【摘要】：文章認(rèn)為常用的生育率指標(biāo)在研究中國(guó)遷移流動(dòng)人口生育水平時(shí)存在缺陷,而時(shí)期孩次遞進(jìn)比可以精確測(cè)量遷移流動(dòng)人口的生育水平,也可以有效消除在比較鄉(xiāng)城流動(dòng)人口與農(nóng)村本地人口生育水平時(shí),因時(shí)期進(jìn)度效應(yīng)不同而導(dǎo)致的誤差。2010年中國(guó)家庭追蹤調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)與2014年全國(guó)流動(dòng)人口動(dòng)態(tài)監(jiān)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)的分析結(jié)果支持了這一推斷。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),各孩次生育均在流入地的鄉(xiāng)城流動(dòng)人口與一孩生育在流出地的鄉(xiāng)城流動(dòng)人口的二孩及三孩生育水平均低于農(nóng)村本地人口,一孩、二孩生育均在流出地的鄉(xiāng)城流動(dòng)人口三孩生育水平低于農(nóng)村本地人口。人口的鄉(xiāng)城流動(dòng)與生育水平降低之間有著因果影響關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:The paper points out that the commonly used fertility indicators have defects in studying the fertility level of the migrant population in China, and the child-to-child progressive ratio can accurately measure the fertility level of the migrated floating population during the period. It can also be effectively eliminated when comparing the fertility level of the floating population in rural areas with the local population in rural areas. The results of the 2010 Chinese household tracking survey data and the 2014 national floating population dynamic monitoring data support this inference, according to the results of the analysis of the results of the 2010 Chinese household tracking survey data and the national floating population dynamic monitoring data in 2014. The study found that the level of birth of two and three children among the rural and urban migrants who had children in their places of emigration was lower than that of the rural local population, one child, and one child in the rural areas. The level of birth of three children in the floating population of rural and urban areas was lower than that of the local population in rural areas. There is a causal relationship between the migration of population and the reduction of fertility level.
【作者單位】： 復(fù)旦大學(xué)人口研究所;
【基金】：國(guó)家社科基金重大項(xiàng)目“提高戶籍人口城鎮(zhèn)化率研究”(編號(hào):15ZDC035)的階段性成果
【分類號(hào)】：C924.2
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本文編號(hào)：2464340