全球視角下五次戰(zhàn)略機遇期與中日發(fā)展簡論
發(fā)布時間:2018-06-03 17:52
本文選題:戰(zhàn)略機遇期 + 中國。 參考:《曲阜師范大學》2011年碩士論文
【摘要】:自15世紀以來,整體世界歷史的發(fā)展已出現(xiàn)過五次戰(zhàn)略機遇期。日本在第三次戰(zhàn)略機遇期崛起,而中國則錯失了四次戰(zhàn)略機遇期。面對新世紀出現(xiàn)的第五次戰(zhàn)略機遇期,中日該如何應對,更是備受國人關注。筆者以自15世紀以來世界整體歷史發(fā)展進程中的歷次戰(zhàn)略機遇期為經,以中日兩國的應對舉措及發(fā)展狀況為緯,進行系統(tǒng)地梳理和闡述,并在綜合比較的基礎上,就中日兩國未來的應對策略談些粗淺認識。 首先,對戰(zhàn)略機遇期的內涵和分期進行了界定和說明。戰(zhàn)略機遇期是客觀時機與具有較高目標追求的國家總體戰(zhàn)略之間有條件形成可持續(xù)的良性互動關系的時期。從全球視角看,自15世紀以來,先后出現(xiàn)過五次戰(zhàn)略機遇期,即:地理大發(fā)現(xiàn)時期、第一次科技革命時期(大致在18世紀60年代至19世紀中期)、第二次科技革命時期(大致在19世紀70年代至20世紀初)、二戰(zhàn)后(二戰(zhàn)結束至20世紀70年代初)及目前出現(xiàn)的新戰(zhàn)略機遇期。在分期上,筆者贊同學術界諸多觀點中最為詳盡全面的五次說。 其次,就中日在近代三次戰(zhàn)略機遇期時的應對舉措及發(fā)展狀況進行了比較。應當說,面對前兩次戰(zhàn)略機遇期,中日兩國的應對舉措及其發(fā)展境況大致相同,都經過了出鎖國到被迫開國的發(fā)展歷程。而在第三次戰(zhàn)略機遇期,中日都掀起了富國強兵的近代化運動,但結果卻一成一敗,從而導致了近代中日兩國的不同命運。 再次,對戰(zhàn)后第四次戰(zhàn)略機遇期中的中日兩國進行了比較。在這一機遇期,日本在美國的庇護和自身努力下,創(chuàng)造了震驚世界的“日本奇跡”;中國卻因內戰(zhàn)和建國后的自我封閉,使國家在發(fā)展道路上舉步維艱。 第四,重點分析了新戰(zhàn)略機遇期來臨時我國面臨的機遇與挑戰(zhàn),并堅持以走和平崛起的道路來應對挑戰(zhàn);而此時的日本卻在政治和經濟方面遇到了問題,在強大的科技實力和經濟基礎支撐下,日本正朝著夢寐以求的政治、軍事大國的目標邁進。 中日兩國在五次戰(zhàn)略機遇期中應對舉措的成敗得失一再昭示我們:抓住機遇才能贏得主動;要善于發(fā)現(xiàn)和利用機遇期,制定切實可行的應對方略和政策舉措;要改革開放,在追逐世界發(fā)展的大潮中進取超越。
[Abstract]:Since the 15 th century, the development of the whole world history has had five strategic opportunity periods. Japan rose in the third strategic opportunity period, while China missed four strategic opportunity periods. In the face of the fifth strategic opportunity period in the new century, China and Japan pay more attention to how to deal with it. Taking the strategic opportunity periods in the whole development process of the world since the 15th century as the basis, taking the coping measures and development conditions of China and Japan as the latitude, the author systematically combs and expounds, and on the basis of comprehensive comparison, On the future of China and Japan to talk about the strategy of some superficial understanding. Firstly, the connotation and stages of strategic opportunity period are defined and explained. The period of strategic opportunity is a period in which the relationship between objective opportunity and the overall strategy of a country with higher goals can form a sustainable and benign interaction. From a global perspective, since the 15th century, there have been five periods of strategic opportunity, namely, the period of great geographical discovery. The first scientific and technological revolution period (roughly from the 18th century to the middle of the 19th century, the second scientific and technological revolution period (roughly from the 1870s to the early 20th century), after the second world war (from the end of the second world war to the early 1970s) and the The period of new strategic opportunity that appeared before. In stages, I agree with the academic community of the most detailed and comprehensive five views. Secondly, the paper compares the countermeasures and development of China and Japan in the three strategic opportunity periods in modern times. It should be said that in the face of the first two periods of strategic opportunities, China and Japan's response measures and their development situation are roughly the same, both through the locked out of the country to be forced to establish the development process. In the third strategic opportunity period, both China and Japan set off a modern movement of rich nations and strong soldiers, but the result was 10% defeat, which led to the different fates of China and Japan in modern times. Thirdly, it compares China and Japan in the fourth strategic opportunity period after the war. In this period of opportunity, Japan, under the protection of the United States and its own efforts, created a "Japanese miracle" that shocked the world. However, because of the civil war and the self-closure after the founding of the people's Republic of China, the country struggled on the road to development. Fourth, it analyzes the opportunities and challenges that our country will face when the new strategic opportunity period comes, and insists on taking the path of peaceful rise to meet the challenge. At this time, Japan has encountered political and economic problems. Backed by a strong scientific and technological base, Japan is moving towards its coveted goal of a political and military power. The success or failure of China and Japan's response in the five strategic opportunity periods have repeatedly demonstrated that we should seize the opportunity to win the initiative; be good at discovering and taking advantage of the opportunity period, formulate practical strategies and policies for dealing with it; and reform and opening up to the outside world. In the pursuit of world development in the tide of enterprising surpassing.
【學位授予單位】:曲阜師范大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2011
【分類號】:K14
【參考文獻】
相關期刊論文 前1條
1 劉建寧;;21世紀頭20年重要戰(zhàn)略機遇期與中國和平崛起——兼談科學發(fā)展觀對中國和平崛起的意義[J];江蘇教育學院學報(社會科學版);2006年04期
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