,,
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