本文選題：韌性 + 抗打擊能力��； 參考：《中國人口·資源與環(huán)境》2017年08期

【摘要】：為提升城市應(yīng)對重大沖擊和慢性壓力的能力,提高城市的抗打擊能力與恢復(fù)能力,以及城市對抗不確定風(fēng)險的韌性程度,本文結(jié)合現(xiàn)實背景,以城市社會生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的視角,對2014年長三角地區(qū)16個地級城市韌性進(jìn)行實證分析。采用GIS的空間分析和疊加功能方法,從生態(tài)環(huán)境、市政設(shè)施、經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會發(fā)展4個方面選取24個具體指標(biāo),對長三角地區(qū)16個地級城市韌性程度及其空間狀態(tài)做出評價,并確定測度標(biāo)準(zhǔn)值。首先對構(gòu)成城市韌性的4個因子:生態(tài)、市政設(shè)施工程、經(jīng)濟(jì)以及社會發(fā)展進(jìn)行分析和數(shù)字化,得出各因子對城市韌性影響程度的柵格圖層;其次對圖層進(jìn)行空間疊加,再得到長三角地區(qū)地級城市韌性度評價圖。評價結(jié)果表明:(1)長三角地級城市韌性呈現(xiàn)"級差化"分布狀態(tài),總體呈現(xiàn)出中等韌性狀態(tài);(2)長三角地級城市韌性空間分異特征顯著,其北翼城市比南翼城市韌性程度較高;(3)長三角地級城市經(jīng)濟(jì)、生態(tài)韌性在空間分布上相對集中,趨向協(xié)調(diào)均衡發(fā)展。通過城市韌性度分析,認(rèn)為評價結(jié)果基本符合近年來長三角地區(qū)城市韌性發(fā)展的整體狀況,可以在一定程度上增強(qiáng)城市社會生態(tài)系統(tǒng)對外界風(fēng)險的適應(yīng)能力,并在今后的城市發(fā)展調(diào)適過程中更具韌性,從而對不同時空尺度的城市韌性狀態(tài)評價提供一種思路。
[Abstract]:In order to enhance the ability of cities to cope with major shocks and chronic pressures, to improve their resilience to attack and recovery, and to improve the resilience of cities against uncertain risks, this paper combines the realistic background with the perspective of urban social ecosystem. The resilience of 16 prefectural cities in the Yangtze River Delta region in 2014 is analyzed empirically. Using the spatial analysis and superposition function method of GIS, 24 specific indexes were selected from four aspects of ecological environment, municipal facilities, economic and social development to evaluate the resilience and spatial status of 16 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Delta region. The standard value of measure is determined. Firstly, the paper analyzes and digitizes the four factors that make up the urban resilience: ecology, municipal facilities engineering, economy and social development, and obtains the grid layer of the influence degree of each factor on the urban toughness, and then carries on the space superposition to the layer, The evaluation map of resilience of prefecture-level cities in Yangtze River Delta is obtained. The evaluation results show that: (1) the ductility of prefectural cities in the Yangtze River Delta presents a "differential" distribution state, and generally presents a moderate toughness state; (2) the spatial differentiation characteristics of the ductility of the prefectural cities in the Yangtze River Delta are significant. The north wing city is more resilient than the south wing city. (3) the economy of the Yangtze River Delta prefectural city, the ecological toughness is relatively concentrated in the space distribution, and tends to develop harmoniously and equably. Through the analysis of urban resilience, it is concluded that the evaluation results basically accord with the overall situation of urban resilience development in the Yangtze River Delta region in recent years, and can to some extent enhance the adaptability of urban social ecosystem to external risks. In the future, it is more resilient in the adjustment process of urban development, which provides a way of thinking for the evaluation of urban toughness state in different space-time scales.
【作者單位】： 中國科學(xué)院流域地理學(xué)重點實驗室中國科學(xué)院南京地理與湖泊研究所;中國科學(xué)院大學(xué);香港浸會大學(xué)當(dāng)代中國研究所;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金重點項目“長江三角洲區(qū)域一體化空間組織機(jī)理及優(yōu)化研究”(批準(zhǔn)號:41130750)
【分類號】：K909

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本文編號：2066150